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We investigate the asymptotic properties of the minimum $L_1$-norm estimator of the drift parameter for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process driven by a general Gaussian process.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

We study the stochastic heat flow with constant initial data and analyze its spatial average on the scale of $\varepsilon\ll1$. We prove that the logarithm of the averaged process satisfies a pointwise central limit theorem: After being…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Yu Gu , Li-Cheng Tsai

We study the filtering and smoothing problem for continuous-time linear Gaussian systems. While classical approaches such as the Kalman-Bucy filter and the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother provide recursive formulas for the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Masahiro Kurisaki

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the covariation of two diffusion processes when observations are subject to non-synchronicity. Building on recent papers \cite{Hay-Yos03, Hay-Yos04}, we derive second-order asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Arnak Dalalyan , Nakahiro Yoshida

In this article, for some $d-$dimensional Gaussian processes \[X=\big\{X_t=(X^1_t,\cdots,X^d_t):t\ge0\big\},\] whose components are i.i.d. $1-$dimensional self-similar Gaussian process with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Minhao Hong

In observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, the g-formula can be used to estimate a treatment effect in the presence of confounding factors. However, the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding stochastic process is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Jasmin Rühl , Sarah Friedrich

This work focuses on topics related to Hamiltonian stochastic differential equations with L\'{e}vy noise. We first show that the phase flow of the stochastic system preserves symplectic structure, and propose a stochastic version of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Pingyuan Wei , Ying Chao , Jinqiao Duan

This article is a survey of the results on asymptotic behavior of small ball probabilities in $L_2$-norm. Recent progress in this field is mainly based on the methods of spectral theory of differential and integral operators.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Alexander Nazarov , Yulia Petrova

Structured on the paradigmatic Navier-Stokes flow model, we study a stochastically forced Taylor-Couette system in the narrow gap limit, in order to analyze the simultaneous impact of a non-conserved (Gaussian) force and a nonlinear…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-04-22 Larry E. Godwin , Sotos C. Generalis , Amit K. Chattopadhyay

We develop a technique of multiple scale asymptotic expansions along mean flows and a corresponding notion of weak multiple scale convergence. These are applied to homogenize convection dominated parabolic equations with rapidly…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Thomas Holding , Harsha Hutridurga , Jeffrey Rauch

The superiority of stochastic symplectic methods over non-symplectic counterparts has been verified by plenty of numerical experiments, especially in capturing the asymptotic behaviour of the underlying solution process. How can one…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Chuchu Chen , Xinyu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Satyaki Mazumder , Sayantan Banerjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We study a well-known estimator of the fractal index of a stochastic process. Our framework is very general and encompasses many models of interest; we show how to extend the theory of the estimator to a large class of non-Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Mikkel Bennedsen

We study the small deviation probabilities of a family of very smooth self-similar Gaussian processes. The canonical process from the family has the same scaling property as standard Brownian motion and plays an important role in the study…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-18 Frank Aurzada , Fuchang Gao , Thomas Kühn , Wenbo V. Li , Qi-Man Shao

Stochastic Thermodynamics uses Markovian jump processes to model random transitions between observable mesoscopic states. Physical currents are obtained from anti-symmetric jump observables defined on the edges of the graph representing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-19 Artur Wachtel , Jürgen Vollmer , Bernhard Altaner

We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Markus Reiß

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato