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There is an increasing amount of literature focused on Bayesian computational methods to address problems with intractable likelihood. One approach is a set of algorithms known as Approximate Bayesian Computational (ABC) methods. One of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-27 Weixuan Zhu , Juan Miguel Marin , Fabrizio Leisen

This paper proposes a new sharpened version of the Jensen's inequality. The proposed new bound is simple and insightful, is broadly applicable by imposing minimum assumptions, and provides fairly accurate result in spite of its simple form.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-26 J. G. Liao , Arthur Berg

We propose several exponential inequalities for self-normalized martingales similar to those established by De la Pe\~{n}a. The keystone is the introduction of a new notion of random variable heavy on left or right. Applications associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Bernard Bercu , Abderrahmen Touati

We propose a new approach for the problem of relative depth estimation from a single image. Instead of directly regressing over depth scores, we formulate the problem as estimation of a probability distribution over depth and aim to learn…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Alican Mertan , Yusuf Huseyin Sahin , Damien Jade Duff , Gozde Unal

By a modification of the method that was applied in (Korolev and Shevtsova, 2009), here the inequalities $$\rho(F_n,\Phi)\le\frac{0.335789(\beta^3+0.425)}{\sqrt{n}}$$ and $$\rho(F_n,\Phi)\le \frac{0.3051(\beta^3+1)}{\sqrt{n}} $$ are proved…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-02 Victor Korolev , Irina Shevtsova

By using stochastic analysis, two probability versions of Li-Yau type inequalities are established for diffusion semigroups on a manifold possibly with (non-convex) boundary. The inequalities are explicitly given by the Bakry-Emery…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Feng-Yu Wang , Li-Juan Cheng

We explore the interplay between random and deterministic phenomena using a representation of uncertainty based on the measure-theoretic concept of outer measure. The meaning of the analogues of different probabilistic concepts is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Jeremie Houssineau

Data represented by probability measures arise as empirical distributions, posterior distributions, and feature-based representations of complex objects. We study heterogeneity in a population of probability measures through the expected…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Kisung You

Building on the recently introduced notion of Boolean entropy, we define the corresponding Boolean Fisher information via a de Bruijn identity. We study the monotonicity of this Fisher information in the Boolean Central Limit Theorem and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Guillaume Cébron , Kewei Pan

This paper shows that one cannot learn the probability of rare events without imposing further structural assumptions. The event of interest is that of obtaining an outcome outside the coverage of an i.i.d. sample from a discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-13 Elchanan Mossel , Mesrob I. Ohannessian

Bayesian learning provides a unified skeleton to solve the electrophysiological source imaging task. From this perspective, existing source imaging algorithms utilize the Gaussian assumption for the observation noise to build the likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Zhongxu Hu , Keita Suzuki , Wenjun Bai , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita

In the Bayes paradigm and for a given loss function, we propose the construction of a new type of posterior distributions, that extends the classical Bayes one, for estimating the law of an $n$-sample. The loss functions we have in mind are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Yannick Baraud

In this paper non-asymptotic exponential estimates are derived for the tail distribution of polynomial martingale differences in terms unconditional tails distributions of summands. Applications are considered in the theory of polynomials…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Christopher Beckham , Christopher Pal

In this paper, we present a method for computing the marginal likelihood, also known as the model likelihood or Bayesian evidence, from Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), or other sampled posterior distributions. In order to do this, one…

We generalize the notion of the submartingale property and Doob's inequality. Furthermore, we show how the latter leads to new inequalities for several stochastic processes: certain time series, Levy processes, random walks, processes with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 János Engländer

We use a novel form of quantum conditional probability to define new measures of quantum information in a dynamical context. We explore relationships between our new quantities and standard measures of quantum information, such as von…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-09 Jacob A. Barandes , David Kagan

A new multivariate distribution possessing arbitrarily parametrized and positively dependent univariate Pareto margins is introduced. Unlike the probability law of Asimit et al. (2010) [Asimit, V., Furman, E. and Vernic, R. (2010) On a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-19 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman

Generalized gamma distributions arise as limits in many settings involving random graphs, walks, trees, and branching processes. Pek\"oz, R\"ollin, and Ross (2016, arXiv:1309.4183 [math.PR]) exploited characterizing distributional fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Tobias Johnson , Erol Peköz

We present an alternative approach to modeling Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen-Bohm (EPRB)-type experiments. The basis for our approach will be to replace the conventional Kolmogorov theory of probability, with the more general Dempster-Schafer…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-04-24 Adam Stokes