Related papers: Removal of zero-point drift from AB data and the s…

In the present paper, we consider that $N$ diffusion processes $X^1,\dots,X^N$ are observed on $[0,T]$, where $T$ is fixed and $N$ grows to infinity. Contrary to most of the recent works, we no longer assume that the processes are…

We propose a novel family of test statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in a sequence of dependent, possibly multivariate, functional-valued observations. Our approach allows to test for a very general class of changepoints,…

Experimental datasets are growing rapidly in size, scope, and detail, but the value of these datasets is limited by unwanted measurement noise. It is therefore tempting to apply analysis techniques that attempt to reduce noise and enhance…

Detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a time series, so-called changepoints, is important for many applications. However, many procedures rely on the estimation of nuisance parameters (like long-run variance). Under the alternative (a…

After rejecting the null hypothesis in the analysis of variance, the next step is to make the pairwise comparisons to find out differences in means. The purpose of this paper is threefold. The foremost aim is to suggest expression for…

We address the problem of A/B testing, a widely used protocol for evaluating the potential improvement achieved by a new decision system compared to a baseline. This protocol segments the population into two subgroups, each exposed to a…

The Difference in Difference (DiD) estimator is a popular estimator built on the "parallel trends" assumption, which is an assertion that the treatment group, absent treatment, would change "similarly" to the control group over time. To…

With today's abundant streams of data, the only constant we can rely on is change. For stream classification algorithms, it is necessary to adapt to concept drift. This can be achieved by monitoring the model error, and triggering counter…

We introduce an adaptive method with formal quality guarantees for weak supervision in a non-stationary setting. Our goal is to infer the unknown labels of a sequence of data by using weak supervision sources that provide independent noisy…

This paper deals with the issue of concept drift in supervised machine learn-ing. We make use of graphical models to elicit the visible structure of the dataand we infer from there changes in the hidden context. Differently from previous…

Drift analysis has become a powerful tool to prove bounds on the runtime of randomized search heuristics. It allows, for example, fairly simple proofs for the classical problem how the (1+1) Evolutionary Algorithm (EA) optimizes an…

We consider one-dimensional stochastic differential equations with generalized drift which involve the local time $L^X$ of the solution process: X_t = X_0 + \int_0^t b(X_s) dB_s + \int_\mathbb{R} L^X(t,y) \nu(dy), where b is a measurable…

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

This paper studies a problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for a sequence of scaled counting processes whose weak limit is a Brownian motion with an unknown drift. The main result of the paper is that the limit of the posterior…

Let $B=(B_t)_{t\in {\mathbb{R}}}$ be a two-sided standard Brownian motion. An unbiased shift of $B$ is a random time $T$, which is a measurable function of $B$, such that $(B_{T+t}-B_T)_{t\in {\mathbb{R}}}$ is a Brownian motion independent…

We propose a way to remove the bias of a Poisson regression when the subjects are partially observed. In this paper we address this issue under certain assumptions about the missing-data generating process. We fix the total number of…

Firth-type logistic regression has become a standard approach for the analysis of binary outcomes with small samples. Whereas it reduces the bias in maximum likelihood estimates of coefficients, bias towards 1/2 is introduced in the…

Comparative binary outcome data are of fundamental interest in statistics and are often pooled in meta-analyses. Here we examine the simplest case where for each study there are two patient groups and a binary event of interest, giving rise…

Models trained on real-world data tend to imitate and amplify social biases. Common methods to mitigate biases require prior information on the types of biases that should be mitigated (e.g., gender or racial bias) and the social groups…

In this paper, two tests, based on CUSUM of the residuals and least squares estimation, are studied to detect in real time a change-point in a nonlinear model. A first test statistic is proposed by extension of a method already used in the…