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This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

In this paper, our focus lies on the Merton's jump diffusion model, employing jump processes characterized by the compound Poisson process. Our primary objective is to forecast the drift and volatility of the model using a variety of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Ayush Singh , Anshu K. Jha , Amit N. Kumar

In this article, a three-time levels compact scheme is proposed to solve the partial integro-differential equation governing the option prices under jump-diffusion models. In the proposed compact scheme, the second derivative approximation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-23 Kuldip Singh Patel , Mani Mehra

We consider the probabilistic numerical scheme for fully nonlinear PDEs suggested in \cite{cstv}, and show that it can be introduced naturally as a combination of Monte Carlo and finite differences scheme without appealing to the theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-26 Arash Fahim , Nizar Touzi , Xavier Warin

We propose a versatile Monte-Carlo method for pricing and hedging options when the market is incomplete, for an arbitrary risk criterion (chosen here to be the expected shortfall), for a large class of stochastic processes, and in the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Benoît Pochart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We develop diffusion-based samplers for target distributions known up to a normalising constant. To this end, we rely on the well-known diffusion path that smoothly interpolates between a simple base distribution and the target, popularised…

Following the foundational work of the Black--Scholes model, extensive research has been developed to price the option by addressing its underlying assumptions and associated pricing biases. This study introduces a novel framework for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-21 Tapan Kar , Suprio Bhar , Barun Sarkar , Sesha Meka

In this article, a compact finite difference method is proposed for pricing European and American options under jump-diffusion models. Partial integro-differential equation and linear complementary problem governing European and American…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-25 Kuldip Singh Patel , Mani Mehra

We consider the approximation scheme of the American call option via the discrete Morse semiflow. It is the minimizing scheme of a time-semidiscretized variational functional. In this paper we obtain a rate of convergence of approximate…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-10-30 Katsuyuki Ishii , Seiro Omata

We present a machine learning approach for finding minimal equivalent martingale measures for markets simulators of tradable instruments, e.g. for a spot price and options written on the same underlying. We extend our results to markets…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-13 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

We investigate the (functional) convex order of for various continuous martingale processes, either with respect to their diffusions coefficients for L\'evy-driven SDEs or their integrands for stochastic integrals. Main results are bordered…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-24 Gilles Pagès

Sequential Monte Carlo techniques are useful for state estimation in non-linear, non-Gaussian dynamic models. These methods allow us to approximate the joint posterior distribution using sequential importance sampling. In this framework,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-09 Mike Klaas , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

We propose a new `hedged' Monte-Carlo (HMC) method to price financial derivatives, which allows to determine simultaneously the optimal hedge. The inclusion of the optimal hedging strategy allows one to reduce the financial risk associated…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Dragan Sestovic

When the underlying asset displays oscillations, spikes or heavy-tailed distributions, the lognormal diffusion process (for which Black and Scholes developed their momentous option pricing formula) is inadequate: in order to overcome these…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-22 Marcellino Gaudenzi , Alice Spangaro , Patrizia Stucchi

This paper introduces a class of Monte Carlo algorithms which are based upon the simulation of a Markov process whose quasi-stationary distribution coincides with a distribution of interest. This differs fundamentally from, say, current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-14 Murray Pollock , Paul Fearnhead , Adam M. Johansen , Gareth O. Roberts

First, classes of Markov processes that scale exactly with a Hurst exponent H are derived in closed form. A special case of one class is the Tsallis density, advertised elsewhere as nonlinear diffusion or diffusion with nonlinear feedback.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 J. L. McCauley , G. H. Gunaratne , K. E. Bassler

With model uncertainty characterized by a convex, possibly non-dominated set of probability measures, the agent minimizes the cost of hedging a path dependent contingent claim with given expected success ratio, in a discrete-time,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-29 Erhan Bayraktar , Gu Wang

We construct importance sampling schemes for stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating coefficients. Standard Monte Carlo methods perform poorly for these problems in the small noise limit. With multiscale…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-03 Paul Dupuis , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Hui Wang

A reaction-diffusion problem with a Caputo time derivative is considered. An integral discretization scheme on a graded mesh along with a decomposition of the exact solution is proposed. The truncation error estimate of the discretization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Zhongdi Cen , Jian Huang , Anbo Le , Aimin Xu

Importance sampling is a promising variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo simulation based derivative pricing. Existing importance sampling methods are based on a parametric choice of the proposal. This article proposes an algorithm…

Applications · Statistics 2009-04-14 Jan C. Neddermeyer