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Mechanistic network models specify the mechanisms by which networks grow and change, allowing researchers to investigate complex systems using both simulation and analytical techniques. Unfortunately, it is difficult to write likelihoods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Jonathan Larson , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Maximum likelihood estimation is effective for identifying dynamical systems, but applying it to large networks becomes computationally prohibitive. This paper introduces a maximum likelihood estimation method that enables identification of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-06 João Victor Galvão da Mata , Anders Hansson , Martin S. Andersen

Estimating the matrix of connections probabilities is one of the key questions when studying sparse networks. In this work, we consider networks generated under the sparse graphon model and the in-homogeneous random graph model with missing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Solenne Gaucher , Olga Klopp

A major line of contemporary research on complex networks is based on the development of statistical models that specify the local motifs associated with macro-structural properties observed in actual networks. This statistical approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Maksym Byshkin , Alex Stivala , Antonietta Mira , Garry Robins , Alessandro Lomi

This paper investigates maximum likelihood estimation for direct system identification in networks of dynamical systems. We establish that the proposed approach is both consistent and efficient. In addition, it is more generally applicable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-06 Anders Hansson , João Victor Galvão da Mata , Martin S. Andersen

Temporal social networks of human interactions are preponderant in understanding the fundamental patterns of human behavior. In these networks, interactions occur locally between individuals (i.e., nodes) who connect with each other at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-11 Shaunette T. Ferguson , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

We propose generalizations of a number of standard network models, including the classic random graph, the configuration model, and the stochastic block model, to the case of time-varying networks. We assume that the presence and absence of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-02 Xiao Zhang , Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

This paper considers the problem of randomized influence maximization over a Markovian graph process: given a fixed set of nodes whose connectivity graph is evolving as a Markov chain, estimate the probability distribution (over this fixed…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Vikram Krishnamurthy

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

We consider a dynamic version of the stochastic block model, in which the nodes are partitioned into latent classes and the connection between two nodes is drawn from a Bernoulli distribution depending on the classes of these two nodes. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-30 Léa Longepierre , Catherine Matias

We propose a scalable temporal latent space model for link prediction in dynamic social networks, where the goal is to predict links over time based on a sequence of previous graph snapshots. The model assumes that each user lies in an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Linhong Zhu , Dong Guo , Junming Yin , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Our work introduces an approach for estimating the contribution of attachment mechanisms to the formation of growing networks. We present a generic model in which growth is driven by the continuous attachment of new nodes according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Jan Medina , Jorge Finke , Camilo Rocha

Latent stochastic block models are flexible statistical models that are widely used in social network analysis. In recent years, efforts have been made to extend these models to temporal dynamic networks, whereby the connections between…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-23 Riccardo Rastelli , Pierre Latouche , Nial Friel

We propose a dynamic network model where two mechanisms control the probability of a link between two nodes: (i) the existence or absence of this link in the past, and (ii) node-specific latent variables (dynamic fitnesses) describing the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Piero Mazzarisi , Paolo Barucca , Fabrizio Lillo , Daniele Tantari

We propose a nonparametric approach to link prediction in large-scale dynamic networks. Our model uses graph-based features of pairs of nodes as well as those of their local neighborhoods to predict whether those nodes will be linked at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-19 Purnamrita Sarkar , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Michael Jordan

Providing theoretical guarantees for parameter estimation in exponential random graph models is a largely open problem. While maximum likelihood estimation has theoretical guarantees in principle, verifying the assumptions for these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Adrian Fischer , Gesine Reinert , Wenkai Xu

This paper investigates a change-point estimation problem in the context of high-dimensional Markov Random Field models. Change-points represent a key feature in many dynamically evolving network structures. The change-point estimate is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Sandipan Roy , Yves Atchade , George Michailidis

The problem of predicting links in large networks is an important task in a variety of practical applications, including social sciences, biology and computer security. In this paper, statistical techniques for link prediction based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-01 Francesco Sanna Passino , Anna S. Bertiger , Joshua C. Neil , Nicholas A. Heard

This paper presents a statistically sound method for measuring the accuracy with which a probabilistic model reflects the growth of a network, and a method for optimising parameters in such a model. The technique is data-driven, and can be…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-04-07 Richard Clegg , Raul Landa , Uli Harder , Miguel Rio

We present a probabilistic model for learning from dynamic relational data, wherein the observed interactions among networked nodes are modeled via the Bernoulli Poisson link function, and the underlying network structure are characterized…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl
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