Related papers: On the Wiener disorder problem
In the quickest change detection problem in which both nuisance and critical changes may occur, the objective is to detect the critical change as quickly as possible without raising an alarm when either there is no change or a nuisance…
When a predictive model is in production, it must be monitored in real-time to ensure that its performance does not suffer due to drift or abrupt changes to data. Ideally, this is done long before learning that the performance of the model…
This paper focuses on analyzing the error of the randomized Euler algorithm when only noisy information about the coefficients of the underlying stochastic differential equation (SDE) and the driving Wiener process is available. Two classes…
Detecting abrupt changes in data streams is crucial because they are often triggered by events that have important consequences if left unattended. Quickest change point detection has become a vital sequential analysis primitive that aims…
We study detection of random signals corrupted by noise that over time switch their values (states) from a finite set of possible values, where the switchings occur at unknown points in time. We model such signals by means of a random…
Detecting symmetry from data is a fundamental problem in signal analysis, providing insight into underlying structure and constraints. When data emerge as trajectories of dynamical systems, symmetries encode structural properties of the…
We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…
The problem of quickest detection of dynamic events in networks is studied. At some unknown time, an event occurs, and a number of nodes in the network are affected by the event, in that they undergo a change in the statistics of their…
The input-output behaviour of the Wiener neuronal model subject to alternating input is studied under the assumption that the effect of such an input is to make the drift itself of an alternating type. Firing densities and related…
Multipurpose batch processes become increasingly popular in manufacturing industries since they adapt to low-volume, high-value products and shifting demands. These processes often operate in a dynamic environment, which faces disturbances…
The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the data generating distribution changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. In this paper we consider the problem of…
The chaos expansion of a general non-linear function of a Gaussian stationary increment process conditioned on its past realizations is derived. This work combines Wiener chaos expansion approach to study the dynamics of a stochastic system…
The classical problem of quickest change detection is studied with an additional constraint on the cost of observations used in the detection process. The change point is modeled as an unknown constant, and minimax formulations are proposed…
Identification of nonlinear block-oriented models has been extensively studied. The presence of the process noise, more precisely its location in the block-oriented model influences essentially the development of a consistent identification…
The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of random variables is studied. The objective is to detect the change with the minimum possible delay, subject to constraints on the rate of false alarms and…
We introduce and study the problem of detecting whether an agent is updating their prior beliefs given new evidence in an optimal way that is Bayesian, or whether they are biased towards their own prior. In our model, biased agents form…
We study the problem of detecting a drift change of a Brownian motion under various extensions of the classical case. Specifically, we consider the case of a random post-change drift and examine monotonicity properties of the solution with…
In this paper, we consider the problem of quickest change point detection and identification over a linear array of $N$ sensors, where the change pattern could first reach any of these sensors, and then propagate to the other sensors. Our…
The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where a sequence of independent random elements is accessed sequentially, there is an abrupt change in its distribution at some unknown time, and there are two main operational…
Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…