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We propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to the problem of jointly modeling multiple related time series. Our model discovers a latent set of dynamical behaviors shared among the sequences, and segments each time series into regions…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-14 Emily B. Fox , Michael C. Hughes , Erik B. Sudderth , Michael I. Jordan

The authors aim to develop numerical schemes of the two representative quadratic hedging strategies: locally risk minimizing and mean-variance hedging strategies, for models whose asset price process is given by the exponential of a normal…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-18 Takuji Arai , Yuto Imai , Ryo Nakashima

Markov processes are widely used in modeling random phenomena/problems. However, they may not be adequate in some cases where more general processes are needed. The conditionally Markov (CM) process is a generalization of the Markov process…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Reza Rezaie , X. Rong Li

Gaussian processes (GP) are a widely used model for regression problems in supervised machine learning. Implementation of GP regression typically requires $O(n^3)$ logic gates. We show that the quantum linear systems algorithm [Harrow et…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-29 Zhikuan Zhao , Jack K. Fitzsimons , Joseph F. Fitzsimons

Some well-known examples of constrained quantum systems commonly quantized via Feynman path integrals are re-examined using the notion of conditional integrators introduced in [1]. The examples yield some new perspectives on old results. As…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-02-09 J. LaChapelle

We consider the convergence of iterative solvers for problems of nonlinear magnetostatics. Using the equivalence to an underlying minimization problem, we can establish global linear convergence of a large class of methods, including the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Herbert Egger , Felix Engertsberger , Bogdan Radu

In this note, the time reversible case of a general theorem of Bhattacharya is shown to imply the Kipnis-Varadhan functional central limit theorem for ergodic Markov processes. To this end, a few results from semigroup theory, including the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Edward C Waymire

We consider several special cases of iterations of random i.i.d. linear functions with beta distributed fixed points that generate nested interval schemes when iterated in a backward direction, and ergodic Markov chains in the forward…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Shaun McKinlay

Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alan D. Saul , James Hensman , Aki Vehtari , Neil D. Lawrence

We introduce a finite element construction for use on the class of convex, planar polygons and show it obtains a quadratic error convergence estimate. On a convex n-gon satisfying simple geometric criteria, our construction produces 2n…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Alexander Rand , Andrew Gillette , Chandrajit Bajaj

The state-of-the-art linked Gaussian process offers a way to build analytical emulators for systems of computer models. We generalize the closed form expressions for the linked Gaussian process under the squared exponential kernel to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-09 Deyu Ming , Serge Guillas

We consider additive functionals of Markov processes in continuous time with general (metric) state spaces. We derive concentration bounds for their exponential moments and moments of finite order. Applications include diffusions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-18 Frank Redig , Florian Völlering

We define and study a multidimensional process that generalizes the eigenvalues of matrix Jacobi processes on the one hand and whose stationary distribution is given by the beta Jacobi ensemble on the other hand.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-13 Nizar Demni

We introduce a multivariate hidden Markov model to jointly cluster time-series observations with different support, i.e. circular and linear. Relying on the general projected normal distribution, our approach allows for bimodal and/or…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

We consider natural exponential families of Levy processes with randomized parameter. Such processes are Markov, and under suitable assumptions, pairs of such processes with shared randomization can be stitched together into a single…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Wlodek Bryc , Jacek Wesolowski

We give a new procedure for generalized factorization and construction of the complete solution of strictly hyperbolic linear partial differential equations or strictly hyperbolic systems of such equations in the plane. This procedure…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Sergey P. Tsarev

In this work we introduce the class of beta autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models for continuous random variables taking values in the continuous unit interval $(0,1)$. The proposed model accommodates a set of…

Many real-world phenomena are naturally bivariate. This includes blood pressure, which comprises systolic and diastolic levels. Here, we develop a Bayesian hierarchical model that estimates these values and their interactions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Maria-Zafeiria Spyropoulou , James Bentham

We algorithmically construct multi-output Gaussian process priors which satisfy linear differential equations. Our approach attempts to parametrize all solutions of the equations using Gr\"obner bases. If successful, a push forward Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-07 Markus Lange-Hegermann

In this note, we present few examples of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes and their long time behavior. They share two important features: they are related to concrete models (in biology, networks, chemistry,. . .) and they are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Florent Malrieu