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The growing availability and importance of time series data across various domains, including environmental science, epidemiology, and economics, has led to an increasing need for time-series causal discovery methods that can identify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Omar Faruque , Sahara Ali , Xue Zheng , Jianwu Wang

Multivariate time series analysis is extensively used in neurophysiology with the aim of studying the relationship between simultaneously recorded signals. Recently, advances on information theory and nonlinear dynamical systems theory have…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ernesto Pereda , Rodrigo Quian Quiroga , Joydeep Bhattacharya

Graphs have become pervasive tools to represent information and datasets with irregular support. However, in many cases, the underlying graph is either unavailable or naively obtained, calling for more advanced methods to its estimation.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-14 Andrei Buciulea , Antonio G. Marques

This paper extends the subjects dicussed in the Data Analysis and Dynamical Systems courses by looking at the subject of modelling data. This task is nontrivial as the underlying process could be non-linear. In the paper some common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-02 Vincent Mellor

Time series analysis is used to understand and predict dynamic processes, including evolving demands in business, weather, markets, and biological rhythms. Exponential smoothing is used in all these domains to obtain simple interpretable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-02 Avner Abrami , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Younghun Kim

The search for patterns in time series is a very common task when dealing with complex systems. This is usually accomplished by employing a complexity measure such as entropies and fractal dimensions. However, such measures usually only…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-13 Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Max Jauregui , Luciano Zunino , Ervin K. Lenzi

Previous studies indicate that nonlinear properties of Gaussian time series with long-range correlations, $u_i$, can be detected and quantified by studying the correlations in the magnitude series $|u_i|$, i.e., the ``volatility''. However,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Tomer Kalisky , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin

Detection and identification of nonlinearity is a task of high importance for structural dynamics. Detecting nonlinearity in a structure, which has been designed to operate in its linear region, might indicate the existence of damage.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 G. Tsialiamanis , C. R. Farrar

Undirected graphs are often used to describe high dimensional distributions. Under sparsity conditions, the graph can be estimated using $\ell_1$ penalization methods. However, current methods assume that the data are independent and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-04-29 Shuheng Zhou , John Lafferty , Larry Wasserman

In this work, a novel approach for the construction and training of time series models is presented that deals with the problem of learning on large time series with non-equispaced observations, which at the same time may possess features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Charilaos Mylonas , Eleni Chatzi

In this work, several random Boolean networks (RBN) are generated and analyzed from two characteristics: their time evolution diagram and their transition diagram. For this purpose, its randomness is estimated using three measures, of which…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Manuel de J. Luevano , Alejandro Puga

This work redefines the framework of chaos in dynamical systems by extending Devaney's definition to multiple mappings, emphasizing the pivotal role of nonlinearity. We propose a novel theorem demonstrating how nonlinear dynamics within a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-18 Illych Alvarez

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Many research works deal with chaotic neural networks for various fields of application. Unfortunately, up to now these networks are usually claimed to be chaotic without any mathematical proof. The purpose of this paper is to establish,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-23 Jacques M. Bahi , Jean-François Couchot , Christophe Guyeux , Michel Salomon

A new approach is proposed to the quantitative estimation of the complexity of multidimensional discrete sequences in terms of the shapes of their trajectories in the extended space of states. This approach is based on the study of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-10-28 A. V. Makarenko

A new type of deterministic chaos for a system described by iterative two-dimensional maps is reported. The series being generated by the original map has an average upward trend while the first difference, which is the series of changes…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-07-22 Taisei Kaizoji

Sensitivity analysis is an important tool used in many domains of computational science to either gain insight into the mathematical model and interaction of its parameters or study the uncertainty propagation through the input-output…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-02 Juraj Kardos , Wouter Edeling , Diana Suleimenova , Derek Groen , Olaf Schenk

Time series forecasting is a fundamental tool with wide ranging applications, yet recent debates question whether complex nonlinear architectures truly outperform simple linear models. Prior claims of dominance of the linear model often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Md Rakibul Haque , Vishwa Goudar , Shireen Elhabian , Warren Woodrich Pettine

Stochastic line integrals provide a useful tool for quantitatively characterizing irreversibility and detailed balance violation in noise-driven dynamical systems. A particular realization is the stochastic area, recently studied in coupled…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-14 Stephen Teitsworth , John Neu