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Edgeworth-type expansions for convolutions of probability densities and powers of the characteristic functions with non-uniform error terms are established for i.i.d. random variables with finite (fractional) moments of order $s \geq 2$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-20 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

Motivated by the Central Limit Theorem, in this paper, we study both universal and non-universal simulations of random variables with an arbitrary target distribution $Q_{Y}$ by general mappings, not limited to linear ones (as in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Lei Yu

Coherent lower previsions are general probabilistic models allowing incompletely specified probability distributions. However, for complete description of a coherent lower prevision -- even on finite underlying sample spaces -- an infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Damjan Škulj

It is well known that exact notions of model abstraction and reduction for dynamical systems may not be robust enough in practice because they are highly sensitive to the specific choice of parameters. In this paper we consider this problem…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-19 Luca Cardelli , Mirco Tribastone , Max Tschaikowski , Andrea Vandin

Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We obtain approximation results for general positive linear operators satisfying mild conditions, when acting on discontinuous functions and absolutely continuous functions having discontinuous derivatives. The upper bounds, given in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 José A. Adell , P. Garrancho , F. J. Martínez-Sánchez

This work examines risk bounds for nonparametric distributional regression estimators. For convex-constrained distributional regression, general upper bounds are established for the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) and the…

We present some new and explicit error bounds for the approximation of distributions. The approximation error is quantified by the maximal density ratio of the distribution $Q$ to be approximated and its proxy $P$. This non-symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-02 Lutz Duembgen , Richard Samworth , Jon Wellner

Almost sure bounds are established on the uniform error of smoothing spline estimators in nonparametric regression with random designs. Some results of Einmahl and Mason (2005) are used to derive uniform error bounds for the approximation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 P. P. B. Eggermont , V. N. LaRiccia

Diffusion maps is a manifold learning algorithm widely used for dimensionality reduction. Using a sample from a distribution, it approximates the eigenvalues and eigenfunctions of associated Laplace-Beltrami operators. Theoretical bounds on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Caroline L. Wormell , Sebastian Reich

Let $T$ be a general sampling statistic that can be written as a linear statistic plus an error term. Uniform and non-uniform Berry--Esseen type bounds for $T$ are obtained. The bounds are the best possible for many known statistics.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Louis H. Y. Chen , Qi-Man Shao

We study asymptotic behavior of one-step $M$-estimators based on samples from arrays of not necessarily identically distributed random variables and representing explicit approximations to the corresponding consistent $M$-estimators. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Yu. Yu. Linke

We consider the approximation of the performance of random walks in the quarter-plane. The approximation is in terms of a random walk with a product-form stationary distribution, which is obtained by perturbing the transition probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-15 Jasper Goseling , Richard J. Boucherie , Jan-Kees van Ommeren

When are asymptotic approximations using the delta-method uniformly valid? We provide sufficient conditions as well as closely related necessary conditions for uniform negligibility of the remainder of such approximations. These conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Maximilian Kasy

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer

We prove non-asymptotic error bounds for Sequential MCMC methods in the case of multimodal target distributions. Our bounds depend in an explicit way on upper bounds on relative densities, on constants associated with local mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-31 Nikolaus Schweizer

We provide general adaptive upper bounds for estimating nonparametric functionals based on second order U-statistics arising from finite dimensional approximation of the infinite dimensional models. We then provide examples of functionals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Lin Liu , Rajarshi Mukherjee , James Robins , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

We develop a nonparametric extension of the sequential generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) test and corresponding time-uniform confidence sequences for the mean of a univariate distribution. By utilizing a geometric interpretation of the GLR…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-17 Jaehyeok Shin , Aaditya Ramdas , Alessandro Rinaldo

This paper is concerned with general nonlinear regression models where the predictor variables are subject to Berkson-type measurement errors. The measurement errors are assumed to have a general parametric distribution, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Liqun Wang