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Graphical models are useful tools for describing structured high-dimensional probability distributions. Development of efficient algorithms for learning graphical models with least amount of data remains an active research topic.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra , Andrey Y. Lokhov

Probabilistic graphical models are powerful tools which allow us to formalise our knowledge about the world and reason about its inherent uncertainty. There exist a considerable number of methods for performing inference in probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Robert Walecki , Albert Buchard , Kostis Gourgoulias , Chris Hart , Maria Lomeli , A. K. W. Navarro , Max Zwiessele , Yura Perov , Saurabh Johri

In this paper we discuss a well known computing problem -- inference for models with intractable normalizing functions. Models with intractable normalizing functions arise in a wide variety of areas, for instance network models, models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Murali Haran , Bokgyeong Kang , Jaewoo Park

Probabilistic graphical models offer a powerful framework to account for the dependence structure between variables, which is represented as a graph. However, the dependence between variables may render inference tasks intractable. In this…

Graphs are widely used for describing systems made up of many interacting components and for understanding the structure of their interactions. Various statistical models exist, which describe this structure as the result of a combination…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-28 Louis Duvivier , Rémy Cazabet , Céline Robardet

In this paper, we address the problem of learning the structure of a pairwise graphical model from samples in a high-dimensional setting. Our first main result studies the sparsistency, or consistency in sparsity pattern recovery,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-28 Ali Jalali , Chris Johnson , Pradeep Ravikumar

There have been two separate lines of work on estimating Ising models: (1) estimating them from multiple independent samples under minimal assumptions about the model's interaction matrix; and (2) estimating them from one sample in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-11 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

Neighborhood selection is a widely used method used for estimating the support set of sparse precision matrices, which helps determine the conditional dependence structure in undirected graphical models. However, reporting only point…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

The reconstruction of interaction networks between random events is a critical problem arising from statistical physics and politics, sociology, biology, psychology, and beyond. The Ising model lays the foundation for this reconstruction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Xuanyu Chen , Jin Zhu , Junxian Zhu , Xueqin Wang , Heping Zhang

Conformal inference is a method that provides prediction sets for machine learning models, operating independently of the underlying distributional assumptions and relying solely on the exchangeability of training and test data. Despite its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Daniela Corbetta , Livio Finos , Ludwig Geistlinger , Davide Risso

In this paper we study the inference of the kinetic Ising model on sparse graphs by the decimation method. The decimation method, which was first proposed in [Phys. Rev. Lett. 112, 070603] for the static inverse Ising problem, tries to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-06-30 Aurélien Decelle , Pan Zhang

We consider structure discovery of undirected graphical models from observational data. Inferring likely structures from few examples is a complex task often requiring the formulation of priors and sophisticated inference procedures.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-04 Eugene Belilovsky , Kyle Kastner , Gaël Varoquaux , Matthew Blaschko

Chordal graphs can be used to encode dependency models that are representable by both directed acyclic and undirected graphs. This paper discusses a very simple and efficient algorithm to learn the chordal structure of a probabilistic model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Vincent Auvray , Louis Wehenkel

We describe a probabilistic (generative) view of affinity matrices along with inference algorithms for a subclass of problems associated with data clustering. This probabilistic view is helpful in understanding different models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Romer Rosales , Brendan J. Frey

Based on dynamical cavity method, we propose an approach to the inference of kinetic Ising model, which asks to reconstruct couplings and external fields from given time-dependent output of original system. Our approach gives an exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-24 Pan Zhang

We study the problem of causal structure learning when the experimenter is limited to perform at most $k$ non-adaptive experiments of size $1$. We formulate the problem of finding the best intervention target set as an optimization problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-03 AmirEmad Ghassami , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash , Elias Bareinboim

A statistical inference method is developed and tested for pairwise interacting systems whose degrees of freedom are continuous angular variables, such as planar spins in magnetic systems or wave phases in optics and acoustics. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 P. Tyagi , A. Pagnani , F. Antenucci , M. Ibáñez Berganza , L. Leuzzi

Recovering microscopic couplings directly from data provides a route to solving the inverse problem in statistical field theories, one that complements the traditional-often computationally intractable-forward approach of predicting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-24 Shreya Shukla , Abhijith Jayakumar , Andrey Y. Lokhov

We study inference and reconstruction of couplings in a partially observed kinetic Ising model. With hidden spins, calculating the likelihood of a sequence of observed spin configurations requires performing a trace over the configurations…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-04-13 Benjamin Dunn , Yasser Roudi

Likelihood based-learning of graphical models faces challenges of computational-complexity and robustness to model mis-specification. This paper studies methods that fit parameters directly to maximize a measure of the accuracy of predicted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-04 Justin Domke