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A class of discrete distributions can be derived from stationary renewal processes. They have the useful property that the mean is a simple function of the model parameters. Thus regressions of the distribution mean on covariates can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Rose Baker

Random metastability occurs when an externally forced or noisy system possesses more than one state of apparent equilibrium. This work investigates fluctuations in a class of random dynamical systems, arising from randomly perturbing a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Cecilia González-Tokman , Joshua Peters

We investigate the properties of a model of granular matter consisting of $N$ Brownian particles on a line subject to inelastic mutual collisions. This model displays a genuine thermodynamic limit for the mean values of the energy and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Puglisi , V. Loreto , U. Marini Bettolo Marconi , A. Petri , A. Vulpiani

Let $\{X(t):t\in[0,\infty)\}$ be a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(t)$. We study the exact asymptotics of ${\mathbb{P}}(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X(t)>u)$ as $u\to\infty$, where $T$ is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-16 Marek Arendarczyk , Krzysztof Dȩbicki

Motivation: We consider continuous-time Markov chains that describe the stochastic evolution of a dynamical system by a transition-rate matrix $Q$ which depends on a parameter $\theta$. Computing the probability distribution over states at…

We construct a non-decreasing pure jump Markov process, whose jump measure heavily depends on the values taken by the process. We determine the singularity spectrum of this process, which turns out to be random and to depend locally on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-02 Julien Barral , Nicolas Fournier , Stephane Jaffard , Stephane Seuret

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

We investigate the convergence of hitting times for jump-diffusion processes. Specifically, we study a sequence of stochastic differential equations with jumps. Under reasonable assumptions, we establish the convergence of solutions to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Georgiy Shevchenko

This paper presents an analysis of the distribution of the time $\tau$ between two consecutive events in a stationary point process. The study is motivated by the discovery of a unified scaling law for $\tau$ for the case of seismic events.…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 G. Molchan

A switching random walk, commonly known under the misnomer `oscillating random walk', is a real-valued Markov chain whose distribution of increments is determined by the sign of the current position. We explicitly identify an invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Vladislav Vysotsky

We study random walks on $\mathbb{Z}$ which have a linear (or almost linear) drift towards 0 in a range around 0. This drift leads to a metastable Gaussian distribution centered at zero. We give specific, fast growing, time windows where we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 O. S. Awolude , E. Cator , H. Don

We consider the problem of leakage or effusion of an ensemble of independent stochastic processes from a region where they are initially randomly distributed. The case of Brownian motion, initially confined to the left half line with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-29 David S. Dean , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on $\mu$ and volatility coefficient depends on $\sigma$, two unknown parameters. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

Gaussian processes (GPs) furnish accurate nonlinear predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty. However, the typical GP setup has a built-in stationarity assumption, making it ill-suited for modeling data from processes with sudden…

Motivated by recent experiments reporting non-Gaussian velocity distributions in driven dilute granular materials, we study by numerical simulation the properties of inelastic gases as functions of the coefficient of restitution $\eta$ and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. S. van Zon , F. C. MacKintosh

We consider stochastic systems involving general -- non-Gaussian and asymmetric -- stable processes. The random quantities, either a stochastic force or a waiting time in a random walk process, explicitly depend on the position. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 Tomasz Srokowski

This paper presents a novel one-factor stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous volatility of the asset log-return is a diffusion with a quadratic drift and a linear dispersion function. The instantaneous volatility mean reverts…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-21 Peter Carr , Sander Willems

We consider a pure-jump stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) process driven by a non-symmetric stable L{\'e}vy process with jump activity $\alpha$ $\in$ (1, 2) and we address the joint estimation of drift, scaling and jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément

We present a method for computing stationary distributions for activated processes in equilibrium and non-equilibrium systems using Forward Flux Sampling (FFS). In this method, the stationary distributions are obtained directly from the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-07-06 Chantal Valeriani , Rosalind J. Allen , Marco J. Morelli , Daan Frenkel , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

Stationary solutions to a Fokker-Planck equation corresponding to a noisy logistic equation with correlated Gaussian white noises are constructed. Stationary distributions exist even if the corresponding deterministic system displays an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. F. Gora