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We assess the coverage properties of confidence and credible intervals on the CMSSM parameter space inferred from a Bayesian posterior and the profile likelihood based on an ATLAS sensitivity study. In order to make those calculations…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-07-08 M. Bridges , K. Cranmer , F. Feroz , M. Hobson , R. Ruiz de Austri , R. Trotta

Weak-scale supersymmetry is one of the most favoured theories beyond the Standard Model of particle physics that elegantly solves various theoretical and observational problems in both particle physics and cosmology. In this thesis, I…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-04 Yashar Akrami

We discuss irreducible statistical limitations of future ton-scale dark matter direct detection experiments. We focus in particular on the coverage of confidence intervals, which quantifies the reliability of the statistical method used to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2012-11-29 Charlotte Strege , Roberto Trotta , Gianfranco Bertone , Annika H. G. Peter , Pat Scott

The Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (CMSSM) is one of the simplest and most widely-studied supersymmetric extensions to the standard model of particle physics. Nevertheless, current data do not sufficiently constrain the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-03-13 Yashar Akrami , Pat Scott , Joakim Edsjö , Jan Conrad , Lars Bergström

We perform a first global exploration of the Constrained Next-to-Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model using Bayesian statistics. We derive several global features of the model and find that, in some contrast to initial expectations, they…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-05-13 Daniel E. Lopez-Fogliani , Leszek Roszkowski , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Tom A. Varley

We perform a comprehensive exploration of the Constrained MSSM parameters using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo technique and a Bayesian analysis. We compute superpartner masses and other collider observables as well as a cold dark matter…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-04-06 Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Roberto Trotta , Leszek Roszkowski

We use a newly released version of the SuperBayeS code to analyze the impact of the choice of priors and the influence of various constraints on the statistical conclusions for the preferred values of the parameters of the Constrained MSSM.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-02-03 R. Trotta , F. Feroz , M. P. Hobson , L. Roszkowski , R. Ruiz de Austri

Within the framework of the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (MSSM), we explore a decoupling of the parameters into separate sectors that determine consistency with collider data, the abundance of dark matter, and potential signatures…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2016-07-27 Pearl Sandick

Motivated by recent results from particle physics analyses, we investigate the Next-to-Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (NMSSM) as a framework capable of accommodating a range of current data anomalies across low- and high-energy…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-11-11 A. Hammad , Raymundo Ramos , Amit Chakraborty , Pyungwon Ko , Stefano Moretti

We perform a global Bayesian fit of the phenomenological minimal supersymmetric standard model (pMSSM) to current indirect collider and dark matter data. The pMSSM contains the most relevant 25 weak-scale MSSM parameters, which are…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-05-28 S. S. AbdusSalam , B. C. Allanach , F. Quevedo , F. Feroz , M. Hobson

We demonstrate the efficacy of symbolic regression (SR) to probe models of particle physics Beyond the Standard Model (BSM), by considering the so-called Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (CMSSM). Like many incarnations of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-24 Shehu AbdusSalam , Steven Abel , Deaglan Bartlett , Miguel Crispim Romão

The next-to-minimal supersymmetric standard model (NMSSM) naturally provides a 125 GeV Higgs boson without the need for large loop corrections from multi-TeV stop quarks. Furthermore, the NMSSM provides an electroweak scale dark matter…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-09-18 C. Beskidt , W. de Boer

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

We study the problem of selecting between different mechanisms of supersymmetry breaking in the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model using current data. We evaluate the Bayesian evidence of four supersymmetry breaking scenarios: mSUGRA,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-09-30 S. S. AbdusSalam , B. C. Allanach , M. J. Dolan , F. Feroz , M. P. Hobson

Due to the growing adoption of deep neural networks in many fields of science and engineering, modeling and estimating their uncertainties has become of primary importance. Despite the growing literature about uncertainty quantification in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Brian Staber , Sébastien Da Veiga

The status of the constrained minimal supersymmetric standard model (CMSSM) will be discussed in light of our current understanding of the relic density after WMAP. A global likelihood analysis of the model is performed including data from…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Keith A. Olive

The Standard Model of particle physics has been strengthened by the recent discovery of the long-awaited Higgs boson. The standard cosmological model has met the challenge of the high precision observations in cosmology and astroparticle…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2013-12-03 Jonathan Da Silva

Cosmological parameter uncertainties are often stated assuming a particular model, neglecting the model uncertainty, even when Bayesian model selection is unable to identify a conclusive best model. Bayesian model averaging is a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-12-23 David Parkinson , Andrew R. Liddle

Frequentist parameter inference using profile likelihoods has received increased attention in the cosmology literature recently since it can give important complementary information to Bayesian credible intervals. Here, we give a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-07 Laura Herold , Elisa G. M. Ferreira , Lukas Heinrich

We update a previously-proposed set of supersymmetric benchmark scenarios, taking into account the precise constraints on the cold dark matter density obtained by combining WMAP and other cosmological data, as well as the LEP and b -> s…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-09-11 M. Battaglia , A. De Roeck , J. Ellis , F. Gianotti , K. A. Olive , L. Pape
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