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This paper deals with a problem of production planning, which is a version of the capacitated single-item lot sizing problem with backordering under demand uncertainty, modeled by uncertain cumulative demands. The well-known interval…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Uncertainties influencing the dynamical systems pose a significant challenge in estimating the achievable performance of a controller aiming to control such uncertain systems. When the uncertainties are of stochastic nature, obtaining hard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-22 Venkatraman Renganathan

We consider a retailer selling a single product with limited on-hand inventory over a finite selling season. Customer demand arrives according to a Poisson process, the rate of which is influenced by a single action taken by the retailer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-28 Zizhuo Wang , Shiming Deng , Yinyu Ye

This paper introduces a new computational framework to account for uncertainties in day-ahead electricity market clearing process in the presence of demand response providers. A central challenge when dealing with many demand response…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-12-01 Hao Ming , Le Xie , Marco Campi , Simone Garatti , P. R. Kumar

Empirical process theory for i.i.d. observations has emerged as a ubiquitous tool for understanding the generalization properties of various statistical problems. However, in many applications where the data exhibit temporal dependencies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Nabarun Deb , Debarghya Mukherjee

Prescriptive process monitoring methods seek to optimize the performance of business processes by triggering interventions at runtime, thereby increasing the probability of positive case outcomes. These interventions are triggered according…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Mahmoud Shoush , Marlon Dumas

Monitoring means to observe a system for any changes which may occur over time, using a monitor or measuring device of some sort. In this paper we formulate a problem of monitoring dates of maximal risk of a financial position. Thus, the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-17 Erick Trevino Aguilar

This paper considers a developing theory on the effects of inevitable process variations during the fabrication of MEMS and other microsystems. The effects on the performance and design yield of the microsystems devices are analyzed and…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-11-29 S. -P. Vudathu , K. -K. Duganapalli , Rainer Laur , D. Kubalinska , A. Bunse-Gerstner

We consider the problem of change-points estimation in the mean of an AR(p) process. Taking into account the dependence structure does not allow us to use the approach of the independent case. Especially, the dynamic programming algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-04 Souhil Chakar

We investigate precursors and predictability of extreme increments in a time series. The events we are focusing on consist in large increments within successive time steps. We are especially interested in understanding how the quality of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Sarah Hallerberg , Eduardo G. Altmann , Detlef Holstein , Holger Kantz

Temporal noise correlations are ubiquitous in quantum systems, yet often neglected in the analysis of quantum circuits due to the complexity required to accurately characterize and model them. Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-15 Kevin Schultz , Gregory Quiroz , Paraj Titum , B. D. Clader

In a large-scale computing cluster, the job completions can be substantially delayed due to two sources of variability, namely, variability in the job size and that in the machine service capacity. To tackle this issue, existing works have…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2017-07-07 Huanle Xu , Gustavo de Veciana , Wing Cheong Lau , Kunxiao Zhou

Most statistical process control programmes in healthcare focus on surveillance of outcomes at the final stage of a procedure, such as mortality or failure rates. Such an approach ignores the multi-stage nature of these procedures, in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-29 Doaa Ayad , Nokuthaba Sibanda

Quadratic Hawkes (QHawkes) processes have proved effective at reproducing the statistics of price changes, capturing many of the stylised facts of financial markets. Motivated by the recently reported strong occurrence of endogenous…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-15 Cécilia Aubrun , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The first-order binomial autoregressive (BAR(1)) model is the most frequently used tool to analyze the bounded count time series. The BAR(1) model is stationary and assumes process parameters to remain constant throughout the time period,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Danshu Sheng , Chang Liu , Yao Kang

Transportation occupies one-third of the amount in the logistics costs, and accordingly transportation systems largely influence the performance of the logistics system. This work presents an adaptive data-driven innovative modular approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Emir Zunic , Dzenana Donko , Emir Buza

Labour productivity distribution (dispersion) is studied both theoretically and empirically. Superstatistics is presented as a natural theoretical framework for productivity. The demand index $\kappa$ is proposed within this framework as a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-13 Hideaki Aoyama , Yoshi Fujiwara , Yuichi Ikeda , Hiroshi Iyetomi , Wataru Souma

This article introduces a non parametric warping model for functional data. When the outcome of an experiment is a sample of curves, data can be seen as realizations of a stochastic process, which takes into account the small variations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Jean-François Dupuy , Jean-Michel Loubes , Elie Maza

Predictive business process monitoring refers to the act of making predictions about the future state of ongoing cases of a business process, based on their incomplete execution traces and logs of historical (completed) traces. Motivated by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Irene Teinemaa , Marlon Dumas , Marcello La Rosa , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

Evaluations are presented for the prediction of wind power ramping events in the Belgian Offshore Zone. Two models from the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium are verified: the operational ALARO-4km and its version with Wind Farm…