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As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 José L. Herrera , Lauren Ancel Meyers

We study networks of human decision-makers who independently decide how to protect themselves against Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemics. Motivated by studies in behavioral economics showing that humans perceive probabilities…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-03 Ashish R. Hota , Shreyas Sundaram

One of the famous results of network science states that networks with heterogeneous connectivity are more susceptible to epidemic spreading than their more homogeneous counterparts. In particular, in networks of identical nodes it has been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-05 Hui Yang , Ming Tang , Thilo Gross

Random walk is one of the basic mechanisms found in many network applications. We study the epidemic spreading dynamics driven by biased random walks on complex networks. In our epidemic model, each time infected nodes constantly spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Cunlai Pu , Siyuan Li , Jian Yang

In this paper, we study the interplay between the epidemic spreading and the diffusion of awareness in multiplex networks. In the model, an infectious disease can spread in one network representing the paths of epidemic spreading (contact…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-16 Jia-Qian Kan , Hai-Feng Zhang

The spontaneous behavioral changes of the agents during an epidemic can have significant effects on the delay and the prevalence of its spread. In this work, we study a social distancing game among the agents of a population, who determine…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-13 A. -R. Lagos , I. Kordonis , G. P. Papavassilopoulos

Faced with a dangerous epidemic humans will spontaneously social distance to reduce their risk of infection at a socio-economic cost. Compartmentalised epidemic models have been extended to include this endogenous decision making:…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-08 Simon K. Schnyder , John J. Molina , Ryoichi Yamamoto , Matthew S. Turner

We study some simple models of disease transmission on small-world networks, in which either the probability of infection by a disease or the probability of its transmission is varied, or both. The resulting models display epidemic behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

The adoption of prophylaxis attitudes, such as social isolation and use of face masks, to mitigate epidemic outbreaks strongly depends on the support of the population. In this work, we investigate a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-05 Diogo H. Silva , Celia Anteneodo , Silvio C. Ferreira

We consider the spread of epidemics in technological and social networks. How do people react? Does awareness and cautious behavior help? We analyze these questions and present a dynamic model to describe the movement of individuals and/or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Robert Elsässer , Adrian Ogierman

Understanding cascading failures or epidemics in networks is crucial for developing effective defensive mechanisms for many critical systems and infrastructures (e.g. biological, social and cyber networks). Most of the existing works treat…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-20 Jie Xu

The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-15 Ka Yin Leung , Frank Ball , David Sirl , Tom Britton

Incorporating decision-making dynamics during an outbreak poses a challenge for epidemiology, faced by several modeling approaches siloed by different disciplines. We propose an epi-economic model where high-frequency choices of individuals…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-31 Lorenzo Amir Nemati Fard , Alberto Bisin , Michele Starnini , Michele Tizzoni

The success of a vaccination program is crucially dependent on its adoption by a critical fraction of the population, as the resulting herd immunity prevents future outbreaks of an epidemic. However, the effectiveness of a campaign can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-02 Anupama Sharma , Shakti N. Menon , V. Sasidevan , Sitabhra Sinha

Background: Recently developed techniques to study the spread of infectious diseases through networks make assumptions that the initial proportion infected is infinitesimal and the population behavior is static throughout the epidemic. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-17 Joel C. Miller

We study by analytical methods and large scale simulations a dynamical model for the spreading of epidemics in complex networks. In networks with exponentially bounded connectivity we recover the usual epidemic behavior with a threshold…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

We study epidemic spreading processes in large networks, when the spread is assisted by a small number of external agents: infection sources with bounded spreading power, but whose movement is unrestricted vis-\`a-vis the underlying network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-15 Siddhartha Banerjee , Aditya Gopalan , Abhik Kumar Das , Sanjay Shakkottai

We present and analyze a mathematical model to study the feedback between behavior and epidemic spread in a population that is actively assessing and reacting to risk of infection. In our model, a population dynamically forms an opinion…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Marcela Ordorica Arango , Anastasia Bizyaeva , Simon A. Levin , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

This study is concerned with the dynamical behaviors of epidemic spreading over a two-layered interconnected network. Three models in different levels are proposed to describe cooperative spreading processes over the interconnected network,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-15 Xiang Wei , Xiaoqun Wu , Shihua Chen , Jun-an Lu , Guanrong Chen

The compartmental models used to study epidemic spreading often assume the same susceptibility for all individuals, and are therefore, agnostic about the effects that differences in susceptibility can have on epidemic spreading. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Cesar A. Hidalgo , Ljupco Kocarev