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Foreign exchange is the largest financial market in the world, and it is also one of the most volatile markets. Technical analysis plays an important role in the forex market and trading algorithms are designed utilizing machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-24 Zezheng Zhang , Matloob Khushi

Energy storage resources must consider both price uncertainties and their physical operating characteristics when participating in wholesale electricity markets. This is a challenging problem as electricity prices are highly volatile, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Yousuf Baker , Ningkun Zheng , Bolun Xu

This chapter introduces the \emph{random-order model} in online algorithms. In this model, the input is chosen by an adversary, then randomly permuted before being presented to the algorithm. This reshuffling often weakens the power of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Anupam Gupta , Sahil Singla

The Efficient Market Hypothesis has been a staple of economics research for decades. In particular, weak-form market efficiency -- the notion that past prices cannot predict future performance -- is strongly supported by econometric…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-12 Samuel Showalter , Jeffrey Gropp

A mean-reverting financial instrument is optimally traded by buying it when it is sufficiently below the estimated `mean level' and selling it when it is above. In the presence of linear transaction costs, a large amount of value is paid…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-28 Richard Martin , Torsten Schöneborn

This paper develops a mathematical framework for building a position in a stock over a fixed period of time while in competition with one or more other traders doing the same thing. We develop a game-theoretic framework that takes place in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-08 Neil A. Chriss

We investigate how and when to diversify capital over assets, i.e., the portfolio selection problem, from a signal processing perspective. To this end, we first construct portfolios that achieve the optimal expected growth in i.i.d.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-18 Sait Tunc , Mehmet A. Donmez , Suleyman S. Kozat

Nearly one-half of all trades in financial markets are executed by high-speed, autonomous computer programs -- a type of trading often called high-frequency trading (HFT). Although evidence suggests that HFT increases the efficiency of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Benjamin Myers , Austin Gerig

Sharp asymptotic lower bounds of the expected quadratic variation of discretization error in stochastic integration are given. The theory relies on inequalities for the kurtosis and skewness of a general random variable which are themselves…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Masaaki Fukasawa

We determine the optimal investment strategy in a Black-Scholes financial market to minimize the so-called {\it probability of drawdown}, namely, the probability that the value of an investment portfolio reaches some fixed proportion of its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-16 Bahman Angoshtari , Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

We study optimal liquidation strategies under partial information for a single asset within a finite time horizon. We propose a model tailored for high-frequency trading, capturing price formation driven solely by order flow through…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-08 Etienne Chevalier , Yadh Hafsi , Vathana Ly Vath

We consider the Brownian market model and the problem of expected utility maximization of terminal wealth. We, specifically, examine the problem of maximizing the utility of terminal wealth under the presence of transaction costs of a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Theodoros Tsagaris

In this paper we investigate a new class of growth rate maximization problems based on impulse control strategies such that the average number of trades per time unit does not exceed a fixed level. Moreover, we include proportional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-10 Sören Christensen , Marc Wittlinger

In this paper, we show how a simulated Markov decision process (MDP) built by the so-called \emph{baseline} policies, can be used to compute a different policy, namely the \emph{simulated optimal} policy, for which the performance of this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-13 Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

In this paper we propose a mathematical framework to address the uncertainty emergingwhen the designer of a trading algorithm uses a threshold on a signal as a control. We rely ona theorem by Benveniste and Priouret to deduce our Inventory…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-12 Hadrien De March , Charles-Albert Lehalle

Minimizing execution costs for large orders is a fundamental challenge in finance. Firms often depend on brokers to manage their trades due to limited internal resources for optimizing trading strategies. This paper presents a methodology…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-05 Zoltan Eisler , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

All proper scoring rules incentivize an expert to predict \emph{accurately} (report their true estimate), but not all proper scoring rules equally incentivize \emph{precision}. Rather than treating the expert's belief as exogenously given,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Eric Neyman , Georgy Noarov , S. Matthew Weinberg

We investigate an existing distributed algorithm for learning sparse signals or data over networks. The algorithm is iterative and exchanges intermediate estimates of a sparse signal over a network. This learning strategy using exchange of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-25 Ahmed Zaki , Partha P. Mitra , Lars K. Rasmussen , Saikat Chatterjee

An important revenue stream for electric battery operators is often arbitraging the hourly price spreads in the day-ahead auction. The optimal approach to this is challenging if risk is a consideration as this requires the estimation of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-01 Ekaterina Abramova , Derek Bunn

Trailing stop is a popular stop-loss trading strategy by which the investor will sell the asset once its price experiences a pre-specified percentage drawdown. In this paper, we study the problem of timing buy and then sell an asset subject…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Tim Leung , Hongzhong Zhang
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