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Related papers: Twitter mood predicts the stock market

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There is a large amount of interest in understanding users of social media in order to predict their behavior in this space. Despite this interest, user predictability in social media is not well-understood. To examine this question, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-08-27 David Darmon , Jared Sylvester , Michelle Girvan , William Rand

We live in a computerized and networked society where many of our actions leave a digital trace and affect other people's actions. This has lead to the emergence of a new data-driven research field: mathematical methods of computer science,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Ilaria Bordino , Stefano Battiston , Guido Caldarelli , Matthieu Cristelli , Antti Ukkonen , Ingmar Weber

This study uses sentiment analysis and the Moral Foundations Theory (MFT) to characterise news content in social media and examine its association with user engagement. We employ Natural Language Processing to quantify the moral and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Jacopo D'Ignazi , Kyriaki Kalimeri , Mariano G. Beiró

With the proliferation of social media over the last decade, determining people's attitude with respect to a specific topic, document, interaction or events has fueled research interest in natural language processing and introduced a new…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-10-09 Monireh Ebrahimi , Amir Hossein Yazdavar , Amit Sheth

As the popularity and reach of social networks continue to surge, a vast reservoir of opinions and sentiments across various subjects inundates these platforms. Among these, X social network (formerly Twitter) stands as a juggernaut,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Pardis Moradbeiki , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki

Opinion polls have been the bridge between public opinion and politicians in elections. However, developing surveys to disclose people's feedback with respect to economic issues is limited, expensive, and time-consuming. In recent years,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-07 Amir Karami , London S. Bennett , Xiaoyun He

Researchers use Twitter and sentiment analysis to predict Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) risk. We developed a new dictionary of CVD-related keywords by analyzing emotions expressed in tweets. Tweets from eighteen US states, including the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Al Zadid Sultan Bin Habib , Md Asif Bin Syed , Md Tanvirul Islam , Donald A. Adjeroh

Predicting how a user responds to news events enables important applications such as allowing intelligent agents or content producers to estimate the effect on different communities and revise unreleased messages to prevent unexpected bad…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Chenkai Sun , Jinning Li , Hou Pong Chan , ChengXiang Zhai , Heng Ji

We describe an exercise of using Big Data to predict the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, a widely used indicator of the state of confidence in the US economy. We carry out the exercise from a pure ex ante perspective. We use the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-23 Rickard Nyman , Paul Ormerod

Individual happiness is a fundamental societal metric. Normally measured through self-report, happiness has often been indirectly characterized and overshadowed by more readily quantifiable economic indicators such as gross domestic…

At the beginning of the COVID-19 outbreak in March, we observed one of the largest stock market crashes in history. Within the months following this, a volatile bullish climb back to pre-pandemic performances and higher. In this paper, we…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-09 Ziyuan Xia , Jeffery Chen , Anchen Sun

We expect that democracy enables us to utilize collective intelligence such that our collective decisions build and enhance social welfare, and such that we accept their distributive and normative consequences. Collective decisions are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-06 Jan Lorenz , Martin Neumann

Social media are becoming an increasingly important source of information about the public mood regarding issues such as elections, Brexit, stock market, etc. In this paper we focus on sentiment classification of Twitter data. Construction…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Igor Mozetič , Luis Torgo , Vitor Cerqueira , Jasmina Smailović

Successful navigation of the Covid-19 pandemic is predicated on public cooperation with safety measures and appropriate perception of risk, in which emotion and attention play important roles. Signatures of public emotion and attention are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Joel Dyer , Blas Kolic

This paper describes the analysis of quantitative characteristics of frequent sets and association rules in the posts of Twitter microblogs related to different event discussions. For the analysis, we used a theory of frequent sets,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-10-15 Bohdan Pavlyshenko

Macroeconomic variables are known to significantly impact equity markets, but their predictive power for price fluctuations has been underexplored due to challenges such as infrequency and variability in timing of announcements, changing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-26 Martina Halousková , Štefan Lyócsa

Recent studies suggest social media activity can function as a proxy for measures of state-level public health, detectable through natural language processing. We present results of our efforts to apply this approach to estimate…

Emotional contagion in online social networks has been of great interest over the past years. Previous studies have focused mainly on finding evidence of affect contagion in homophilic atmospheres. However, these studies have overlooked…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Belen Saldias , Rosalind W. Picard

The study of the stock market with the attraction of machine learning approaches is a major direction for revealing hidden market regularities. This knowledge contributes to a profound understanding of financial market dynamics and getting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Andrei Zaichenko , Aleksei Kazakov , Elizaveta Kovtun , Semen Budennyy

Twitter is among the most used online platforms for the political communications, due to the concision of its messages (which is particularly suitable for political slogans) and the quick diffusion of messages. Especially when the argument…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Fabio Saracco