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We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

In this paper, we study the diffusion approximation for singularly perturbed stochastic reaction-diffusion equation with a fast oscillating term. The asymptotic limit for the original system is obtained, where an extra Gaussian term…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Longjie Xie , Li Yang

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

This work is concerned with the development of a space-time adaptive numerical method, based on a rigorous a posteriori error bound, for a semilinear convection-diffusion problem which may exhibit blow-up in finite time. More specifically,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-02-12 Andrea Cangiani , Emmanuil H. Georgoulis , Irene Kyza , Stephen Metcalfe

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

This paper develops a mathematical and computational framework for analyzing the expected performance of Bayesian data fusion, or joint statistical inference, within a sensor network. We use variational techniques to obtain the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Gaurav Thakur

We study optimal stopping problems related to the pricing of perpetual American options in an extension of the Black-Merton-Scholes model in which the dividend and volatility rates of the underlying risky asset depend on the running values…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Pavel V. Gapeev , Neofytos Rodosthenous

Diffusion models recently proved to be remarkable priors for Bayesian inverse problems. However, training these models typically requires access to large amounts of clean data, which could prove difficult in some settings. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 François Rozet , Gérôme Andry , François Lanusse , Gilles Louppe

We solve the problem of optimal stopping of a Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the stopping time's distribution is a given measure consisting of finitely-many atoms. In particular, we show that this problem can be converted to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Erhan Bayraktar , Christopher W. Miller

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

Consider a set of discounted optimal stopping problems for a one-parameter family of objective functions and a fixed diffusion process, started at a fixed point. A standard problem in stochastic control/optimal stopping is to solve for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-04 David Hobson , Martin Klimmek

We prove convergence of the proximal policy gradient method for a class of constrained stochastic control problems with control in both the drift and diffusion of the state process. The problem requires either the running or terminal cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Ashley Davey , Harry Zheng

We investigate an optimal stopping problem for the expected value of a discounted payoff on a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion under two constraints on the possible stopping times: only at exogenous random times and only during a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Takuji Arai , Masahiko Takenaka

We consider the problem of optimal stopping for a one-dimensional diffusion process. Two classes of admissible stopping times are considered. The first class consists of all nonanticipating stopping times that take values in [0,\infty],…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Dupuis , Hui Wang

We present some new results on sample path optimality for the ergodic control problem of a class of non-degenerate diffusions controlled through the drift. The hypothesis most often used in the literature to ensure the existence of an a.s.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Ari Arapostathis

We consider the inverse problem of estimating parameters of a driven diffusion (e.g., the underlying fluid flow, diffusion coefficient, or source terms) from point measurements of a passive scalar (e.g., the concentration of a pollutant).…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Jeff Borggaard , Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Justin A. Krometis

We consider a sequential problem in decentralized detection. Two observers can make repeated noisy observations of a binary hypothesis on the state of the environment. At any time, any of the two observers can stop and send a final message…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Ashutosh Nayyar , Demosthenis Teneketzis

A class of semilinear parabolic reaction diffusion equations with multiple time delays is considered. These time delays and corresponding weights are to be optimized such that the associated solution of the delay equation is the best…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Eduardo Casas , Mariano Mateos , Fredi Tröltzsch

We consider the problem of computing first-passage time distributions for reaction processes modelled by master equations. We show that this generally intractable class of problems is equivalent to a sequential Bayesian inference problem…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-11-29 David Schnoerr , Botond Cseke , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti