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Model-based diagnosis reasons backwards from a functional schematic of a system to isolate faults given observations of anomalous behavior. We develop a fully probabilistic approach to model based diagnosis and extend it to support…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Sampath Srinivas

Spatial connectivity is an important consideration when modelling infectious disease data across a geographical region. Connectivity can arise for many reasons, including shared characteristics between regions, and human or vector movement.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Sophie A Lee , Theodoros Economou , Rachel Lowe

The task of matching co-referent records is known among other names as rocord linkage. For large record-linkage problems, often there is little or no labeled data available, but unlabeled data shows a reasonable clear structure. For such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Pradeep Ravikumar , William Cohen

We consider the challenges that arise when fitting complex ecological models to 'large' data sets. In particular, we focus on random effect models which are commonly used to describe individual heterogeneity, often present in ecological…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Ruth King , Blanca Sarzo , Víctor Elvira

Assessing the magnitude of fuel consumption of marine traffic is a challenging task. The consumption can be reduced by the ways the vessels are operated, to achieve both improved cost efficiency and reduced CO2 emissions. Mathematical…

We propose a hierarchical Bayesian model to estimate the proportional contribution of source populations to a newly founded colony. Samples are derived from the first generation offspring in the colony, but mating may occur preferentially…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Feng Guo , Dipak K. Dey , Kent E. Holsinger

We consider the problem of aggregating predictions or measurements from a set of human forecasters, models, sensors or other instruments which may be subject to bias or miscalibration and random heteroscedastic noise. We propose a Bayesian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Chirag Nagpal , Robert E. Tillman , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

Mislabeled, duplicated, or biased data in real-world scenarios can lead to prolonged training and even hinder model convergence. Traditional solutions prioritizing easy or hard samples lack the flexibility to handle such a variety…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Zhijie Deng , Peng Cui , Jun Zhu

Analyzing electronic health records (EHR) poses significant challenges because often few samples are available describing a patient's health and, when available, their information content is highly diverse. The problem we consider is how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-20 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

We introduce a novel rule-based approach for handling regression problems. The new methodology carries elements from two frameworks: (i) it provides information about the uncertainty of the parameters of interest using Bayesian inference,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Themistoklis Botsas , Lachlan R. Mason , Indranil Pan

Hierarchical forecasting is a key problem in many practical multivariate forecasting applications - the goal is to simultaneously predict a large number of correlated time series that are arranged in a pre-specified aggregation hierarchy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Biswajit Paria , Rajat Sen , Amr Ahmed , Abhimanyu Das

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

There is increasing appetite for analysing populations of network data due to the fast-growing body of applications demanding such methods. While methods exist to provide readily interpretable summaries of heterogeneous network populations,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-21 Anastasia Mantziou , Simon Lunagomez , Robin Mitra

Hierarchical modeling of abundance in space or time using closed-population mark-recapture under heterogeneity (model M$_{h}$) presents two challenges: (i) finding a flexible likelihood in which abundance appears as an explicit parameter…

Applications · Statistics 2015-04-10 Matthew R. Schofield , Richard J. Barker

In this paper, we develop a graphical modeling framework for the inference of networks across multiple sample groups and data types. In medical studies, this setting arises whenever a set of subjects, which may be heterogeneous due to…

With continued advances in Geographic Information Systems and related computational technologies, statisticians are often required to analyze very large spatial datasets. This has generated substantial interest over the last decade, already…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Lu Zhang , Abhirup Datta , Sudipto Banerjee

Small area estimation has become an important tool in official statistics, used to construct estimates of population quantities for domains with small sample sizes. Typical area-level models function as a type of heteroscedastic regression,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

This thesis responds to the challenges of using a large number, such as thousands, of features in regression and classification problems. There are two situations where such high dimensional features arise. One is when high dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-09-20 Longhai Li

Micro and survey datasets often contain private information about individuals, like their health status, income or political preferences. Previous studies have shown that, even after data anonymization, a malicious intruder could still be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-26 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Rimella

This paper analyzes hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems using techniques from high-dimensional statistics. Our analysis leverages a property of hierarchical Bayesian regularizers that we call approximate decomposability to obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek
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