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We introduce a new approach for decoupling trends (drift) and changepoints (shifts) in time series. Our locally adaptive model-based approach for robustly decoupling combines Bayesian trend filtering and machine learning based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Haoxuan Wu , Toryn L. J. Schafer , Sean Ryan , David S. Matteson

We propose a machine learning framework for parameter estimation of single mode Gaussian quantum states. Under a Bayesian framework, our approach estimates parameters of suitable prior distributions from measured data. For phase-space…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-08-16 Neel Kanth Kundu , Matthew R. McKay , Ranjan K. Mallik

Degree distribution models are incredibly important tools for analyzing and understanding the structure and formation of social networks, and can help guide the design of efficient graph algorithms. In particular, the Power-law degree…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-08-20 Alessandra Sala , Sabrina Gaito , Gian Paolo Rossi , Haitao Zheng , Ben Y. Zhao

In this paper, we provide a review on the kernel method, which is one of the options for characterizing so-called exact tail asymptotic properties in stationary probabilities of two-dimensional random walks, discrete or continuous (or…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-29 Yiqiang Q. Zhao

In this letter, we investigate a new generalized double Pareto based on off-grid sparse Bayesian learning (GDPOGSBL) approach to improve the performance of direction of arrival (DOA) estimation in underdetermined scenarios. The method aims…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-20 Yongfeng Huang , Zhendong Chen , Kun Ye , Lang Zhou , Haixin Sun

We present a method for computing the likelihood of a mixed hitting-time model that specifies durations as the first time a latent L\'evy process crosses a heterogeneous threshold. This likelihood is not generally known in closed form, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-03 Jaap H. Abbring , Tim Salimans

In this paper we study the stationary workload distribution of a fluid tandem queue in heavy traffic. We consider different types of L\'evy input, covering compound Poisson, $\alpha$-stable L\'evy motion (with $1<\alpha<2$), and Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-14 David T. Koops , Onno J. Boxma , Michel R. H. Mandjes

Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Jonathan H. Huggins , Ryan P. Adams , Tamara Broderick

Laplacian-P-splines (LPS) associate the P-splines smoother and the Laplace approximation in a unifying framework for fast and flexible inference under the Bayesian paradigm. Gaussian Markov field priors imposed on penalized latent variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Philippe Lambert , Oswaldo Gressani

Differential networks (DN) are important tools for modeling the changes in conditional dependencies between multiple samples. A Bayesian approach for estimating DNs, from the classical viewpoint, is introduced with a computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Jarod Smith , Mohammad Arashi , Andriette Bekker

We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising from random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses excursion probability theory to formulate a sequence of Bayesian…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-08 Vishwas Rao , Romit Maulik , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

We analyze a tandem network of polling queues with two product types and two stations. We assume that external arrivals to the network follow a Poisson process, and service times at each station are exponentially distributed. For this…

Performance · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Ravi Suman , Ananth Krishnamurthy

In this paper we analyze an $M/M/1$ queueing system with an arbitrary number of customer classes, with class-dependent exponential service rates and preemptive priorities between classes. The queuing system can be described by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Andrei Sleptchenko , Jori Selen , Ivo Adan , Geert-Jan van Houtum

Over the last two decades, the Latent Position Model (LPM) has become a prominent tool to obtain model-based visualizations of networks. However, the geometric structure of the LPM is inherently symmetric, in the sense that outgoing and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Chaoyi Lu , Riccardo Rastelli

Empirical likelihood is a very important nonparametric approach which is of wide application. However, it is hard and even infeasible to calculate the empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic with massive data. The main challenge is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-24 Qihua Wang , Jinye Du , Ying Sheng

The Chiral Random Matrix Model or the Gaussian Penner Model (generalized Laguerre ensemble) is re-examined in the light of the results which have been found in double well matrix models [D97,BD99] and subtleties discovered in the single…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 N. Deo

An accurate distribution network model is crucial for monitoring, state estimation and energy management. However, existing data-driven methods often struggle with scalability or impose a heavy computational burden on large distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-12 Sakirat Wolly , Xiaozhe Wang

This paper describes a general framework called Hybrid Dynamic Mixed Networks (HDMNs) which are Hybrid Dynamic Bayesian Networks that allow representation of discrete deterministic information in the form of constraints. We propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Vibhav Gogate , Rina Dechter , Bozhena Bidyuk , Craig Rindt , James Marca

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

There is a rich literature for modeling binary and polychotomous responses. However, existing methods are inadequate for handling combinatorial responses, where each response is an integer array under additional constraints. Such data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yu Zheng , Malay Ghosh , Leo Duan