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A spatial point process can be characterized by an intensity function which predicts the number of events that occur across space. In this paper, we develop a method to infer predictive intensity intervals by learning a spatial model using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-06 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

The model is a "generalized switch", serving multiple traffic flows in discrete time. The switch uses MaxWeight algorithm to make a service decision (scheduling choice) at each time step, which determines the probability distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-13 Rahul Singh , Alexander Stolyar

We consider Bayesian analysis of a class of multiple changepoint models. While there are a variety of efficient ways to analyse these models if the parameters associated with each segment are independent, there are few general approaches…

Computation · Statistics 2009-10-19 Paul Fearnhead , Zhen Liu

We propose an adaptive bandwidth selector via cross validation for local M-estimators in locally stationary processes. We prove asymptotic optimality of the procedure under mild conditions on the underlying parameter curves. The results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Stefan Richter , Rainer Dahlhaus

We consider the down/up crossing property of weighted Markov branching processes. The joint probability distribution of multi crossing numbers of such processes are obtained. In particular, for Markov branching processes, the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Yanyun Li , Junping Li

It is shown that for a non-decreasing self-similar stochastic process $T$ with independent increments, the range of $T$ forms a Poisson point process with $\sigma$-finite intensity if and only if the one-dimensional distribution of $T(1)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Jim Pitman , Zhiyi You

A temporal point process is a mathematical model for a time series of discrete events, which covers various applications. Recently, recurrent neural network (RNN) based models have been developed for point processes and have been found…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Takahiro Omi , Naonori Ueda , Kazuyuki Aihara

Key challenges in the analysis of highly multivariate large-scale spatial stochastic processes, where both the number of components (p) and spatial locations (n) can be large, include achieving maximal sparsity in the joint precision…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Xiaoqing Chen , Peter Diggle , James V. Zidek , Gavin Shaddick

We study a special case of the problem of statistical learning without the i.i.d. assumption. Specifically, we suppose a learning method is presented with a sequence of data points, and required to make a prediction (e.g., a classification)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Steve Hanneke , Liu Yang

We consider an intersection of past and future property of multivariate stationary processes which is the key to deriving various representation theorems for their linear predictor coefficient matrices. We extend useful spectral…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Akihiko Inoue , Yukio Kasahara , Mohsen Pourahmadi

Systems that are not smooth can undergo bifurcations that are forbidden in smooth systems. We review some of the phenomena that can occur for piecewise-smooth, continuous maps and flows when a fixed point or an equilibrium collides with a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-09-06 D. J. W. Simpson , J. D. Meiss

In this paper we consider a telegraph equation with time-dependent coefficients, governing the persistent random walk of a particle moving on the line with a time-varying velocity $c(t)$ and changing direction at instants distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Luca Angelani , Roberto Garra

Structure-based coarse graining of molecular systems offers a systematic route to reproduce the many-body potential of mean force. Unfortunately, common strategies are inherently limited by the molecular mechanics force field employed.…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-12-27 Tristan Bereau , Joseph F. Rudzinski

We give an explicit slice formula for a surface invariant of generic immersions in $\mathbb{R}^3$, expressed in terms of curve invariants arising from planar slices. Using a motion-picture viewpoint, we introduce differential measures that…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Noboru Ito , Hiroki Mizuno

We introduce and study a natural multispecies variant of the inhomogeneous PushTASEP with site-dependent rates on the finite ring. We show that the stationary distribution of this process is proportional to the ASEP polynomials at $q = 1$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Arvind Ayyer , James B. Martin

A stochastically continuous process $\xi(t)$, $t\geq0$, is said to be time-stable if the sum of $n$ i.i.d. copies of $\xi$ equals in distribution to the time-scaled stochastic process $\xi(nt)$, $t\geq0$. The paper advances the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Christoph Kopp , Ilya Molchanov

We consider the noise-induced transitions in the randomly perturbed discrete logistic map from a linearly stable periodic orbit consisting of T periodic points. The traditional large deviation theory and asymptotic analysis for small noise…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-04-20 Yu Cao , Ling Lin , Xiang Zhou

We consider a random dynamical system obtained by switching between the flows generated by two smooth vector fields on the 2d-torus, with the random switchings happening according to a Poisson process. Assuming that the driving vector…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-03-22 Yuri Bakhtin , Tobias Hurth , Sean D. Lawley , Jonathan C. Mattingly

In this paper we study a queue with L\'evy input, without imposing any a priori assumption on the jumps being one-sided. The focus is on computing the transforms of all sorts of quantities related to the transient workload, assuming the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Michel Mandjes

In this paper, we develop two stochastic models where the variable under consideration follows Harris distribution. The mean and variance of the processes are derived and the processes are shown to be non-stationary. In the second model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S Sherly , M K Jose , E Sandhya , N Raju