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While deep learning methods have achieved strong performance in time series prediction, their black-box nature and inability to explicitly model underlying stochastic processes often limit their generalization to non-stationary data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Yuanpei Gao , Qi Yan , Yan Leng , Renjie Liao

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-19 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

We study the probability distribution $P(X_N=X,N)$ of the total displacement $X_N$ of an $N$-step run and tumble particle on a line, in presence of a constant nonzero drive $E$. While the central limit theorem predicts a standard Gaussian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-01 Giacomo Gradenigo , Satya N. Majumdar

We give an explicit stochastic Hamiltonian model of discontinuous unitary evolution for quantum spontaneous jumps like in a system of atoms in quantum optics, or in a system of quantum particles that interacts singularly with "bubbles"…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 V. P. Belavkin , O. Melsheimer

We study the pointwise stabilizability of a discrete-time, time-homogeneous, and stationary Markovian jump linear system. By using measure theory, ergodic theory and a splitting theorem of state space we show in a relatively simple way that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-02 Xiongping Dai , Yu Huang , Mingqing Xiao

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

We study the local regularity and multifractal nature of the sample paths of jump diffusion processes, which are solutions to a class of stochastic differential equations with jumps. This article extends the recent work of Barral {\it et…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-06 Xiaochuan Yang

We consider a system consisting of $n$ particles, moving forward in jumps on the real line. System state is the empirical distribution of particle locations. Each particle ``jumps forward'' at some time points, with the instantaneous rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Alexander Stolyar

The generalized grey Brownian motion is a time continuous self-similar with stationary increments stochastic process whose one dimensional distributions are the fundamental solutions of a stretched time fractional differential equation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 José Luís da Silva , Mohamed Erraoui

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

The stochastic solution with Gaussian stationary increments is establihsed for the symmetric space-time fractional diffusion equation when $0 < \beta < \alpha \le 2$, where $0 < \beta \le 1$ and $0 < \alpha \le 2$ are the fractional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-18 Gianni Pagnini , Paolo Paradisi

This paper introduces the Generalized Space-Time Fractional Skellam Process (GSTFSP) and the Generalized Space Fractional Skellam Process (GSFSP). We investigate their distributional properties including the probability generating function…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Kartik Tathe , Sayan Ghosh

We consider a one-dimensional Brownian motion of fixed duration $T$. Using a path-integral technique, we compute exactly the probability distribution of the difference $\tau=t_{\min}-t_{\max}$ between the time $t_{\min}$ of the global…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-13 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

Recent advances in single particle tracking and supercomputing techniques demonstrate the emergence of normal or anomalous, viscoelastic diffusion in conjunction with non-Gaussian distributions in soft, biological, and active matter…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-23 Jakub Ślęzak , Ralf Metzler , Marcin Magdziarz

We survey recent results of normal and anomalous diffusion of two types of random motions with long memory in ${\Bbb R}^d$ or ${\Bbb Z}^d$. The first class consists of random walks on ${\Bbb Z}^d$ in divergence-free random drift field,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Bálint Tóth

Biochemical reactions can happen on different time scales and also the abundance of species in these reactions can be very different from each other. Classical approaches, such as deterministic or stochastic approach, fail to account for or…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-16 Arnab Ganguly , Derya Altintan , Heinz Koeppl

In this work we establish a link between two different phenomena that were studied in a large and growing number of biological, composite and soft media: the diffusion in compartmentalized environment and the Brownian yet non-Gaussian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-05 Jakub Ślęzak , Stanislav Burov

A single joinpoint changepoint model partitions a time series into two segments, joined at the changepoint time by constraining the estimated piecewise linear regression responses to be continuous. This manuscript derives the exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Xueheng Shi , Robert Lund

First-passage properties of continuous stochastic processes confined in a 1--dimensional interval are well described. However, for jump processes (discrete random walks), the characterization of the corresponding observables remains…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-17 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

We define a de Bruijn process with parameters n and L as a certain continuous-time Markov chain on the de Bruijn graph with words of length L over an n-letter alphabet as vertices. We determine explicitly its steady state distribution and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-09 Arvind Ayyer , Volker Strehl
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