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Temperature scaling is a simple method that allows to control the uncertainty of probabilistic models. It is mostly used in two contexts: improving the calibration of classifiers and tuning the stochasticity of large language models (LLMs).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Bruno Loureiro

Monte Carlo simulations are an essential tool in particle physics data analysis. Events are typically generated alongside weights that redistribute the cross section of the simulated process across the phase space. These weights can be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-05-13 Benjamin Nachman , Dennis Noll

At present, many laboratories are performing experiments to simulate theoretical models of strongly correlated systems using cold atoms in optical lattices, a program referred to as "Quantum Simulation". It is hoped that these experiments…

Superconductivity · Physics 2016-11-07 Tin-Lun Ho , Qi Zhou

The transition between the two phases of 4D Euclidean Dynamical Triangulation [1] was long believed to be of second order until in 1996 first order behavior was found for sufficiently large systems [5,9]. However, one may wonder if this…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-11-18 Tobias Rindlisbacher , Philippe de Forcrand

Modern problems in astronomical Bayesian inference require efficient methods for sampling from complex, high-dimensional, often multi-modal probability distributions. Most popular methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, perform…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-16 Will Vousden , Will M. Farr , Ilya Mandel

In this paper we present extensions to the original adaptive parallel tempering algorithm. Two different approaches are presented. In the first one we introduce state-dependent strategies using current information to perform a swap step. It…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-25 Mateusz Krzysztof Łącki , Błażej Miasojedow

Integrated tempering sampling (ITS) method is an approach to enhance the sampling over a broad range of energies and temperatures in computer simulations. In this paper, a new version of integrated tempering sampling method is proposed. In…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Peng Zhao , Li Jiang Yang , Yi Qin Gao , Zhong-Yuan Lu

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) underlies both statistical physics and combinatorial optimization, but mixes slowly near critical points and in rough landscapes. Parallel Tempering (PT) improves mixing by swapping replicas across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Saleh Bunaiyan , Corentin Delacour , Shuvro Chowdhury , Kyle Lee , Kerem Y. Camsari

Our research highlights the effectiveness of utilizing matrices akin to Wishart matrices, derived from magnetization time series data under specific dynamics, to elucidate phase transitions and critical phenomena in the Q-state Potts model.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-12 Roberto da Silva , Eliseu Venites , Sandra D. Prado , J. R. Drugowich de Felicio

A default assumption in many machine learning scenarios is that the training and test samples are drawn from the same probability distribution. However, such an assumption is often violated in the real world due to non-stationarity of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Tianyi Zhang , Ikko Yamane , Nan Lu , Masashi Sugiyama

The sea surface temperature (SST), a key environmental parameter, is crucial to optimizing production planning, making its accurate prediction a vital research topic. However, the inherent nonlinearity of the marine dynamic system presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Yin Wang , Chunlin Gong , Xiang Wu , Hanleran Zhang

We present iterative Monte Carlo algorithm for which the temperature variable is attracted by a critical point. The algorithm combines techniques of single histogram reweighting and linear filtering. The 2d Ising model of ferromagnet is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 M. Gmitra , D. Horvath

We propose an iterative proposal to estimate critical points for statistical models based on configurations by combing machine-learning tools. Firstly, phase scenarios and preliminary boundaries of phases are obtained by…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-10-23 X. L. Zhao , L. B. Fu

We construct a fast exact algorithm for the simulation of the first-passage time, jointly with the undershoot and overshoot, of a tempered stable subordinator over an arbitrary non-increasing absolutely continuous function. We prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Feng Lin , Aleksandar Mijatović

Fast and accurate sampling method is in high demand, in order to bridge the large gaps between molecular dynamic simulations and experimental observations. Recently, integrated tempering enhanced sampling method (ITS) has been proposed and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Zhiyi You , Liying Li , Jianfeng Lu , Hao Ge

We report large-scale computer simulations of the hard-disk system at high densities in the region of the melting transition. Our simulations reproduce the equation of state, previously obtained using the event-chain Monte Carlo algorithm,…

Competing phases or interactions in complex many-particle systems can result in free energy barriers that strongly suppress thermal equilibration. Here we discuss how extended ensemble Monte Carlo simulations can be used to study the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Trebst , D. A. Huse , E. Gull , H. G. Katzgraber , U. H. E. Hansmann , M. Troyer

All ensembles of statistical mechanics are equivalent in the sense that they give the equivalent thermodynamic functions in the thermodynamic limit. However, when investigating microscopic structures in the first-order phase transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-13 Yasushi Yoneta , Akira Shimizu

We study the dynamics of parallel tempering simulations, also known as the replica exchange technique, which has become the method of choice for simulation of proteins and other complex systems. Recent results for the optimal choice of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Walter Nadler , Ulrich H. E. Hansmann

We propose a method to extend the fast on-the-fly weight determination scheme for simulated tempering to two-dimensional space including not only temperature but also pressure. During the simulated tempering simulation, weight parameters…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-12-22 Hiromune Wada , Yuko Okamoto