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We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

We consider a fractional counting process with jumps of amplitude $1,2,\ldots,k$, with $k\in \mathbb{N}$, whose probabilities satisfy a suitable system of fractional difference-differential equations. We obtain the moment generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Alessandra Meoli

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

We investigate a piecewise-deterministic Markov process, evolving on a Polish metric space, whose deterministic behaviour between random jumps is governed by some semi-flow, and any state right after the jump is attained by a randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We consider an infinite horizon optimal control problem for a pure jump Markov process $X$, taking values in a complete and separable metric space $I$, with noise-free partial observation. The observation process is defined as $Y_t =…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Alessandro Calvia

We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

Construct a random set by independently selecting each finite subset of the integers with some probability depending on the set up to translations and taking the union of the selected sets. We show that when the only sets selected with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Yinon Spinka

We consider importance sampling as well as other properly weighted samples with respect to a target distribution $\pi$ from a different point of view. By considering the associated weights as sojourn times until the next jump, we define…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Malefaki , G. Iliopoulos

We show the variational convergence of an irreversible Markov jump process describing a finite stochastic particle system to the solution of a countable infinite system of deterministic time-inhomogeneous quadratic differential equations…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Jasper Hoeksema , Chun Yin Lam , André Schlichting

In this paper, we aim to study a stochastic process from a macro point of view, and thus periodic solution of a stochastic process in distributional sense is introduced. We first give the definition and then establish the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Guangying Lv , Hongjun Gao , Jinlong Wei

This paper focuses on the performance and the robustness analysis of stochastic jump linear systems. The state trajectory under stochastic jump process becomes random variables, which brings forth the probability distributions in the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Kooktae Lee , Abhishek Halder , Raktim Bhattacharya

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-09-01 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

In this paper, we study a class of stochastic optimal control problem with jumps under partial information. More precisely, the controlled systems are described by a fully coupled nonlinear multi- dimensional forward-backward stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-11-18 Qingxin Meng

Ranking, and inferences based on ranking of a set of entities, are important problems in numerous contexts. This is especially true in small area statistics where there may be only a limited amount of directly observed data from each entity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Gauri Sankar Datta , Yiren Hou , Abhyuday Mandal

We consider a large family of branching-selection particle systems. The branching rate of each particle depends on its rank and is given by a function $b$ defined on the unit interval. There is also a killing measure $D$ supported on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-28 P. Groisman , N. Soprano-Loto

We present a review of some recent results on estimation of location parameter for several models of observations with cusp-type singularity at the change point. We suppose that the cusp-type models fit better to the real phenomena…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-13 S. Dachian , N. Kordzakhia , Yu. A. Kutoyants , A. Novikov

We consider a piecewise deterministic Markov decision process, where the expected exponential utility of total (nonnegative) cost is to be minimized. The cost rate, transition rate and post-jump distributions are under control. The state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Xin Guo , Yi Zhang

Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure-valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a "level,"…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Thomas G. Kurtz , Eliane R. Rodrigues

An analytical study of the return time distribution of extreme events for stochastic processes with power-law correlation has been carried on. The calculation is based on an epsilon-expansion in the correlation exponent:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Piero Olla

We are concerned with scaling limits of the solutions to stochastic differential equations with stationary coefficients driven by Poisson random measures and Brownian motions. We state an annealed convergence theorem, in which the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-26 Remi Rhodes , Vincent Vargas
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