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We study the interaction between returns and order flow imbalances in the S&P 500 E-mini futures market using a structural VAR model identified through heteroskedasticity. The model is estimated at one-second frequency for each 15-minute…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Makoto Takahashi

By studying all the trades and best bids/asks of ultra high frequency snapshots recorded from the order books of a basket of 10 futures assets, we bring qualitative empirical evidence that the impact of a single trade depends on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-28 Khalil al Dayri , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-Francois Muzy

We study recurrent patterns in volatility and volume for major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ether, using data from two centralized exchanges (Coinbase Pro and Binance) and a decentralized exchange (Uniswap V2). We find systematic patterns…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chan Kim , Wade Kimbrough

Investigations of inverse statistics (a concept borrowed from turbulence) in stock markets, exemplified with filtered Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, have uncovered a novel stylized fact that the distribution of exit time…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Wei-Xing Zhou , Wei-Kang Yuan

This paper investigates the dynamics of in the S&P500 index from daily returns for the last 30 years. Using a stochastic geometry technique, each S&P500 yearly batch of data is embedded in a subspace that can be accurately described by a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-16 Tanya Araújo , Francisco Louçã

Modifications of the Cont-Bouchaud percolation model for price fluctuations give an asymmetry for time-reversal, an asymmetry between high and low prices, volatility clustering, effective multifractality, correlations between volatility and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 I. Chang , D. Stauffer , R. B. Pandey

We study the relationship between price spread, volatility and trading volume. We find that spread forms as a result of interplay between order liquidity and order impact. When trading volume is small adding more liquidity helps improve…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-24 Jack Sarkissian

We study the stochastic structure of cryptocurrency rates of returns as compared to stock returns by focusing on the associated cross-sectional distributions. We build two datasets. The first comprises forty-six major cryptocurrencies, and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-10-10 Emanuele Citera , Francesco De Pretis

Trading pressure from one asset can move the price of another, a phenomenon referred to as cross impact. Using tick-by-tick data spanning 5 years for 500 assets listed in the United States, we identify the features that make cross-impact…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-27 Victor Le Coz , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Damien Challet , Michael Benzaquen

Scale-free distributions and correlation functions found in financial data are reminiscent of the scale invariance of physical observables in the vicinity of a critical point. Here, we present empirical evidence for a transition phenomenon,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Vasiliki Plerou , Parameswaran Gopikrishnan , H. Eugene Stanley

In our empirical study, we examine the price of liquid stocks after experiencing a large intraday price change using data from the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We find significant reversal for both intraday price decreases and increases. The…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Adam G. Zawadowski , Gyorgy Andor , Janos Kertesz

We study historical correlations and lead-lag relationships between individual stock risk (volatility of daily stock returns) and market risk (volatility of daily returns of a market-representative portfolio) in the US stock market. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-03 Stanislav S. Borysov , Alexander V. Balatsky

The distribution of trade sizes and trading volumes are investigated based on the limit order book data of 22 liquid Chinese stocks listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in the whole year 2003. We observe that the size distribution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-10 Guo-Hua Mu , Wei Chen , János Kertész , Wei-Xing Zhou

Understanding the mutual relationships between information flows and social activity in society today is one of the cornerstones of the social sciences. In financial economics, the key issue in this regard is understanding and quantifying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-11 Ryohei Hisano , Didier Sornette , Takayuki Mizuno , Takaaki Ohnishi , Tsutomu Watanabe

The random values and volumes of consecutive trades made at the exchange with shares of security determine its mean, variance, and higher statistical moments. The volume weighted average price (VWAP) is the simplest example of such a…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-21 Victor Olkhov

Financial data has been extensively studied for correlations using Pearson's cross-correlation coefficient {\rho} as the point of departure. We employ an estimator based on recurrence plots --- the Correlation of Probability of Recurrence…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-05 B. Goswami , G. Ambika , N. Marwan , J. Kurths

This paper introduces new methods to study behaviours among the 52 largest cryptocurrencies between 01-01-2019 and 30-06-2021. First, we explore evolutionary correlation behaviours and apply a recently proposed turning point algorithm to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Nick James , Max Menzies

In a recent Nature paper, Gabaix et al. \cite{Gabaix03} presented a theory to explain the power law tail of price fluctuations. The main points of their theory are that volume fluctuations, which have a power law tail with exponent roughly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

In financial markets, low prices are generally associated with high volatilities and vice-versa, this well known stylized fact usually being referred to as leverage effect. We propose a local volatility model, given by a stochastic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-25 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

In this study, we investigate the statistical properties of the returns and the trading volume. We show a typical example of power-law distributions of the return and of the trading volume. Next, we propose an interacting agent model of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji
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