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Related papers: Bayesian Statistics Then and Now

200 papers

Given i.i.d. data from an unknown distribution, we consider the problem of predicting future items. An adaptive way to estimate the probability density is to recursively subdivide the domain to an appropriate data-dependent granularity. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Correction to The Annals of Statistics (2006) 34, 1013--1044 [URL: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aos/1151418250]

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Miklós Csörgõ , Barbara Szyszkowicz , Lihong Wang

This introduction to Bayesian statistics presents the main concepts as well as the principal reasons advocated in favour of a Bayesian modelling. We cover the various approaches to prior determination as well as the basis asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-09 Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

The present article is the reply to the discussion of our earlier "Not only defended but also applied" (arXiv:1006.5366, to appear in The American Statistician) that arose from our memory of a particularly intemperate anti-Bayesian…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2012-10-29 Andrew Gelman , Christian P. Robert

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Junheng Ma , Joe Sedransk , Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen

Discussion of "Bayesian Model Selection Based on Proper Scoring Rules" by Dawid and Musio [arXiv:1409.5291].

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Christopher M. Hans , Mario Peruggia

Discussion of "Bayesian Model Selection Based on Proper Scoring Rules" by Dawid and Musio [arXiv:1409.5291].

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Matthias Katzfuss , Anirban Bhattacharya

Invited discussion for Stat of "A note on universal inference" by Timmy Tse and Anthony Davison (2022)

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Mathias Drton , Hongjian Shi , David Strieder

The aim of the present study is to detect abrupt trend changes in the mean of a multidimensional sequential signal. Directly inspired by papers of Fernhead and Liu ([4] and [5]), this work describes the signal in a hierarchical manner : the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Olivier Sorba , C Geissler

Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations remains a significant challenge in many scientific domains. We propose normalizing flow regression (NFR), a novel offline inference method for approximating posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-17 Chengkun Li , Bobby Huggins , Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi

The Bayesian approach for the feed-forward neural networks is reviewed. Its potential for usage in hadron physics is discussed. As an example of the application the study of the the two-photon exchange effect is presented. We focus on the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-02-10 Krzysztof M. Graczyk , Cezary Juszczak

Contribution to the discussion of the paper "Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervals" by Peters, B\"uhlmann and Meinshausen, to appear in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B.

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-27 Chris J. Oates , Jessica Kasza , Sach Mukherjee

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be a random sample from an unknown probability distribution $P$ on the sample space ${\cal X}$, and let $\theta=\theta(P)$ be a parameter of interest. The present paper proposes a nonparametric `Bayesian bootstrap'…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Nils Lid Hjort

Comment on "Citation Statistics" [arXiv:0910.3529]

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-20 Peter Gavin Hall

Comment on "Citation Statistics" [arXiv:0910.3529]

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-20 David Spiegelhalter , Harvey Goldstein

Discussion of "Frequentist coverage of adaptive nonparametric Bayesian credible sets" by Szab\'o, van der Vaart and van Zanten [arXiv:1310.4489v5].

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Subhashis Ghosal

Discussion of "Frequentist coverage of adaptive nonparametric Bayesian credible sets" by Szab\'o, van der Vaart and van Zanten [arXiv:1310.4489v5].

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Mark G. Low , Zongming Ma

Discussion of "Frequentist coverage of adaptive nonparametric Bayesian credible sets" by Szab\'o, van der Vaart and van Zanten [arXiv:1310.4489v5].

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Judith Rousseau