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We present a probabilistic model of events in continuous time in which each event triggers a Poisson process of successor events. The ensemble of observed events is thereby modeled as a superposition of Poisson processes. Efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Aleksandr Simma , Michael I. Jordan

A detailed analysis of Twitter-based information cascades is performed, and it is demonstrated that branching process hypotheses are approximately satisfied. Using a branching process framework, models of agent-to-agent transmission are…

In several real-world networks like the Internet, WWW etc., the number of links grow in time in a non-linear fashion. We consider growing networks in which the number of outgoing links is a non-linear function of time but new links between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Parongama Sen

From biotechnology to cyber-risks, most extreme technological risks cannot be reliably estimated from historical statistics. Therefore, engineers resort to predictive methods, such as fault/event trees in the framework of probabilistic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-26 D. Sornette , T. Maillart , W. Kroeger

In this paper we propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to modelling sparse time-varying networks. A positive parameter is associated to each node of a network, which models the sociability of that node. Sociabilities are assumed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-18 Cian Naik , Francois Caron , Judith Rousseau , Yee Whye Teh , Konstantina Palla

Every day millions of users are connected through online social networks, generating a rich trove of data that allows us to study the mechanisms behind human interactions. Triadic closure has been treated as the major mechanism for creating…

Social bias in language - towards genders, ethnicities, ages, and other social groups - poses a problem with ethical impact for many NLP applications. Recent research has shown that machine learning models trained on respective data may not…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Maximilian Spliethöver , Henning Wachsmuth

We investigate a model of evolving random network, introduced by us previously {[}{\it Phys. Rev. Lett.} {\bf 83}, 5587 (1999){]} . The model is a generalization of the Bak-Sneppen model of biological evolution, with the modification that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Frantisek Slanina , Miroslav Kotrla

Philosophical accounts of persuasion often assume that shared evidence and rational argumentation should lead to a convergence of views between peers, yet everyday discourse often suggests otherwise. In this study, we use large language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-12 David Freeborn , Malihe Alikani , Anthony Sicilia

Opinion dynamics on social networks have been received considerable attentions in recent years. Nevertheless, just a few works have theoretically analyzed the condition in which a certain opinion can spread in the whole structured…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Zhifang Li , Xiaojie Chen , Han-Xin Yang , Attila Szolnoki

There has been a rich interplay in recent years between (i) empirical investigations of real world dynamic networks, (ii) analytical modeling of the microscopic mechanisms that drive the emergence of such networks, and (iii) harnessing of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-03-20 Joseph S. Kong , Vwani P. Roychowdhury

Reciprocity characterizes the information exchange between users in a network, and some empirical studies have revealed that social networks have a high proportion of reciprocal edges. Classical directed preferential attachment (PA) models,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-10 Tiandong Wang , Sidney I. Resnick

Structured prediction tasks pose a fundamental trade-off between the need for model complexity to increase predictive power and the limited computational resources for inference in the exponentially-sized output spaces such models require.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-17 David Weiss , Benjamin Sapp , Ben Taskar

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

Traditional methods for detecting rumors on social media primarily focus on analyzing textual content, often struggling to capture the complexity of online interactions. Recent research has shifted towards leveraging graph neural networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Xingyu Peng , Junran Wu , Ruomei Liu , Ke Xu

The spectral evolution model aims to characterize the growth of large networks (i.e., how they evolve as new edges are established) in terms of the eigenvalue decomposition of the adjacency matrices. It assumes that, while eigenvectors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Miguel Romero , Jorge Finke , Camilo Rocha , Luis Tobón

Many important real-world networks manifest "small-world" properties such as scale-free degree distributions, small diameters, and clustering. The most common model of growth for these networks is "preferential attachment", where nodes…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Samarth Swarup , Les Gasser

People's interests and people's social relationships are intuitively connected, but understanding their interplay and whether they can help predict each other has remained an open question. We examine the interface of two decisive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-29 Daniel M. Romero , Chenhao Tan , Johan Ugander

Although a great deal of attention has been paid to how conspiracy theories circulate on social media and their factual counterpart conspiracies, there has been little computational work done on describing their narrative structures. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Timothy R. Tangherlini , Shadi Shahsavari , Behnam Shahbazi , Ehsan Ebrahimzadeh , Vwani Roychowdhury

In social systems subject to indirect reciprocity, a positive reputation is key for increasing one's likelihood of future positive interactions. The flow of gossip can amplify the impact of a person's actions on their reputation depending…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Julian Kates-Harbeck , Martin A. Nowak
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