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Strongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst index and volatility parameters of solutions of stochastic differential equations with polynomial drift are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Kestutis Kubilius , Viktor Skorniakov , Dmitrij Melichov

The statistical analysis for equations driven by fractional Gaussian process (fGp) is relatively recent. The development of stochastic calculus with respect to the fGp allowed to study such models. In the present paper we consider the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Mohamed El Machkouri , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

We propose a hybrid estimation procedure to estimate global fixed parameters and subject-specific random effects in a mixed fractional Black-Scholes model based on discrete-time observations. Specifically, we consider $N$ independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Nesrine Chebli , Hamdi Fathallah , Yousri Slaoui

The fractional Brownian motion can be considered as a Gaussian field indexed by $(t,H)\in {\mathbb{R}_{+}\times (0,1)}$, where $H$ is the Hurst parameter. On compact time intervals, it is known to be almost surely jointly H\"older…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-06 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the linear multiplier function $\theta(t)$ for processes satisfying stochastic differential equations of the type $$dX_t=\theta(t)X_tdt+\epsilon dW_t^{H,K}, X_0=x_0,0\leq t \leq T$$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-13 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

We consider the class of stationary-increment harmonizable stable processes with infinite control measure, which most notably includes real harmonizable fractional stable motions. We give conditions for the integrability of the paths of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Ly Viet Hoang , Evgeny Spodarev

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

It was shown in Mishura et al. (Stochastic Process. Appl. 123 (2013) 2353-2369), that any random variable can be represented as improper pathwise integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion. In this paper, we extend this result to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Lauri Viitasaari

In this paper we consider stochastic differential equations with non-negativity constraints, driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>\1/2$. We first study an ordinary integral equation where the integral is defined in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Marco Ferrante , Carles Rovira

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

This study develops a non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation theory for distributions of M-estimators, which are defined as maximizers of empirical criterion functions. In existing mathematical statistics literature, numerous studies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Masaaki Imaizumi , Taisuke Otsu

We study the small ball asymptotics problem in $L_2$ for two generalizations of the fractional Brownian motion with variable Hurst parameter. To this end, we perform careful analysis of the singular values asymptotics for associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 A. I. Karol , A. I. Nazarov

A multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents is used to model and forecast realized volatility. We investigate the interplay between correlation coefficients and Hurst exponents and propose a novel…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

In this paper we investigate the parametric inference for the linear fractional stable motion in high and low frequency setting. The symmetric linear fractional stable motion is a three-parameter family, which constitutes a natural…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Stepan Mazur , Dmitry Otryakhin , Mark Podolskij

Inferring a decision maker's utility function typically involves an elicitation phase where the decision maker responds to a series of elicitation queries, followed by an estimation phase where the state-of-the-art is to either fit the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-31 Mengyang Gu , Debarun Bhattacharjya , Dharmashankar Subramanian

Under certain mild conditions, limit theorems for additive functionals of some $d$-dimensional self-similar Gaussian processes are obtained. These limit theorems work for general Gaussian processes including fractional Brownian motions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Minhao Hong , Heguang Liu , Fangjun Xu

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

The paper considers the problem of estimating the parameters in a continuous time regression model with a non-Gaussian noise of pulse type. The noise is specified by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the mixture of a Brownian motion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Evgeny Pchelintsev

This paper proposes a new estimation technique for fitting parametric Gibbs point process models to a spatial point pattern dataset. The technique is a counterpart, for spatial point processes, of the variational estimators for Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Adrian Baddeley , David Dereudre

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is an important scale-invariant Gaussian non-Markovian process with stationary increments, which serves as a prototypical example of a system with long-range temporal correlations and anomalous diffusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-29 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov