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In this work we establish weak convergence rates for temporal discretisations of stochastic wave equations with multiplicative noise, in particular, for the hyperbolic Anderson model. For this class of stochastic partial differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Sonja Cox , Arnulf Jentzen , Felix Lindner

The purpose of this paper is to prove a weak convergence result for empirical processes indexed in general classes of functions and with an underlying $\alpha$-mixing sequence of random variables. In particular the uniformly boundedness…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Maria Mohr

We consider systems of slow--fast diffusions with small noise in the slow component. We construct provably logarithmic asymptotically optimal importance schemes for the estimation of rare events based on the moderate deviations principle.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Many recent studies have demonstrated that scaling arguments, such as the so-called hierarchical {\em ansatz}, are extremely useful in understanding the statistical properties of weak gravitational lensing. This is especially true on small…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dipak Munshi , Peter Coles

The use of massive survival data has become common in survival analysis. In this study, a subsampling algorithm is proposed for the Cox proportional hazards model with time-dependent covariates when the sample is extraordinarily large but…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-07 Nan Qiao , Wangcheng Li , Feng Xiao , Cunjie Lin , Yong Zhou

Patch-wise Transformer based time series forecasting achieves superior accuracy. However, this superiority relies heavily on intricate model design with massive parameters, rendering both training and inference expensive, thus preventing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Meng Wang , Jintao Yang , Bin Yang , Hui Li , Tongxin Gong , Bo Yang , Jiangtao Cui

We prove uniform convergence results for the integrated periodogram of a weakly dependent time series, namely a law of large numbers and a central limit theorem. These results are applied to Whittle's parametric estimation. Under general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-15 Jean-Marc Bardet , Paul Doukhan , José Rafael León

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

Discretization of continuous-time diffusion processes is a widely recognized method for sampling. However, it seems to be a considerable restriction when the potentials are often required to be smooth (gradient Lipschitz). This paper…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-23 Dao Nguyen

Weak convergence of various general functionals of partial sums of dependent random variables to stochastic integral now play a major role in the modern statistics theory. In this paper, we obtain the weak convergence of various general…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-03 Zheng-Yan Lin , Han-Chao Wang

The empirical likelihood inference is extended to a class of semiparametric models for stationary, weakly dependent series. A partially linear single-index regression is used for the conditional mean of the series given its past, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Matthieu Marbac , Valentin Patilea

We make use of the empirical process theory to approximate the adapted Hill estimator, for censored data, in terms of Gaussian processes. Then, we derive its asymptotic normality, only under the usual second-order condition of regular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

We study a class of weakly identifiable location-scale mixture models for which the maximum likelihood estimates based on $n$ i.i.d. samples are known to have lower accuracy than the classical $n^{- \frac{1}{2}}$ error. We investigate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Raaz Dwivedi , Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

Sample measures of top centile contributions to the total (concentration) are downward biased, unstable estimators, extremely sensitive to sample size and concave in accounting for large deviations. It makes them particularly unfit in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-05 Nassim N Taleb , Raphael Douady

Consider a classification problem where we do not have access to labels for individual training examples, but only have average labels over subpopulations. We give practical examples of this setup and show how such a classification task can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-16 Stefan Wager , Alexander Blocker , Niall Cardin

We develop a testing procedure for distinguishing between a long-range dependent time series and a weakly dependent time series with change-points in the mean. In the simplest case, under the null hypothesis the time series is weakly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka , Qi-Man Shao

In time series analysis, statistics based on collections of estimators computed from sub-samples play a crucial role in an increasing variety of important applications. Proving results about the joint asymptotic distribution of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

Weak gravitational lensing surveys have the potential to directly probe mass density fluctuation in the universe. Recent studies have shown that it is possible to model the statistics of the convergence field at small angular scales by…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Dipak Munshi , Bhuvnesh Jain

We survey some of the recent advances in mean estimation and regression function estimation. In particular, we describe sub-Gaussian mean estimators for possibly heavy-tailed data both in the univariate and multivariate settings. We focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij