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The paper considers functional linear regression, where scalar responses $Y_1,\ldots,Y_n$ are modeled in dependence of i.i.d. random functions $X_1,\ldots,X_n$. We study a generalization of the classical functional linear regression model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Alois Kneip , Dominik Poß , Pascal Sarda

The functional linear model is an important extension of the classical regression model allowing for scalar responses to be modeled as functions of stochastic processes. Yet, despite the usefulness and popularity of the functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stanislav Nagy

We investigated the quality of forecasting of fractional Brownian motion, and new method for estimating of Hurst exponent is validated. Stochastic model of the time series in the form of converted fractional Brownian motion is proposed. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Valeria Bondarenko , Victor Bondarenko , Kiryl Truskovsky , Ina Taralova

Fractal behavior and long-range dependence have been observed in an astonishing number of physical systems. Either phenomenon has been modeled by self-similar random functions, thereby implying a linear relationship between fractal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 Tilmann Gneiting , Martin Schlather

Predicting scalar outcomes using functional predictors is a classic problem in functional data analysis. In many applications, however, only specific locations or time-points of the functional predictors have an impact on the outcome. Such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Dominik Poß , Dominik Liebl , Alois Kneip , Hedwig Eisenbarth , Tor D. Wager , Lisa Feldman Barrett

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a centered self-similar Gaussian process with stationary increments, which depends on a parameter $H \in (0, 1)$ called the Hurst index. The use of time-changed processes in modeling often requires the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-21 Jebessa B. Mijena

We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

Fractional Brownian motion, a Gaussian non-Markovian self-similar process with stationary long-correlated increments, has been identified to give rise to the anomalous diffusion behavior in a great variety of physical systems. The…

In this study, we develop a new theory of estimating Hurst parame- ter using conic multivariate adaptive regression splines (CMARS) method. We concentrate on the strong solution of stochastic differentional equations (SDEs) driven by…

We present an innovating sensitivity analysis for stochastic differential equations: We study the sensitivity, when the Hurst parameter~$H$ of the driving fractional Brownian motion tends to the pure Brownian value, of probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Alexandre Richard , Denis Talay

We consider stochastic differential equation involving pathwise integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion. The estimates for the Hurst parameter are constructed according to first- and second-order quadratic variations of observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-28 K. Kubilius , Y. Mishura

In this paper, we study the estimation and inference of change points under a functional linear regression model with changes in the slope function. We present a novel Functional Regression Binary Segmentation (FRBS) algorithm which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Shivam Kumar , Haotian Xu , Haeran Cho , Daren Wang

While scale invariance is commonly observed in each component of real world multivariate signals, it is also often the case that the inter-component correlation structure is not fractally connected, i.e., its scaling behavior is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Herwig Wendt , Gustavo Didier , Sébastien Combrexelle , Patrice Abry

This paper studies a regression model with functional dependent and explanatory variables, both of which exhibit nonstationary dynamics. The model assumes that the nonstationary stochastic trends of the dependent variable are explained by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Kyungsik Nam , Won-Ki Seo

Herein we develop a dynamical foundation for fractional Brownian Motion. A clear relation is established between the asymptotic behaviour of the correlation function and diffusion in a dynamical system. Then, assuming that scaling is…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 R Mannella , P Grigolini , BJ West

This paper studies a stochastic functional differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2, constrained to be reflected at 0. We prove the existence of solutions using the Euler method. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Chadad Monir

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

We propose nonparametric methods for functional linear regression which are designed for sparse longitudinal data, where both the predictor and response are functions of a covariate such as time. Predictor and response processes have smooth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Fang Yao , Hans-Georg Müller , Jane-Ling Wang

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with stationary, long-time correlated increments and is frequently used to model anomalous diffusion processes. We study numerically fractional Brownian motion confined to a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-22 T. Guggenberger , G. Pagnini , T. Vojta , R. Metzler

We investigate piecewise-linear stochastic models as with regards to the probability distribution of functionals of the stochastic processes, a question which occurs frequently in large deviation theory. The functionals that we are looking…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Yaming Chen , Wolfram Just
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