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The computational cost of a Monte Carlo algorithm can only be meaningfully discussed when taking into account the magnitude of the resulting statistical error. Aiming for a fixed error per particle, we study the scaling behavior of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-11 Norbert Nemec

The large deviation function for entropy production is calculated for a particle driven along a periodic potential by solving a time-independent eigenvalue problem. In an intermediate force regime, the large deviation function shows…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-01-15 Jakob Mehl , Thomas Speck , Udo Seifert

Population dynamics provides a numerical tool allowing for the study of rare events by means of simulating a large number of copies of the system, supplemented with a selection rule that favours the rare trajectories of interest. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-07 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo

In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

In Monte-Carlo methods the Markov processes used to sample a given target distribution usually satisfy detailed balance, i.e. they are time-reversible. However, relatively recent results have demonstrated that appropriate reversible and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Luc Rey-Bellet , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Discrepancies play an important role in the study of uniformity properties of point sets. Their probability distributions are a help in the analysis of the efficiency of the Quasi Monte Carlo method of numerical integration, which uses…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 A. F. W. van Hameren

We study current fluctuations in the Totally Asymmetric Simple Exclusion Process (TASEP) on a ring with $N$ sites and $p$ particles. By introducing a deformation parameter $\gamma$, we analyze the tilted operator that governs the statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-08 Anastasiia Trofimova , Lu Xu

Parallel tempering, or replica exchange, is a popular method for simulating complex systems. The idea is to run parallel simulations at different temperatures, and at a given swap rate exchange configurations between the parallel…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-20 J. D. Doll , Paul Dupuis , Pierre Nyquist

We study a simple transport model driven out of equilibrium by reservoirs at the boundaries, corresponding to the hydrodynamic limit of the symmetric simple exclusion process. We show that a nonlocal transformation of densities and currents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-12-03 Julien Tailleur , Jorge Kurchan , Vivien Lecomte

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

Monte Carlo (MC) dropout is one of the state-of-the-art approaches for uncertainty estimation in neural networks (NNs). It has been interpreted as approximately performing Bayesian inference. Based on previous work on the approximation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz , Sebastian Houben , Asja Fischer

Most systems, when pushed out of equilibrium, respond by building up currents of locally-conserved observables. Understanding how microscopic dynamics determines the averages and fluctuations of these currents is one of the main open…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-08 Pablo I. Hurtado , Pedro L. Garrido

We extend the work of Kannan et al. and derive the cumulant generating function for the alternating mass harmonic chain consisting of N particles and driven by heat reservoirs. The main result is a closed expression for the cumulant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-07 Hans C. Fogedby

The efficiency of Monte Carlo samplers is dictated not only by energetic effects, such as large barriers, but also by entropic effects that are due to the sheer volume that is sampled. The latter effects appear in the form of an entropic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Cristian Predescu

In mathematical finance and other applications of stochastic processes, it is frequently the case that the characteristic function may be known but explicit forms for density functions are not available. The simulation of any distribution…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-10 William T. Shaw , Jonathan McCabe

We present a new description of the known large deviation function of the classical symmetric simple exclusion process by exploiting its connection with the quantum symmetric simple exclusion processes and using tools from free probability.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-09-27 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Philippe Biane , Ludwig Hruza

We consider the symmetric simple exclusion with open boundaries that are in contact with particle reservoirs at different densities. The reservoir densities changes at a slower time scale with respect to the natural time scale the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Anna De Masi , Stefano Olla

Estimating the density of a continuous random variable X has been studied extensively in statistics, in the setting where n independent observations of X are given a priori and one wishes to estimate the density from that. Popular methods…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-09 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer

We use the Bethe Ansatz to derive analytical expressions for the current statistics in the asymmetric exclusion process with both forward and backward jumps. The Bethe equations are highly coupled and this fact has impeded their use to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-08-17 Sylvain Prolhac , Kirone Mallick

The time-integrated current of the TASEP has non-Gaussian fluctuations of order $t^{1/3}$. The recently discovered connection to random matrices and the Painlev\'e II Riemann-Hilbert problem provides a technique through which we obtain the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Praehofer , H. Spohn