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We propose two new conformity scores for conformal prediction, in a general multivariate regression framework. The underlying score functions are based on a covariance analysis of the residuals and the input points. We give theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Iain Henderson , Adrien Mazoyer , Fabrice Gamboa

We provide novel theoretical results regarding local optima of regularized $M$-estimators, allowing for nonconvexity in both loss and penalty functions. Under restricted strong convexity on the loss and suitable regularity conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-05 Po-Ling Loh , Martin J. Wainwright

Recent advances in machine learning have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various applications. However, ensuring the calibration of probabilistic predictions remains a significant challenge. Despite efforts to enhance model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Yan Sun , Pratik Chaudhari , Ian J. Barnett , Edgar Dobriban

We consider products of uniform random variables from the Stiefel manifold of orthonormal $k$-frames in $\mathbb{R}^n$, $k \le n$, and random vectors from the $n$-dimensional $\ell_p^n$-ball $\mathbb{B}_p^n$ with certain $p$-radial…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Tom Kaufmann , Holger Sambale , Christoph Thäle

For the usual normal approximations to binomial, hypergeometric, or Poisson interval probabilities, we collect some simple but then reasonably sharp error bounds. For the Clopper-Pearson~(1934) binomial confidence bounds, we present,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-02-26 Lutz Mattner

We consider the rate of convergence of the expected loss of empirically optimal vector quantizers. Earlier results show that the mean-squared expected distortion for any fixed distribution supported on a bounded set and satisfying some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Clément Levrard

We discuss boundedness and compactness properties of the embedding $M_\Lambda^1\subset L^1(\mu)$, where $M_\Lambda^1$ is the closure of the monomials $x^{\lambda_n}$ in $L1([0,1])$ and $\mu$ is a finite positive Borel measure on the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-02-17 Isabelle Chalendar , Emmanuel Fricain , Dan Timotin

We develop polynomial-time algorithms for near-optimal minimax mean estimation under $\ell_2$-squared loss in a Gaussian sequence model under convex constraints. The parameter space is an origin-symmetric, type-2 convex body $K \subset…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Matey Neykov

We develop a constructive piecewise polynomial approximation theory in weighted Sobolev spaces with Muckenhoupt weights for any polynomial degree. The main ingredients to derive optimal error estimates for an averaged Taylor polynomial are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-27 Ricardo H. Nochetto , Enrique Otarola , Abner J. Salgado

We consider the problem of finding the infimum, over probability measures being in a ball defined by Wasserstein distance, of the expected value of a bounded Lipschitz random variable on $\mathbf{R}^d$. We show that if the $\sigma-$algebra…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Gusti van Zyl

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

We consider a convex constrained Gaussian sequence model and characterize necessary and sufficient conditions for the least squares estimator (LSE) to be minimax optimal. For a closed convex set $K\subset \mathbb{R}^n$ we observe…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Akshay Prasadan , Matey Neykov

Let $E$ be a bounded open subset of $\mathbb{R}^n$. We study the following questions: For i.i.d. samples $X_1, \dots, X_N$ drawn uniformly from $E$, what is the probability that $\cup_i \mathbf{B}(X_i, \delta)$, the union of $\delta$-balls…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Enrique Alvarado , Bala Krishnamoorthy , Kevin R. Vixie

We prove that for any compact set B in R^d and for any epsilon >0 there is a finite subset X of B of |X|=d^{O(1/epsilon^2)} points such that the maximum absolute value of any linear function ell: R^d --> R on X approximates the maximum…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Alexander Barvinok

Embeddings are a basic initial feature extraction step in many machine learning models, particularly in natural language processing. An embedding attempts to map data tokens to a low-dimensional space where similar tokens are mapped to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Golara Ahmadi Azar , Melika Emami , Alyson Fletcher , Sundeep Rangan

Since its introduction, the Virtual Element Method (VEM) was shown to be able to deal with a large variety of polygons, while achieving good convergence rates. The regularity assumptions proposed in the VEM literature to guarantee the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-15 Tommaso Sorgente , Silvia Biasotti , Gianmarco Manzini , Michela Spagnuolo

In order to determine the sparse approximation function which has a direct metric relationship with the $\ell_{0}$ quasi-norm, we introduce a wonderful triangle whose sides are composed of $\Vert \mathbf{x} \Vert_{0}$, $\Vert \mathbf{x}…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Jun Wang

We study minimax rates for high-dimensional linear regression with additive errors under the $\ell_p\ (1\leq p<\infty)$-losses, where the regression parameter is of weak sparsity. Our lower and upper bounds agree up to constant factors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-20 Xin Li , Dongya Wu

Let $\boldsymbol{\tau}=(\tau_1,\dots,\tau_m)\in \mathbb{R}_{\ge 0}^m$ satisfy $\sum_{i=1}^m \tau_i>1$ and $\tau_1\ge \cdots \ge \tau_m$ Let $\Psi_{\boldsymbol\tau}=(\psi_1,\dots,\psi_m)$ be given by $$ \psi_i(q)=q^{-\tau_i}, \qquad…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yi Lou

We introduce a general random model of a combinatorial optimization problem with geometric structure that encapsulates both linear programming and integer linear programming. Let $Q$ be a bounded set called the feasible set, $E$ be an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Dylan J. Altschuler