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Several Artificial Intelligence schemes for reasoning under uncertainty explore either explicitly or implicitly asymmetries among probabilities of various states of their uncertain domain models. Even though the correct working of these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Marek J. Druzdzel

We study a stochastic community model able to interpolate from a neutral regime to a niche partitioned regime upon varying a single parameter tuning the intensity of niche stabilization, namely the difference between intraspecific and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-17 Simone Pigolotti , Massimo Cencini

The ability to generate samples of the random effects from their conditional distributions is fundamental for inference in mixed effects models. Random walk Metropolis is widely used to perform such sampling, but this method is known to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Belhal Karimi , Marc Lavielle , Eric Moulines

Despite its radical assumption of ecological equivalence between species, neutral biodiversity theory can often provide good fits to species abundance distributions observed in nature. Major criticisms of neutral theory have focused on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-28 Rafael D'Andrea , James P. O'Dwyer

Symmetric random walks in $R^d$ and $Z^d$ are considered. It is assumed that the jump distribution density has moderate tails, i.e., several density moments are finite, including the second one. The global (for all $x$ and $t$) asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-16 S. Molchanov , B. Vainberg

This paper generalizes recent proposals of density forecasting models and it develops theory for this class of models. In density forecasting, the density of observations is estimated in regions where the density is not observed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Young K. Lee , Enno Mammen , Jens P. Nielsen , Byeong U. Park

In evolutionary dynamics, well-mixed populations are almost always associated with all-to-all interactions; mathematical models are based on complete graphs. In most cases, these models do not predict fixation probabilities in groups of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-28 Francisco Herrerías-Azcué , Vicente Pérez-Muñuzuri , Tobias Galla

The asymptotic solution to the problem of comparing the means of two heteroscedastic populations, based on two random samples from the populations, hinges on the pivot underpinning the construction of the confidence interval and the test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-30 Rajeshwari Majumdar , Suman Majumdar

Much is now known about the consistency of Bayesian updating on infinite-dimensional parameter spaces with independent or Markovian data. Necessary conditions for consistency include the prior putting enough weight on the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

We obtain an asymptotic normality result that reveals the precise asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimators of parameters for a very general class of linear mixed models containing cross random effects. In achieving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Jiming Jiang , Matt P. Wand , Swarnadip Ghosh

An heuristic model of the society, as an assembly of weakly interacting individuals, is discussed. The model allows to connect macroscopic phenomena with features of relations between individuals. Addressing to the problem of inequality, a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-10-16 Vladimir Pokrovskii

Asymptotic methods for hypothesis testing in high-dimensional data usually require the dimension of the observations to increase to infinity, often with an additional condition on its rate of increase compared to the sample size. On the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Joydeep Chowdhury , Subhajit Dutta , Marc G. Genton

We develop an theoretical approach for predicting biodiversity in multi-dimensional niche spaces, arising due to ecological drivers such as competitive exclusion. The novelty of our approach relies on the fact that ecological niches are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Tommaso Biancalani , Lee DeVille , Nigel Goldenfeld

We provide quantitative estimates in total variation distance for positive semi-groups, which can be non-conservative and non-homogeneous. The techniques relies on a family of conservative semigroups that describes a typical particle and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Vincent Bansaye , Bertrand Cloez , Pierre Gabriel

This paper gives a holistic overview of both the design-based and model-based paradigms for sampling theory. Both methods are presented within a unified framework with a simple consistent notation, and the differences in the two paradigms…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Ben O'Neill

Neutral theories have played a crucial and revolutionary role in fields such as population genetics and biogeography. These theories are critical by definition, in the sense that the overall growth rate of each single allele/species/type…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 Claudio Borile , Daniel Molina-Garcia , Amos Maritan , Miguel A. Muñoz

Game theoretic tools are utilized to analyze a one-locus continuous selection model of sex-specific meiotic drive by considering nonequivalence of the viabilities of reciprocal heterozygotes that might be noticed at an imprinted locus. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-07 Bijan Sarkar

We consider a non-projective class of inhomogeneous random graph models with interpretable parameters and a number of interesting asymptotic properties. Using the results of Bollob\'as et al. [2007], we show that i) the class of models is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-04 Juho Lee , Lancelot F. James , Seungjin Choi , François Caron

The recent realization that entire communities fuse and separate (community coalescence) has led to a reappraisal of the forces determining species diversity and dynamics, especially in microbial communities where coalescence is likely…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-10 Janis Antonovics , Stavros D. Veresoglou , Matthias C. Rillig

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau