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We propose a method based on continuous time Markov chain approximation to compute the distribution of Parisian stopping times and price Parisian options under general one-dimensional Markov processes. We prove the convergence of the method…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Gongqiu Zhang , Lingfei Li

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang

Suppose there are $n$ Markov chains and we need to pay a per-step \emph{price} to advance them. The "destination" states of the Markov chains contain rewards; however, we can only get rewards for a subset of them that satisfy a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Anupam Gupta , Haotian Jiang , Ziv Scully , Sahil Singla

Most exact algorithms for general partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) use a form of dynamic programming in which a piecewise-linear and convex representation of one value function is transformed into another. We examine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Anthony R. Cassandra , Michael L. Littman , Nevin Lianwen Zhang

New algorithms for computing power moments of hitting times and accumulated rewards of hitting type for semi-Markov processes. The algorithms are based on special techniques of sequential phase space reduction and recurrence relations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Raimondo Manca

We present a new method for simulating Markovian jump processes with time-dependent transitions rates, which avoids the transformation of random numbers by inverting time integrals over the rates. It relies on constructing a sequence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Viktor Holubec , Petr Chvosta , Mario Einax , Philipp Maass

This paper is concerned with the solution of the optimal stopping problem associated to the valuation of Perpetual American options driven by continuous time Markov chains. We introduce a new dynamic approach for the numerical pricing of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Laurent Miclo , Stéphane Villeneuve

In many sequential decision-making problems one is interested in minimizing an expected cumulative cost while taking into account \emph{risk}, i.e., increased awareness of events of small probability and high consequences. Accordingly, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Lucas Janson , Marco Pavone

In this paper we study backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) driven by the compensated random measure associated to a given pure jump Markov process X on a general state space K. We apply these results to prove well-posedness…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

In an observed generalized semi-Markov regime, estimation of transition rate of regime switching leads towards calculation of locally risk minimizing option price. Despite the uniform convergence of estimated step function of transition…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Anindya Goswami , Sanket Nandan

We study the general approach to accelerating the convergence of the most widely used solution method of Markov decision processes with the total expected discounted reward. Inspired by the monotone behavior of the contraction mappings in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-03-28 Oleksandr Shlakhter , Chi-Guhn Lee , Dmitry Khmelev , Nasser Jaber

We study infinite horizon control of continuous-time non-linear branching processes with almost sure extinction for general (positive or negative) discount. Our main goal is to study the link between infinite horizon control of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Julien Claisse , Nicolas Champagnat

We model the stock price dynamics through a semi-Markov process obtained using a Poisson random measure. We establish the existence and uniqueness of the classical solution of a non-homogeneous terminal value problem and we show that the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Garima Agrawal , Anindya Goswami

Markov automata combine non-determinism, probabilistic branching, and exponentially distributed delays. This compositional variant of continuous-time Markov decision processes is used in reliability engineering, performance evaluation and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-05-11 Tim Quatmann , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We consider the stochastic ranking process with the jump times of the particles determined by Poisson random measures. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of scaled position and intensity measure converges almost surely in the…

This paper studies maximisation of an average-cost-per-unit-time ergodic functional over impulse strategies controlling a Feller-Markov process. The uncontrolled process is assumed to be ergodic but, unlike the extant literature, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Jan Palczewski , Lukasz Stettner

We present the particle method for simulating the solution to the path-dependent McKean-Vlasov equation, in which both the drift and the diffusion coefficients depend on the whole trajectory of the process up to the current time t, as well…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Armand Bernou , Yating Liu

This paper deals with numerical solutions to an impulse control problem arising from optimal portfolio liquidation with bid-ask spread and market price impact penalizing speedy execution trades. The corresponding dynamic programming (DP)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-07 Fabien Guilbaud , Mohamed Mnif , Huyên Pham

The present article explores the application of randomized control techniques in empirical asset pricing and performance evaluation. It introduces geometric random walks, a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, to construct flexible…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Cyril Bachelard , Apostolos Chalkis , Vissarion Fisikopoulos , Elias Tsigaridas

We study a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes with state space Rd x E where E is a finite set. The continuous component evolves according to a smooth vector field that is switched at the jump times of the discrete coordinate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Michel Benaïm , Stéphane Le Borgne , Florent Malrieu , Pierre-André Zitt
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