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Discrete multiplicative turbulent cascades are described using a formalism involving infinitely divisible random measures. This permits to consider the continuous limit of a cascade developed on a continuum of scales, and to provide the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 F. Schmitt , D. Marsan

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We introduce multi-kangaroo Markov processes and provide a general procedure for evaluating a certain type of stochastic functionals. We calculate analytically the large deviation properties. Applications include zero-crossing statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-25 C. Van den Broeck , R. Toral

Martingales constitute a basic tool in stochastic analysis; this paper considers their application to counting processes. We use this tool to revisit a renewal theorem and its extensions for various counting processes. We first consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Daryl J. Daley , Masakiyo Miyazawa

We propose deterministic timed automata (DTA) as a model-independent language for specifying performance and dependability measures over continuous-time stochastic processes. Technically, these measures are defined as limit frequencies of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Tomáš Brázdil , Jan Krčál , Jan Křetínský , Antonín Kučera , Vojtěch Řehák

A decade ago, Abdulla, Ben Henda and Mayr introduced the elegant concept of decisiveness for denumerable Markov chains [1]. Roughly speaking, decisiveness allows one to lift most good properties from finite Markov chains to denumerable…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-04-05 Nathalie Bertrand , Patricia Bouyer , Thomas Brihaye , Pierre Carlier

We consider stochastic thermodynamics as a theory of statistical inference for experimentally observed fluctuating time-series. To that end, we introduce a general framework for quantifying the knowledge about the dynamical state of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Bernhard Altaner , Jürgen Vollmer

We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Mads Chr Hansen , Carsten Wiuf , Chuang Xu

In the development of stochastic integration and the theory of semimartingales, Markov processes have been a constant source of inspiration. Despite this historical interweaving, it turned out that semimartingales should be considered the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Sebastian Rickelhoff , Alexander Schnurr

Stochastic network calculus is an evolving theory which accounts for statistical multiplexing and uses an envelope approach for probabilistic delay and backlog analysis of networks. One of the key ideas of stochastic network calculus is the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2011-09-30 Kishore Angrishi , Ulrich Killat

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

There is a growing interest in methods for detecting and interpreting changes in experimental time evolution data. Based on measured time series, the quantitative characterization of dynamical phase transitions at bifurcation points of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-19 Bulcsú Sándor , András Rusu , Károly Dénes , Mária Ercsey-Ravasz , Zsolt I. Lázár

For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Jingnan Fan , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Continuous-time Bayesian networks is a natural structured representation language for multicomponent stochastic processes that evolve continuously over time. Despite the compact representation, inference in such models is intractable even…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Ido Cohn , Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman

For a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes we introduce a stochastic calculus which is a certain non-Gaussian counterpart to the classical Malliavin calculus. As an application we investigate the regularity of densities of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Jörg-Uwe Löbus

These notes provide a review of basic stochastic population models including branching processes and models of population genetics. Measure-valued population models including superprocesses and Fleming-Viot processes are also introduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Donald A. Dawson

Quantifying how distinguishable two stochastic processes are lies at the heart of many fields, such as machine learning and quantitative finance. While several measures have been proposed for this task, none have universal applicability and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-01 Chengran Yang , Felix C. Binder , Mile Gu , Thomas J. Elliott

Loosely speaking, the Shannon entropy rate is used to gauge a stochastic process' intrinsic randomness; the statistical complexity gives the cost of predicting the process. We calculate, for the first time, the entropy rate and statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-13 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-09 Bernd Lehle , Joachim Peinke