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We introduce the notion of p*-values (p*-variables), which generalizes p-values (p-variables) in several senses. The new notion has four natural interpretations: operational, probabilistic, Bayesian, and frequentist. A main example of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Ruodu Wang

We investigate the distributed multi-agent sharing optimization problem in a directed graph, with a composite objective function consisting of a smooth function plus a convex (possibly non-smooth) function shared by all agents. While…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Sajad Zandi , Mehdi Korki

Pearson's Chi-square test is a widely used tool for analyzing categorical data, yet its statistical power has remained theoretically underexplored. Due to the difficulties in obtaining its power function in the usual manner, Cochran (1952)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Qingyang Zhang

This article explores the generalized analysis-of-variance or ANOVA dimensional decomposition (ADD) for multivariate functions of dependent random variables. Two notable properties, stemming from weakened annihilating conditions, reveal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Sharif Rahman

We propose a novel reformulation of the stochastic optimal control problem as an approximate inference problem, demonstrating, that such a interpretation leads to new practical methods for the original problem. In particular we characterise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-09-22 Konrad Rawlik , Marc Toussaint , Sethu Vijayakumar

An infinite-dimensional bilinear optimal control problem with infinite-time horizon is considered. The associated value function can be expanded in a Taylor series around the equilibrium, the Taylor series involving multilinear forms which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Tobias Breiten , Karl Kunisch , Laurent Pfeiffer

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

We derive analytic formulas to reconstruct particle-averaged quantities from experimental results that suffer from the efficiency loss of particle measurements. These formulas are derived under the assumption that the probabilities of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-10-17 Masakiyo Kitazawa , ShinIchi Esumi , Takafumi Niida , Toshihiro Nonaka

Gauss--Christoffel quadrature is a fundamental method for numerical integration, and its convergence analysis is closely related to the decay of Chebyshev expansion coefficients. Classical estimates, including those due to Trefethen, are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Mehdi Hamzehnejad , Abbas Salemi

Quantile aggregation with dependence uncertainty has a long history in probability theory with wide applications in finance, risk management, statistics, and operations research. Using a recent result on inf-convolution of quantile-based…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Jose Blanchet , Henry Lam , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

We study translation-invariant additive equations of the form $\sum_{i=1}^s \lambda_i \mathbf{P}(\mathbf{n}_i) = 0$ in variables $\mathbf{n}_i \in \mathbb{Z}^d$, where the $\lambda_i$ are nonzero integers summing to zero, and $\mathbf{P}$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-05-04 Kevin Henriot

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

The DUCK-calculus presented here is a recent approach to cope with probabilistic uncertainty in a sound and efficient way. Uncertain rules with bounds for probabilities and explicit conditional independences can be maintained incrementally.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Helmut Thone , Ulrich Guntzer , Werner Kiessling

In this paper, we obtain error bound for binomial and negative binomial approximations to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables, using Stein's method. We also discuss approximation results for weighted sums of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Amit N. Kumar

In observational causal inference, in order to emulate a randomized experiment, weights are used to render treatments independent of observed covariates. This property is known as balance; in its absence, estimated causal effects may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 David Arbour , Drew Dimmery , Arjun Sondhi

Polynomial optimization encompasses a broad class of problems in which both the objective function and constraints are polynomial functions of the decision variables. In recent years, a substantial body of research has focused on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Haibin Chen , Hong Yan , Guanglu Zhou

A novel method to solve inverse problems for the wave equation is introduced. The method is a combination of the boundary control method and an iterative time reversal scheme, leading to adaptive imaging of coefficient functions of the wave…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Kenrick Bingham , Yaroslav Kurylev , Matti Lassas , Samuli Siltanen

We derive the joint density of market weights, at fixed times and suitable stopping times, of the volatility-stabilized market models introduced by Fernholz and Karatzas in [Ann. Finan. 1 (2005) 149-177]. The argument rests on computing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Soumik Pal

A common goal in observational research is to estimate marginal causal effects in the presence of confounding variables. One solution to this problem is to use the covariate distribution to weight the outcomes such that the data appear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-18 Kevin P. Josey , Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga , Fan Yang , Debashis Ghosh

For over a century, extrapolation methods have provided a powerful tool to improve the convergence order of a numerical method. However, these tools are not well-suited to modern computer codes, where multiple continua are discretised and…

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