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Independence testing plays a central role in statistical and causal inference from observational data. Standard independence tests assume that the data samples are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) but that assumption is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-04 Ragib Ahsan , Zahra Fatemi , David Arbour , Elena Zheleva

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

We provide uniform confidence bands for kernel ridge regression (KRR), a widely used nonparametric regression estimator for nonstandard data such as preferences, sequences, and graphs. Despite the prevalence of these data--e.g., student…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Rahul Singh , Suhas Vijaykumar

We propose a generalized partially linear functional single index risk score model for repeatedly measured outcomes where the index itself is a function of time. We fuse the nonparametric kernel method and regression spline method, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Fei Jiang , Yanyuan Ma , Yuanjia Wang

In this paper we investigate the problem of estimating the regression function in models with correlated observations. The data is obtained from several experimental units each of them forms a time series. We propose a new estimator based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Djihad Benelmadani , Karim Benhenni , Sana Louhichi

Variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference. However, their use is typically limited to families of distributions that enjoy particular conjugacy properties. To circumvent this limitation, we propose a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Samuel Gershman , Matt Hoffman , David Blei

Sample autocorrelograms typically come with significance bands (non-rejection regions) for the null hypothesis of no temporal correlation. These bands have two shortcomings. First, they build on pointwise intervals and suffer from joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-26 Uwe Hassler , Marc-Oliver Pohle , Tanja Zahn

Density estimation represents one of the most successful applications of Bayesian nonparametrics. In particular, Dirichlet process mixtures of normals are the gold standard for density estimation and their asymptotic properties have been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-02 Antonio Canale , Pierpaolo De Blasi

In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for a locally stationary functional time series. First, we introduce the notion of a locally stationary functional time series (LSFTS) that takes values in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Daisuke Kurisu

For the class of Gauss-Markov processes we study the problem of asymptotic equivalence of the nonparametric regression model with errors given by the increments of the process and the continuous time model, where a whole path of a sum of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Holger Dette , Martin Kroll

Most machine learning algorithms, such as classification or regression, treat the individual data point as the object of interest. Here we consider extending machine learning algorithms to operate on groups of data points. We suggest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Danica J. Sutherland , Liang Xiong , Barnabás Póczos , Jeff Schneider

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In nonparametric regression analysis, errors are possibly correlated in practice, and neglecting error correlation can undermine most bandwidth selection methods. When no prior knowledge or parametric form of the correlation structure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Sisheng Liu , Xiaoli Kong

The paper considers probability distribution, density, conditional distribution and density and conditional moments as well as their kernel estimators in spaces of generalized functions. This approach does not require restrictions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Victoria Zinde-Walsh

Depth measures have gained popularity in the statistical literature for defining level sets in complex data structures like multivariate data, functional data, and graphs. Despite their versatility, integrating depth measures into…

The paper introduces a method to construct confidence bands for bounded, band-limited functions based on a finite sample of input-output pairs. The approach is distribution-free w.r.t. the observation noises and only the knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-28 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

We consider the asymptotic normality in $L^2$ of kernel estimators of the long run covariance kernel of stationary functional time series. Our results are established assuming a weakly dependent Bernoulli shift structure for the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-10 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth , Gregory Rice

This paper considers extensions of minimum-disparity estimators to the problem of estimating parameters in a regression model that is conditionally specified; that is where a parametric model describes the distribution of a response $y$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Giles Hooker

We investigate asymptotic properties of least-absolute-deviation or median quantile estimates of the location and scale functions in nonparametric regression models with dependent data from multiple subjects. Under a general dependence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Zhibiao Zhao , Ying Wei , Dennis K. J. Lin
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