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We study the properties of a subclass of stochastic processes called discrete time nonlinear Markov chains with an aggregator, which naturally appear in various topics such as strategic queueing systems, inventory dynamics, opinion…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Bar Light

We propose a dynamical model for group formation and switching behavior in systems where each group competes for members through attraction functions that are inversely proportional to their current sizes. This attraction is modulated by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Samit Ghosh

When a business sells to another business (B2B), the buying business is represented by a group of individuals, termed account, who collectively decide whether to buy. The seller advertises to each individual and interacts with them, mostly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Atanu R. Sinha , Gautam Choudhary , Mansi Agarwal , Shivansh Bindal , Abhishek Pande , Camille Girabawe

Statistical properties of an order book and the effect they have on price dynamics were studied using the high-frequency NASDAQ Level II data. It was observed that the size distribution of marketable orders (transaction sizes) has power law…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Sergei Maslov , Mark Mills

This paper analyzes single-item continuous-review inventory models with random supplies in which the inventory dynamic between orders is described by a diffusion process, and a long-term average cost criterion is used to evaluate decisions.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-07 K. L. Helmes , R. H. Stockbridge , C. Zhu

Group decisions involve the combination of evidence accumulation by individual members and direct member-to-member interactions. We consider a simplified framework of two deciders, each undergoing a two alternative forced choice task, with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-12 Reginald J. Caginalp , Brent Doiron

The human society is a very complex system; still, there are several non-trivial, general features. One type of them is the presence of power-law distributed quantities in temporal statistics. In this Letter, we focus on the origin of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Tao Zhou , Hoang Anh Tuan Kiet , Beom Jun Kim , Bing-Hong Wang , Petter Holme

We study the dynamics of order flows around large intraday price changes using ultra-high-frequency data from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. We find a significant reversal of price for both intraday price decreases and increases with a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-03 Guo-Hua Mu , Wei-Xing Zhou , Wei Chen , Janos Kertesz

Proceeding from the concept of rational expectations, a new dynamic model of supply and demand in a single market with one supplier, one buyer, and one kind of commodity is developed. Unlike the cob-web dynamic theories with adaptive…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Granik , A. Granik

We consider a manufacturing plant that purchases raw materials for product assembly and then sells the final products to customers. There are M types of raw materials and K types of products, and each product uses a certain subset of raw…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-04-06 Michael J. Neely , Longbo Huang

We consider the problem of designing an expected-revenue maximizing mechanism for allocating multiple non-perishable goods of $k$ varieties to flexible consumers over $T$ time steps. In our model, a random number of goods of each variety…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Shiva Navabi , Ashutosh Nayyar

Recent interest in human dynamics has stimulated the investigation of the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts, such as mobile phone networks and social media. In this paper, we extend the stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

The dynamics of power consumption constitutes an essential building block for planning and operating energy systems based on renewable energy supply. Whereas variations in the dynamics of renewable energy generation are reasonably well…

Demand functions for goods are generally cyclical in nature with characteristics such as trend or stochasticity. Most existing demand forecasting techniques in literature are designed to manage and forecast this type of demand functions.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-04 Murphy Choy , Michelle L. F. Cheong

In pedestrian dynamics, the internal drive that propels individuals toward their goals is typically captured by a single, fixed parameter, the desired walking speed. This simplification overlooks that motivation fluctuates in response to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-04 Ezel Üsten , Anna Sieben , Mohcine Chraibi , Armin Seyfried

Heterogeneity in individual characteristics and behaviour is a fundamental property of complex dynamical systems. While previous studies on evolutionary dynamics of strategies evolution in various systems have predominantly focused on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-23 Xiaochen Wang

The coordinated and efficient distribution of limited resources by individual decisions is a fundamental, unsolved problem. When individuals compete for road capacities, time, space, money, goods, etc., they normally make decisions based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Dirk Helbing , Martin Schoenhof , Daniel Kern

Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-08 Zhen Xu , Wen Dong , Sargur Srihari

We show how to treat supply networks as physical transport problems governed by balance equations and equations for the adaptation of production speeds. Although the non-linear behaviour is different, the linearized set of coupled…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing , Stefan Lammer , Thomas Seidel , Petr Seba , Tadeusz Platkowski

We study the dynamics of the limit order book of liquid stocks after experiencing large intra-day price changes. In the data we find large variations in several microscopical measures, e.g., the volatility the bid-ask spread, the bid-ask…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-26 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz , J. Doyne Farmer