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Finitarily Markovian processes are those processes $\{X_n\}_{n=-\infty}^{\infty}$ for which there is a finite $K$ ($K = K(\{X_n\}_{n=-\infty}^0$) such that the conditional distribution of $X_1$ given the entire past is equal to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

In this paper we derive non asymptotic deviation bounds for $$\P_\nu (|\frac 1t \int_0^t V(X_s) ds - \int V d\mu | \geq R)$$ where $X$ is a $\mu$ stationary and ergodic Markov process and $V$ is some $\mu$ integrable function. These bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Patrick Cattiaux , Arnaud Guillin

We propose a general framework to simulate stochastic trajectories with arbitrarily long memory dependence and efficiently evaluate large deviation functions associated to time-extensive observables. This extends the "cloning" procedure of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-01 Massimo Cavallaro , Rosemary J. Harris

Let $\{X_n\}_{n\in\N}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable space $\X$ with transition kernel $P$ and let $V:\X\r[1,+\infty)$. The Markov kernel $P$ is here considered as a linear bounded operator on the weighted-supremum space $\cB_V$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

Suppose that $(X_t)_{t \ge 0}$ is a one-dimensional Brownian motion with negative drift $-\mu$. It is possible to make sense of conditioning this process to be in the state $0$ at an independent exponential random time and if we kill the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Steven N. Evans , Alexandru Hening

We construct a four-parameter family of Markov processes on infinite Gelfand-Tsetlin schemes that preserve the class of central (Gibbs) measures. Any process in the family induces a Feller Markov process on the infinite-dimensional boundary…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-04 Alexei Borodin , Grigori Olshanski

Given a finite typed rooted tree $T$ with $n$ vertices, the {\em empirical subtree measure} is the uniform measure on the $n$ typed subtrees of $T$ formed by taking all descendants of a single vertex. We prove a large deviation principle in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amir Dembo , Peter Morters , Scott Sheffield

We consider probability measures on $A^N$, the set of sequences of symbols on a finite alphabet $A$ of length $N$, that give a weight to each sequence in terms of a collection of matrices with non-negative entries and having rows and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Davide Gabrielli , Federica Iacovissi

The production of molecules in a chemical reaction network is modelled as a Poisson process with a Markov-modulated arrival rate and an exponential decay rate. We analyze the distributional properties of $M$, the number of molecules, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-17 D. Anderson , J. Blom , M. Mandjes , H. Thorsdottir , K. de Turck

We consider the discrete time unitary dynamics given by a quantum walk on the lattice $\Z^d$ performed by a quantum particle with internal degree of freedom, called coin state, according to the following iterated rule: a unitary update of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Alain Joye

In this paper, the large deviations on trajectory level for ergodic Markov processes are studied. These processes take values in the non-negative quadrant of the two dimension lattice and are concentrated on step-wise functions. The rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 A. Mogulskii , E. Pechersky , A. Yambartsev

Given a finite set $K$, we denote by $X=\Delta(K)$ the set of probabilities on $K$ and by $Z=\Delta_f(X)$ the set of Borel probabilities on $X$ with finite support. Studying a Markov Decision Process with partial information on $K$…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-02-29 Jérôme Renault , Xavier Venel

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) are studied in a general framework. First, different constructions are proven to be equivalent. Second, we introduce a coupling between two PDMPs following the same differential flow which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Alain Durmus , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

The paper deals with a family of jump Markov process defined in a medium with a periodic or locally periodic microstructure. We assume that the generator of the process is a zero order convolution type operator with rapidly oscillating…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Andrey Piatnitski , Sergei Pirogov , Elena Zhizhina

Large and moderate deviation principles are proved for Engel continued fractions, a new type of continued fraction expansion with non-decreasing partial quotients in number theory.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-29 Lulu Fang , Lei Shang

In this paper we introduce and analyze a class of diffusion type equations related to certain non-Markovian stochastic processes. We start from the forward drift equation which is made non-local in time by the introduction of a suitable…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Antonio Mura , Murad S. Taqqu , Francesco Mainardi

Graphical models express conditional independence relationships among variables. Although methods for vector-valued data are well established, functional data graphical models remain underdeveloped. We introduce a notion of conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Hongxiao Zhu , Nate Strawn , David B. Dunson

In this paper we study the Markov-modulated M/M/$\infty$ queue, with a focus on the correlation structure of the number of jobs in the system. The main results describe the system's asymptotic behavior under a particular scaling of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Joke Blom , Koen de Turck , Michel Mandjes

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

Determinantal and permanental processes are point processes with a correlation function given by a determinant or a permanent. Their atoms exhibit mutual attraction of repulsion, thus these processes are very far from the uncorrelated…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-19 Isabelle Camilier , Laurent Decreusefond