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Bayesian network is a complete model for the variables and their relationships, it can be used to answer probabilistic queries about them. A Bayesian network can thus be considered a mechanism for automatically applying Bayes' theorem to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-11-08 Jianguo Ding

We explore the use of the method of Maximum Entropy (ME) as a technique to generate approximations. In a first use of the ME method the "exact" canonical probability distribution of a fluid is approximated by that of a fluid of hard…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Chih-Yuan Tseng , Ariel Caticha

Can we learn more from data than existed in the generating process itself? Can new and useful information be constructed from merely applying deterministic transformations to existing data? Can the learnable content in data be evaluated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Marc Finzi , Shikai Qiu , Yiding Jiang , Pavel Izmailov , J. Zico Kolter , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We propose a novel information-theoretic approach for Bayesian optimization called Predictive Entropy Search (PES). At each iteration, PES selects the next evaluation point that maximizes the expected information gained with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-11 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Matthew W. Hoffman , Zoubin Ghahramani

This is a preliminary version of visual interpretation integrating multiple sensors in SUCCESSOR, an intelligent, model-based vision system. We pursue a thorough integration of hierarchical Bayesian inference with comprehensive physical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Thomas O. Binford , Tod S. Levitt , Wallace B. Mann

Probabilistic inference algorithms for finding the most probable explanation, the maximum aposteriori hypothesis, and the maximum expected utility and for updating belief are reformulated as an elimination--type algorithm called bucket…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Rina Dechter

We consider the problem of diagnosing faults in a system represented by a Bayesian network, where diagnosis corresponds to recovering the most likely state of unobserved nodes given the outcomes of tests (observed nodes). Finding an optimal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Alice X. Zheng , Irina Rish , Alina Beygelzimer

Entropic Dynamics is a framework in which dynamical laws are derived as an application of entropic methods of inference. No underlying action principle is postulated. Instead, the dynamics is driven by entropy subject to the constraints…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-09-11 Ariel Caticha

This paper proposes a new Bayesian approach for analysing moment condition models in the situation where the data may be contaminated by outliers. The approach builds upon the foundations developed by Schennach (2005) who proposed the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-03 Zhichao Liu , Catherine S. Forbes , Heather M. Anderson

An efficient approach to the calculation of the $\epsilon$-entropy is proposed. The method is based on the idea of looking at the information content of a string of data, by analyzing the signal only at the instants when the fluctuations…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 M. Abel , L. Biferale , M. Cencini , M. Falcioni , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani

We describe a method for Bayesian optimization by which one may incorporate data from multiple systems whose quantitative interrelationships are unknown a priori. All general (nonreal-valued) features of the systems are associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Steven Atkinson , Sayan Ghosh , Natarajan Chennimalai-Kumar , Genghis Khan , Liping Wang

We review with a tutorial scope the information theory foundations of quantum statistical physics. Only a small proportion of the variables that characterize a system at the microscopic scale can be controlled, for both practical and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Balian

We can perform inference in Bayesian belief networks by enumerating instantiations with high probability thus approximating the marginals. In this paper, we present a method for determining the fraction of instantiations that has to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Enrique F. Castillo , Remco R. Bouckaert , Jose M. Sarabia , Cristina Solares

We present a method for relevance sensitive non-monotonic inference from belief sequences which incorporates insights pertaining to prioritized inference and relevance sensitive, inconsistency tolerant belief revision. Our model uses a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Samir Chopra , Konstantinos Georgatos , Rohit Parikh

Explainable artificial intelligence has rapidly emerged since lawmakers have started requiring interpretable models for safety-critical domains. Concept-based neural networks have arisen as explainable-by-design methods as they leverage…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Pietro Barbiero , Gabriele Ciravegna , Francesco Giannini , Pietro Lió , Marco Gori , Stefano Melacci

Inferring the causal structure of a system typically requires interventional data, rather than just observational data. Since interventional experiments can be costly, it is preferable to select interventions that yield the maximum amount…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Michele Zemplenyi , Jeffrey W. Miller

We provide new perspectives and inference algorithms for Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL), which provides a principled method to find a most non-committal reward function consistent with given expert…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Aaron J. Snoswell , Surya P. N. Singh , Nan Ye

"Intrinsic motivation" refers to the capacity for intelligent systems to be motivated endogenously, i.e. by features of agential architecture itself rather than by learned associations between action and reward. This paper views active…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-14 Alex B. Kiefer

Inspired by empirical work in neuroscience for Bayesian approaches to brain function, we give a unified probabilistic account of various types of symbolic reasoning from data. We characterise them in terms of formal logic using the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Hiroyuki Kido

Bayesian inference gets its name from *Bayes's theorem*, expressing posterior probabilities for hypotheses about a data generating process as the (normalized) product of prior probabilities and a likelihood function. But Bayesian inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Thomas J. Loredo , Robert L. Wolpert
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