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We study Gaussian approximations to the distribution of a diffusion. The approximations are easy to compute: they are defined by two simple ordinary differential equations for the mean and the covariance. Time correlations can also be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Andrew M. Stuart

The estimation of a log-concave density on $\mathbb{R}$ is a canonical problem in the area of shape-constrained nonparametric inference. We present a Bayesian nonparametric approach to this problem based on an exponentiated Dirichlet…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Ester Mariucci , Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

Aggregation methods have emerged as a powerful and flexible framework in statistical learning, providing unified solutions across diverse problems such as regression, classification, and density estimation. In the context of generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 The Tien Mai

We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

We propose a procedure to handle the problem of Gaussian regression when the variance is unknown. We mix least-squares estimators from various models according to a procedure inspired by that of Leung and Barron (2007). We show that in some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-05 Christophe Giraud

We provide the asymptotic minimax detection boundary for a bump, i.e. an abrupt change, in the mean function of a stationary Gaussian process. This will be characterized in terms of the asymptotic behavior of the bump length and height as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Farida Enikeeva , Axel Munk , Markus Pohlmann , Frank Werner

This paper considers estimation of the predictive density for a normal linear model with unknown variance under alpha-divergence loss for -1 <= alpha <= 1. We first give a general canonical form for the problem, and then give general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

We consider the problem of estimating probability density functions based on sample data, using a finite mixture of densities from some component class. To this end, we introduce the $h$-lifted Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-24 Mark Chiu Chong , Hien Duy Nguyen , TrungTin Nguyen

Consider the Gaussian vector model with mean value {\theta}. We study the twin problems of estimating the number |{\theta}|_0 of non-zero components of {\theta} and testing whether |{\theta}|_0 is smaller than some value. For testing, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Alexandra Carpentier , Nicolas Verzelen

A density estimation method in a Bayesian nonparametric framework is presented when recorded data are not coming directly from the distribution of interest, but from a length biased version. From a Bayesian perspective, efforts to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-23 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Theodoros Nicoleris , Stephen G. Walker

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

Using the linear Gaussian latent variable model as a starting point we relax some of the constraints it imposes by deriving a nonparametric latent feature Gaussian variable model. This model introduces additional discrete latent variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Adam Farooq , Yordan P. Raykov , Luc Evers , Max A. Little

We consider non-parametric estimation problems in the presence of dependent data, notably non-parametric regression with random design and non-parametric density estimation. The proposed estimation procedure is based on a dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

We consider the problem of threshold estimation for autoregressive time series with a "space switching" in the situation, when the regression is nonlinear and the innovations have a smooth, possibly non Gaussian, probability density.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Pavel Chigansky , Yury Kutoyants

Nonparametric estimation of a mixing density based on observations from the corresponding mixture is a challenging statistical problem. This paper surveys the literature on a fast, recursive estimator based on the predictive recursion…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Ryan Martin

Asymptotic equivalence in Le Cam's sense for nonparametric regression experiments is extended to the case of non-regular error densities, which have jump discontinuities at their endpoints. We prove asymptotic equivalence of such regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-28 Alexander Meister , Markus Reiß

This paper considers extensions of minimum-disparity estimators to the problem of estimating parameters in a regression model that is conditionally specified; that is where a parametric model describes the distribution of a response $y$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Giles Hooker

We study high-dimensional asymptotic performance limits of binary supervised classification problems where the class conditional densities are Gaussian with unknown means and covariances and the number of signal dimensions scales faster…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-17 Mohammad Hossein Rohban , Prakash Ishwar , Birant Orten , William C. Karl , Venkatesh Saligrama

In a first part, we present a mathematical analysis of a general methodology of a probabilistic learning inference that allows for estimating a posterior probability model for a stochastic boundary value problem from a prior probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Christian Soize

We consider a Bayesian approach to model selection in Gaussian linear regression, where the number of predictors might be much larger than the number of observations. From a frequentist view, the proposed procedure results in the penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein