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When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

In an effort to develop topic modeling methods that can be quickly applied to large data sets, we revisit the problem of maximum-likelihood estimation in topic models. It is known, at least informally, that maximum-likelihood estimation in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Peter Carbonetto , Abhishek Sarkar , Zihao Wang , Matthew Stephens

This paper studies an approximation method for the log-likelihood function of a nonlinear diffusion process using the bridge of the diffusion. The main result (Theorem \refthm:approx) shows that this approximation converges uniformly to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-11 Aleksandar Mijatović , Paul Schneider

We develop algorithms for sampling from a probability distribution on a submanifold embedded in Rn. Applications are given to the evaluation of algorithms in 'Topological Statistics'; to goodness of fit tests in exponential families and to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Persi Diaconis , Susan Holmes , Mehrdad Shahshahani

We investigate statistical properties of a likelihood approach to nonparametric estimation of a singular distribution using deep generative models. More specifically, a deep generative model is used to model high-dimensional data that are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-29 Minwoo Chae , Dongha Kim , Yongdai Kim , Lizhen Lin

We introduce the DNNLikelihood, a novel framework to easily encode, through Deep Neural Networks (DNN), the full experimental information contained in complicated likelihood functions (LFs). We show how to efficiently parametrise the LF,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-08-26 Andrea Coccaro , Maurizio Pierini , Luca Silvestrini , Riccardo Torre

We study parameter inference in simulation-based stochastic models where the analytical form of the likelihood is unknown. The main difficulty is that score evaluation as a ratio of noisy Monte Carlo estimators induces bias and instability,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Zehao Li , Zhouchen Lin , Yijie Peng

Likelihood-based, or explicit, deep generative models use neural networks to construct flexible high-dimensional densities. This formulation directly contradicts the manifold hypothesis, which states that observed data lies on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-30 Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem , Brendan Leigh Ross , Jesse C. Cresswell , Anthony L. Caterini

Metropolis Hastings nested sampling evolves a Markov chain, accepting new points along the chain according to a version of the Metropolis Hastings acceptance ratio, which has been modified to satisfy the nested sampling likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Kamran Javid

Estimations of physical parameters using data usually involve non-uniform experimental efficiencies. In this article, a method of maximum likelihood fit is introduced using the efficiency as a weight, while the probability distribution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-31 Chenxu Yu , Yanxi Zhang

Statistically correcting measured cross sections for detector effects is an important step across many applications. In particle physics, this inverse problem is known as unfolding. In cases with complex instruments, the distortions they…

In this paper, we propose new learning algorithms for approximating high-dimensional functions using tree tensor networks in a least-squares setting. Given a dimension tree or architecture of the tensor network, we provide an algorithm that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Cécile Haberstich , Anthony Nouy , Guillaume Perrin

Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as an elementary example of a probability model. Maximum likelihood estimation of the mode parameter of the triangular distribution over the unit interval…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-11-08 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

Analyzing high-dimensional data with manifold learning algorithms often requires searching for the nearest neighbors of all observations. This presents a computational bottleneck in statistical manifold learning when observations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Fan Cheng , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Rob J Hyndman

Metropolis nested sampling evolves a Markov chain from a current livepoint and accepts new points along the chain according to a version of the Metropolis acceptance ratio modified to satisfy the likelihood constraint, characteristic of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-11 Kamran Javid

We propose a projection-based class of uniformity tests on the hypersphere using statistics that integrate, along all possible directions, the weighted quadratic discrepancy between the empirical cumulative distribution function of the…

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation using Newton's method in nonlinear state space models (SSMs) is a challenging problem due to the analytical intractability of the log-likelihood and its gradient and Hessian. We estimate the gradient and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-11 Manon Kok , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön , Adrian Wills

A new approach to nonlinear modelling is presented which, by incorporating the global behaviour of the model, lifts shortcomings of both least squares and total least squares parameter estimates. Although ubiquitous in practice, a least…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

We explore computational aspects of maximum likelihood estimation of the mixture proportions of a nonparametric finite mixture model -- a convex optimization problem with old roots in statistics and a key member of the modern data analysis…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-11 Haoyue Wang , Shibal Ibrahim , Rahul Mazumder

The negative binomial distribution has been widely used as a more flexible model than the Poisson distribution for count data. However, when the true data-generating process is Poisson, it is often challenging to distinguish it from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yingying Yang , Niloufar Dousti Mousavi , Zhou Yu , Jie Yang