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Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are common for modeling complex data. While these models are well-suited for density estimation, recent results proved posterior inconsistency of the number of clusters when the true number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Louise Alamichel , Daria Bystrova , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King

There is no easy extension of Kaplan-Meier and Nelson-Aalen estimators to the bivariate case, and estimating bivariate survival distributions nonparametrically is associated with various non-trivial problems. The Dabrowska estimator will…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 J. K. Ghosh , Nils Lid Hjort , C. Messan , R. V. Ramamoorthi

We propose a novel nonparametric Bayesian approach for meta-analysis with event time outcomes. The model is an extension of linear dependent tail-free processes. The extension includes a modification to facilitate (conditionally) conjugate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Bernardo Flores , Peter Mueller

Bayesian analysis of data from the general linear mixed model is challenging because any nontrivial prior leads to an intractable posterior density. However, if a conditionally conjugate prior density is adopted, then there is a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Jorge Carlos Román , James P. Hobert

This paper concerns the introduction of a new Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme for posterior sampling in Bayesian nonparametric mixture models with priors that belong to the general Poisson-Kingman class. We present a novel compact way of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-22 Maria Lomeli , Stefano Favaro , Yee Whye Teh

Clustering is one of the most widely used procedures in the analysis of microarray data, for example with the goal of discovering cancer subtypes based on observed heterogeneity of genetic marks between different tissues. It is well-known…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-21 Heng Lian

To improve the predictability of complex computational models in the experimentally-unknown domains, we propose a Bayesian statistical machine learning framework utilizing the Dirichlet distribution that combines results of several…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-06 Vojtech Kejzlar , Léo Neufcourt , Witold Nazarewicz

Dirichlet process mixtures are flexible non-parametric models, particularly suited to density estimation and probabilistic clustering. In this work we study the posterior distribution induced by Dirichlet process mixtures as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Giovanni Rebaudo , Giacomo Zanella

Marked point process data arise when events occur in a space with event-level marks. We study clustering of replicated marked Poisson point processes and introduce Dirichlet process mixtures of marked Poisson point processes, a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Minsung Choi , Seonghyun Jeong

Discrete state spaces represent a major computational challenge to statistical inference, since the computation of normalisation constants requires summation over large or possibly infinite sets, which can be impractical. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

This work is motivated by the analysis of ecological interaction networks. Poisson stochastic blockmodels are widely used in this field to decipher the structure that underlies a weighted network, while accounting for covariate effects.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-24 Sophie Donnet , Stéphane Robin

In this paper we propose a model with a Dirichlet process mixture of gamma densities in the bulk part below threshold and a generalized Pareto density in the tail for extreme value estimation. The proposed model is simple and flexible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-03 Jairo Fuquene

There is a very rich literature proposing Bayesian approaches for clustering starting with a prior probability distribution on partitions. Most approaches assume exchangeability, leading to simple representations in terms of Exchangeable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Sally Paganin , Amy H. Herring , Andrew F. Olshan , David B. Dunson

This paper introduces Dirichlet process mixtures of block $g$ priors for model selection and prediction in linear models. These priors are extensions of traditional mixtures of $g$ priors that allow for differential shrinkage for various…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Anupreet Porwal , Abel Rodriguez

In this paper we consider the problem of dynamic clustering, where cluster memberships may change over time and clusters may split and merge over time, thus creating new clusters and destroying existing ones. We propose a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-24 Maria De Iorio , Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Lifeng Ye

In Bayesian inference for mixture models with an unknown number of components, a finite mixture model is usually employed that assumes prior distributions for mixing weights and the number of components. This model is called a mixture of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

Doubly intractable problems occur when both the likelihood and the posterior are available only in unnormalised form, with computationally intractable normalisation constants. Bayesian inference then typically requires direct approximation…