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Let X and Y be time-homogeneous Markov processes with common state space E, and assume that the transition kernels of X and Y admit densities with respect to suitable reference measures. We show that if there is a time t>0 such that, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. J. Fitzsimmons

State space models contain time-indexed parameters, termed states, as well as static parameters, simply termed parameters. The problem of inferring both static parameters as well as states simultaneously, based on time-indexed observations,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-28 Anthony Ebert , Pierre Pudlo , Kerrie Mengersen , Paul Wu , Christopher Drovandi

We give a polynomial-time dynamic programming algorithm for solving the linear complementarity problem with tridiagonal or, more generally, Hessenberg P-matrices. We briefly review three known tractable matrix classes and show that none of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-12-02 Bernd Gärtner , Markus Sprecher

This paper presents a simple algorithm to check whether reachability probabilities in parametric Markov chains are monotonic in (some of) the parameters. The idea is to construct - only using the graph structure of the Markov chain and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Jip Spel , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Many biological and medical questions can be modeled using time-to-event data in finite-state Markov chains, with the phase-type distribution describing intervals between events. We solve the inverse problem: given a phase-type…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Ovidiu Radulescu , Dima Grigoriev , Matthias Seiss , Maria Douaihy , Mounia Lagha , Edouard Bertrand

This paper compiles several aspects of the dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms with Markov iterate-dependent noise when the iterates are not known to be stable beforehand. We achieve the same by extending the lock-in probability…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Prasenjit Karmakar , Shalabh Bhatnagar

We consider continuous-time Markov chain on a finite state space X. We assume X can be clustered into several subsets such that the intra-transition rates within these subsets are of order $\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{\epsilon})$ comparing to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-28 Wei Zhang

We study distributions of meeting times for finite symmetric Markov chains. For Markov kernels defined on large state spaces which satisfy certain weak inhomogeneity in return probabilities of points up to large numbers of steps, we obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-20 Yu-Ting Chen

We study the convergence rate to stationarity for a class of exchangeable partition-valued Markov chains called cut-and-paste chains. The law governing the transitions of a cut-and-paste chain are determined by products of i.i.d. stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Harry Crane , Steven P. Lalley

This paper is concerned with ergodic properties of inhomogeneous Markov processes. Since the transition probabilities depend on initial times, the existing methods to obtain invariant measures for homogeneous Markov processes are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Zhenxin Liu , Di Lu

Many problems of practical interest rely on Continuous-time Markov chains~(CTMCs) defined over combinatorial state spaces, rendering the computation of transition probabilities, and hence probabilistic inference, difficult or impossible…

We revisit the classical problem of approximating a stochastic differential equation by a discrete-time and discrete-space Markov chain. Our construction iterates Caratheodory's theorem over time to match the moments of the increments…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Francesco Cosentino , Harald Oberhauser , Alessandro Abate

An important problem in the implementation of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms is to determine the convergence time, or the number of iterations before the chain is close to stationarity. For many Markov chains used in practice this time…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-07-02 Nayantara Bhatnagar , Andrej Bogdanov , Elchanan Mossel

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-09 Bernd Lehle , Joachim Peinke

In this paper, we seek to understand the behavior of dynamical systems that are perturbed by a parameter that changes discretely in time. If we impose certain conditions, we can study certain embedded systems within a hybrid system as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-04 Xavier Garcia , Jennifer Kunze , Thomas Rudelius , Anthony Sanchez , Sijing Shao , Emily Speranza , Chad Vidden

The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Céline Comte

We solve the Skorokhod embedding problem for a class of stochastic processes satisfying an inhomogeneous stochastic differential equation (SDE) of the form $d A_t =\mu (t, A_t) d t + \sigma(t, A_t) d W_t$. We provide sufficient conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Stefan Ankirchner , Stefan Engelhardt , Alexander Fromm , Goncalo dos Reis

We consider the problem of performing inference with imprecise continuous-time hidden Markov chains, that is, imprecise continuous-time Markov chains that are augmented with random output variables whose distribution depends on the hidden…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

This paper contributes an in-depth study of properties of continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on non-negative integer lattices $\N_0^d$, with particular interest in one-dimensional CTMCs with polynomial transitions rates. Such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

If the state space of a homogeneous continuous-time Markov chain is too large, making inferences - here limited to determining marginal or limit expectations - becomes computationally infeasible. Fortunately, the state space of such a chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-01 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock