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The cornerstone of Boltzmann-Gibbs ($BG$) statistical mechanics is the Boltzmann-Gibbs-Jaynes-Shannon entropy $S_{BG} \equiv -k\int dx f(x)\ln f(x)$, where $k$ is a positive constant and $f(x)$ a probability density function. This theory…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros , Celia Anteneodo , Constantino Tsallis

In this work, a fully nonparametric geostatistical approach to estimate threshold exceeding probabilities is proposed. To estimate the large-scale variability (spatial trend) of the process, the nonparametric local linear regression…

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

By developing data augmentation methods unique to the negative binomial (NB) distribution, we unite seemingly disjoint count and mixture models under the NB process framework. We develop fundamental properties of the models and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-18 Mingyuan Zhou , Lawrence Carin

Spike-and-slab and horseshoe regression are arguably the most popular Bayesian variable selection approaches for linear regression models. However, their performance can deteriorate if outliers and heteroskedasticity are present in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Alberto Cabezas , Marco Battiston , Christopher Nemeth

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

The Stiefel manifold $V_{p,d}$ is the space of all $d \times p$ orthonormal matrices, with the $d-1$ hypersphere and the space of all orthogonal matrices constituting special cases. In modeling data lying on the Stiefel manifold, parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-04 Lizhen Lin , Vinayak Rao , David B. Dunson

A new methodology for model determination in decomposable graphical Gaussian models is developed. The Bayesian paradigm is used and, for each given graph, a hyper inverse Wishart prior distribution on the covariance matrix is considered.…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Sophie Donnet , Jean-Michel Marin

We develop a new method for stochastic optimization using the Bayesian statistics approach. More precisely, we optimize parameters of chess engines as those data are available to us, but the method should apply to all situations where we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Ivan Ivec , Ivana Vojnović

Standard regression approaches assume that some finite number of the response distribution characteristics, such as location and scale, change as a (parametric or nonparametric) function of predictors. However, it is not always appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Fernand A. Quintana , Peter Mueller , Alejandro Jara , Steven N. MacEachern

The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

The paper is devoted to the construction of the superstatistical description for nonequilibrium Markovian systems. It is based on Kirchhoff's diagram technique and the assumption on the system under consideration to possess a wide variety…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-06-07 Ihor Lubashevsky , Rudolf Friedrich , Andrey Ushakov , Andreas Heuer

Score-based diffusion models have proven effective in image generation and have gained widespread usage; however, the underlying factors contributing to the performance disparity between stochastic and deterministic (i.e., the probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Yuji Hirono , Akinori Tanaka , Kenji Fukushima

Recent investigations show that the statistical mechanics of a finite number of particles in ideal harmonic systems predicts different results for the same physical properties, depending on the ensemble under consideration. Path integral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 L. F. Lemmens , F. Brosens , J. T. Devreese

A Bayesian nonparametric method for unimodal densities on the real line is provided by considering a class of species sampling mixture models containing random densities that are unimodal and not necessarily symmetric. This class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Man-Wai Ho

In extreme value statistics, the peaks-over-threshold method is widely used. The method is based on the generalized Pareto distribution characterizing probabilities of exceedances over high thresholds in $\mathbb {R}^d$. We present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan

In this paper, we consider $N$ non-intersecting Bessel paths starting at $x=a\geq 0$, and conditioned to end at the origin $x=0$. We derive the explicit formula of the distribution function for the maximum height. Depending on the starting…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-08-05 Dan Dai , Luming Yao

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a popular technique for approximating likelihoods and is often used in parameter estimation when the likelihood functions are analytically intractable. Although the use of ABC is widespread in many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-29 Thomas A. Dean , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Ajay Jasra , Gareth W. Peters

An exciting branch of machine learning research focuses on methods for learning, optimizing, and integrating unknown functions that are difficult or costly to evaluate. A popular Bayesian approach to this problem uses a Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-02 Anqi Wu , Mikio C. Aoi , Jonathan W. Pillow
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