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Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

For many probability laws, in parametric models, the estimation of the parameters can be done in the frame of the maximum likelihood method, or in the frame of moment estimation methods, or by using the plug-in method, etc. Usually, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Gorgui Gning , Aladji Babacar Niang , Modou Ngom , Gane Samb Lo

Over the fast few years, the numerical success of the generalized alternating direction method of multipliers (GADMM) proposed by Eckstein \& Bertsekas [Math. Prog., 1992] has inspired intensive attention in analyzing its theoretical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-09 Han Wang , Peili Li , Yunhai Xiao

We explore how much knowing a parametric restriction on propensity scores improves semiparametric efficiency bounds in the potential outcome framework. For stratified propensity scores, considered as a parametric model, we derive explicit…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-04 Haruki Kono

This paper investigates the efficiency of an alternative to ratio estimator under the super population model with uncorrelated errors and a gamma-distributed auxiliary variable. Comparisons with usual ratio and unbiased estimators are also…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 M. Khoshnevisan , F. Kaymram , Housila P. Singh , Rajesh Singh , Florentin Smarandache

We present a new algorithm for general reinforcement learning where the true environment is known to belong to a finite class of N arbitrary models. The algorithm is shown to be near-optimal for all but O(N log^2 N) time-steps with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-23 Tor Lattimore , Marcus Hutter , Peter Sunehag

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

We provide experimental evaluation of a number of known and new algorithms for approximate computation of Monroe's and Chamberlin-Courant's rules. Our experiments, conducted both on real-life preference-aggregation data and on synthetic…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2013-01-29 Piotr Skowron , Piotr Faliszewski , Arkadii Slinko

In finite samples, the use of a slightly endogenous but highly relevant instrument can reduce mean-squared error (MSE). Building on this observation, I propose a novel moment selection procedure for GMM -- the Focused Moment Selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Francis J. DiTraglia

I propose a semiparametric Bayesian inference framework for conditional moment equalities. The core idea is that these models deterministically map a conditional distribution of data to a structural parameter via the restriction that a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-19 Christopher D. Walker

Coherent lower previsions are general probabilistic models allowing incompletely specified probability distributions. However, for complete description of a coherent lower prevision -- even on finite underlying sample spaces -- an infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Damjan Škulj

We propose an approach to compute inner and outer-approximations of the sets of values satisfying constraints expressed as arbitrarily quantified formulas. Such formulas arise for instance when specifying important problems in control such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-22 Eric Goubault , Sylvie Putot

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

Instrumental variable analysis is a powerful tool for estimating causal effects when randomization or full control of confounders is not possible. The application of standard methods such as 2SLS, GMM, and more recent variants are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-08 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus , Tobias Schnabel

In the context of first-order algorithms subject to random gradient noise, we study the trade-offs between the convergence rate (which quantifies how fast the initial conditions are forgotten) and the "risk" of suboptimality, i.e.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Bugra Can , Mert Gürbüzbalaban

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative method for finding maximum likelihood estimates when data are incomplete or are treated as being incomplete. The EM algorithm and its variants are commonly used for parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-26 Ryan P. Browne , Sanjeena Subedi , Paul McNicholas

We propose a class of estimators for the parameters of a GARCH(p,q) sequence. We show that our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal under mild conditions. The quasi-maximum likelihood and the likelihood estimators are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

Standard maximum likelihood estimation cannot be applied to discrete energy-based models in the general case because the computation of exact model probabilities is intractable. Recent research has seen the proposal of several new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Benjamin Marlin , Nando de Freitas

A new method of quasi-optimal observables allows one to approach the quality of data processing usually associated with the method of maximal likelihood within the simpler algorithmic context of generalized moments.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 F. V. Tkachov

Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) are ubiquitous in statistical learning, particularly for unsupervised problems. While full GMMs suffer from the overparameterization of their covariance matrices in high-dimensional spaces, spherical GMMs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-10 Tom Szwagier , Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Charles Bouveyron , Xavier Pennec