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Given observations from a stationary time series, permutation tests allow one to construct exactly level $\alpha$ tests under the null hypothesis of an i.i.d. (or, more generally, exchangeable) distribution. On the other hand, when the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

The likelihood ratio test (LRT) is widely used for comparing the relative fit of nested latent variable models. Following Wilks' theorem, the LRT is conducted by comparing the LRT statistic with its asymptotic distribution under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki , Haoran Zhang

An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

Filyokov and Karpov [Inzhenerno-Fizicheskii Zhurnal 13, 624 (1967)] have proposed a theory of non-equilibrium steady states in direct analogy with the theory of equilibrium states : the principle is to maximize the Shannon entropy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-07 Cecile Monthus

We propose a new goodness-of-fit test for copulas, based on empirical copula processes and their nonparametric bootstrap counterparts. The standard Kolmogorov-Smirnov type test for copulas that takes the supremum of the empirical copula…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-03 Jean-David Fermanian , Dragan Radulovic , Marten Wegkamp

In this paper, we investigate hypothesis testing for the linear combination of mean vectors across multiple populations through the method of random integration. We have established the asymptotic distributions of the test statistics under…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-13 Jianghao Li , Shizhe Hong , Zhenzhen Niu , Zhidong Bai

We present a new method for statistical verification of quantitative properties over a partially unknown system with actions, utilising a parameterised model (in this work, a parametric Markov decision process) and data collected from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-06 Elizabeth Polgreen , Viraj Wijesuriya , Sofie Haesaert , Alessandro Abate

The Markov assumption (MA) is fundamental to the empirical validity of reinforcement learning. In this paper, we propose a novel Forward-Backward Learning procedure to test MA in sequential decision making. The proposed test does not assume…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-06 Chengchun Shi , Runzhe Wan , Rui Song , Wenbin Lu , Ling Leng

This paper presents a procedure for testing the hypothesis that the underlying distribution of the data is elliptical when using robust location and scatter estimators instead of the sample mean and covariance matrix. Under mild assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-20 Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Isabel M. Rodrigues

We propose a novel statistical test to assess the mutual independence of multidimensional random vectors. Our approach is based on the $L_1$-distance between the joint density function and the product of the marginal densities associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Nour-Eddine Berrahou , Salim Bouzebda , Lahcen Douge

The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Elodie Vernet

We study in this paper the weak propagation of chaos for McKean--Vlasov diffusions with branching, whose induced marginal measures are nonnegative finite measures but not necessary probability measures. The flow of marginal measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Wenjing Cao , Zhenjie Ren , Xiaolu Tan

The Kolmogorov--Smirnov (KS) test is a widely used statistical test that assesses the conformity of a sample to a specified distribution. Its efficacy, however, diminishes with serially dependent data and when parameters within the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Mathew Chandy , Elizabeth Schifano , Jun Yan , Xianyang Zhang

We provide a unified framework for independence and mean independence tests based on the Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion, extending some previous results in the literature to hold in general topological spaces. We also present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daniel Diz-Castro , Manuel Febrero-Bande , Wenceslao González-Manteiga

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Markov basis for statistical model of contingency tables gives a useful tool for performing the conditional test of the model via Markov chain Monte Carlo method. In this paper we derive explicit forms of Markov bases for change point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-14 Mitsunori Ogawa , Akimichi Takemura

This paper considers parametric model adequacy tests for nonlinear multivariate dynamic models. It is shown that commonly used Kolmogorov-type tests do not take into account cross-sectional nor time-dependence structure, and a test, based…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Igor L. Kheifets

We tackle the stationarity issue of an autoregressive path with a polynomial trend, and we generalize some aspects of the LMC test, the testing procedure of Leybourne and McCabe. First, we show that it is possible to get the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-23 Proïa Frédéric

Given n observations, we study the consistency of a batch of k new observations, in terms of their distribution function. We propose a non-parametric, non-likelihood test based on Edgeworth expansion of the distribution function. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-08 Mahendra Mariadassou , Avner Bar-Hen

We briefly review Boltzmann-Gibbs and nonextensive statistical mechanics as well as their connections with Fokker-Planck equations and with existing central limit theorems. We then provide some hints that might pave the road to the proof of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-29 Constantino Tsallis