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In this paper we present a model describing Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) type epidemics spreading on a dynamic contact network with random link activation and deletion where link ac- tivation can be locally constrained. We use and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Michael Taylor , Timothy J. Taylor , Istvan Z. Kiss

Motivated by fundamental issues in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics (NESM), we study the venerable susceptible-infected (SIS) model of disease spreading in an idealized, simple setting. Using Monte Carlo and analytic techniques, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Maxim S. Shkarayev , R. K. P. Zia

We propose a new stochastic epidemiological model defined in a continuous space of arbitrary dimension, based on SIS dynamics implemented in a spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot (SLFV) process. The model can be described by as little as three…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Apolline Louvet , Bastian Wiederhold

Epidemic data often possess certain characteristics, such as the presence of many zeros, the spatial nature of the disease spread mechanism or environmental noise. This paper addresses these issues via suitable Bayesian modelling. In doing…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-10 C. Malesios , N. Demiris , K. Kalogeropoulos , I. Ntzoufras

An adaptive network model using SIS epidemic propagation with link-type dependent link activation and deletion is considered. Bifurcation analysis of the pairwise ODE approximation and the network-based stochastic simulation is carried out,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 András Szabó-Solticzky , Luc Berthouze , Istvan Z. Kiss , Péter L. Simon

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

Infectious disease superspreading caused by heterogeneity in contact behavior has been observed to be an important determinant of epidemic dynamics and size in both empirical and theoretical settings. However, it has also been observed that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Ari S. Freedman , Bjarke F. Nielsen , Maximillian M. Nguyen , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Simon A. Levin

Spatial epidemiology identifies the drivers of elevated population-level disease risks, using disease counts, exposures and known confounders at the areal unit level. Poisson regression models are typically used for inference, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Duncan Lee , Vinny Davies

In wireless sensor networks (WSNs), main task of each sensor node is to sense the physical activity (i.e., targets or disaster conditions) and then to report it to the control center for further process. For this, sensor nodes are attached…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Rajeev K. Shakya

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

We introduce a fast simulation technique for modeling epidemics on adaptive networks. Our rejection-based algorithm efficiently simulates the co-evolution of the network structure and the epidemic dynamics. We extend the classical SIS model…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Gerrit Großmann , Sebastian Vollmer

Mathematical models of epidemics often use compartmental models dividing the population into several compartments. Based on a microscopic setting describing the temporal evolution of the subpopulation sizes in the compartments by stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-11 Florent Ouabo Kamkumo , Ibrahim Mbouandi Njiasse , Ralf Wunderlich

When surveillance data of infectious disease incidence (e.g. weekly case counts) are disaggregated by demographic indicators, disparities in long-run health outcomes between these groups become apparent. Accurate identification of high-risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Miles Moran , Rob Trangucci , Lisa Madsen

Metapopulation epidemic models help capture the spatial dimension of infectious disease spread by dividing heterogeneous populations into separate but interconnected communities, represented by nodes in a network. In the event of an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-21 Henrik Zunker , Philipp Dönges , Patrick Lenz , Seba Contreras , Martin J. Kühn

The susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) epidemic process on complex networks can show metastability, resembling an endemic equilibrium. In a general setting, the metastable state may involve a large portion of the network, or it can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-03 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Aram Vajdi , Caterina Scoglio

Network epidemiology has become a vital tool in understanding the effects of high-degree vertices, geographic and demographic communities, and other inhomogeneities in social structure on the spread of disease. However, many networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Alexander Mercier

Standard epidemic models based on compartmental differential equations are investigated under continuous parameter change as external forcing. We show that seasonal modulation of the contact parameter superimposed a monotonic decay needs a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-13 Tamás Kovács

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent p-coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-26 Steven P. Lalley

Understanding interactions between the spread of multiple pathogens during an epidemic is crucial to assessing the severity of infections in human communities. In this paper, we introduce two new Multiplex Bi-Virus Reaction-Diffusion models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-22 Alyssa Yu , Laura P. Schaposnik

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios