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In the quickest change detection problem in which both nuisance and critical changes may occur, the objective is to detect the critical change as quickly as possible without raising an alarm when either there is no change or a nuisance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay

When a predictive model is in production, it must be monitored in real-time to ensure that its performance does not suffer due to drift or abrupt changes to data. Ideally, this is done long before learning that the performance of the model…

This paper focuses on analyzing the error of the randomized Euler algorithm when only noisy information about the coefficients of the underlying stochastic differential equation (SDE) and the driving Wiener process is available. Two classes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Marcin Baranek , Andrzej Kałuża , Paweł M. Morkisz , Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michał Sobieraj

Detecting abrupt changes in data streams is crucial because they are often triggered by events that have important consequences if left unattended. Quickest change point detection has become a vital sequential analysis primitive that aims…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-23 Marco Fanizza , Christoph Hirche , John Calsamiglia

We study detection of random signals corrupted by noise that over time switch their values (states) from a finite set of possible values, where the switchings occur at unknown points in time. We model such signals by means of a random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Dragana Bajović , Kanghang He , Lina Stanković , Dejan Vukobratović , Vladimir Stanković

Detecting symmetry from data is a fundamental problem in signal analysis, providing insight into underlying structure and constraints. When data emerge as trajectories of dynamical systems, symmetries encode structural properties of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Ziad Ghanem , Chang Hyunwoong , Preskella Mrad

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

The problem of quickest detection of dynamic events in networks is studied. At some unknown time, an event occurs, and a number of nodes in the network are affected by the event, in that they undergo a change in the statistics of their…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-18 Shaofeng Zou , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Jian Li , Don Towsley

The input-output behaviour of the Wiener neuronal model subject to alternating input is studied under the assumption that the effect of such an input is to make the drift itself of an alternating type. Firing densities and related…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-02 A. Buonocore , A. Di Crescenzo , E. Di Nardo

Multipurpose batch processes become increasingly popular in manufacturing industries since they adapt to low-volume, high-value products and shifting demands. These processes often operate in a dynamic environment, which faces disturbances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Taicheng Zheng , Dan Li , Jie Li

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the data generating distribution changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. In this paper we consider the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Valerie Vaquet , Barbara Hammer

The chaos expansion of a general non-linear function of a Gaussian stationary increment process conditioned on its past realizations is derived. This work combines Wiener chaos expansion approach to study the dynamics of a stochastic system…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Daniel Alpay , Alon Kipnis

The classical problem of quickest change detection is studied with an additional constraint on the cost of observations used in the detection process. The change point is modeled as an unknown constant, and minimax formulations are proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Taposh Banerjee , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Identification of nonlinear block-oriented models has been extensively studied. The presence of the process noise, more precisely its location in the block-oriented model influences essentially the development of a consistent identification…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Erliang Zhang , Maarten Schoukens , Johan Schoukens

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of random variables is studied. The objective is to detect the change with the minimum possible delay, subject to constraints on the rate of false alarms and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Yingze Hou , Hoda Bidkhori , Taposh Banerjee

We introduce and study the problem of detecting whether an agent is updating their prior beliefs given new evidence in an optimal way that is Bayesian, or whether they are biased towards their own prior. In our model, biased agents form…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Yiling Chen , Tao Lin , Ariel D. Procaccia , Aaditya Ramdas , Itai Shapira

We study the problem of detecting a drift change of a Brownian motion under various extensions of the classical case. Specifically, we consider the case of a random post-change drift and examine monotonicity properties of the solution with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

In this paper, we consider the problem of quickest change point detection and identification over a linear array of $N$ sensors, where the change pattern could first reach any of these sensors, and then propagate to the other sensors. Our…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-05-21 Di Li , Lifeng Lai , Shuguang Cui

The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where a sequence of independent random elements is accessed sequentially, there is an abrupt change in its distribution at some unknown time, and there are two main operational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Austin Warner , Georgios Fellouris

Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Grigory Sokolov , Valentin S. Spivak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky