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This is an introduction to a probabilistic model for the arithmetic of elliptic curves, a model developed in a series of articles of the author with Bhargava, Kane, Lenstra, Park, Rains, Voight, and Wood. We discuss the theoretical evidence…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Bjorn Poonen

Empirical analysis is often the first step towards the birth of a conjecture. This is the case of the Birch-Swinnerton-Dyer (BSD) Conjecture describing the rational points on an elliptic curve, one of the most celebrated unsolved problems…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Laura Alessandretti , Andrea Baronchelli , Yang-Hui He

Elliptic curves arise in many important areas of modern number theory. One way to study them is take local data, the number of solutions modulo $p$, and create an $L$-function. The behavior of this global object is related to two of the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Steven Miller , Yan Weng

We determine the large-genus limiting distribution of the 4-rank of the Picard group of hyperelliptic curves over a fixed finite field $\mathbb F_q$ of odd characteristic. This is a function field analogue of a result of Fouvry and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Elia Gorokhovsky , Mengzhen Liu

Let $E$ be an elliptic curve defined over $\mathbb Q$ and $\widetilde{E}_p$ denote the reduction of $E$ modulo a prime $p$ of good reduction for $E$. The divisibility of $|\widetilde{E}_{p}(\mathbb{F}_p)|$ by an integer $m\ge 2$ for a set…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Antigona Pajaziti , Mohammad Sadek

In recent years various results about locally symmetric manifolds were proven using probabilistic approaches. One of the approaches is to consider random manifolds by associating a probability measure to the space of discrete subgroups of…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Tsachik Gelander

Let $A$ be an abelian variety over a number field $F$ and let $p$ be a prime. Cohen-Lenstra-Delaunay-style heuristics predict that the Tate-Shafarevich group of $A_s$ should contain an element of order $p$ for a positive proportion of…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Manjul Bhargava , Zev Klagsbrun , Robert J. Lemke Oliver , Ari Shnidman

We construct new testing procedures for spherical and elliptical symmetry based on the characterization that a random vector $X$ with finite mean has a spherical distribution if and only if $\Ex[u^\top X | v^\top X] = 0$ holds for any two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Isaia Albisetti , Fadoua Balabdaoui , Hajo Holzmann

Given $p \in (0,1)$, we let $Q_p= Q_p^d$ be the random subgraph of the $d$-dimensional hypercube $Q^d$ where edges are present independently with probability $p$. It is well known that, as $d \rightarrow \infty$, if $p>\frac12$ then with…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Colin McDiarmid , Alex Scott , Paul Withers

In this paper we propose conjectures that assert that, the sequence of Frobenius angles of a given elliptic curve over $\mathbf{Q}$ without complex multiplication is pseudorandom, in other words that the Frobenius angles are statistically…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Chung Pang Mok , Huimin Zheng

Motivated by the problem of compressing point sets into as few bits as possible while maintaining information about approximate distances between points, we construct random nonlinear maps $\varphi_\ell$ that compress point sets in the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Brett Leroux , Luis Rademacher

Exponential random graph models have attracted significant research attention over the past decades. These models are maximum-entropy ensembles under the constraints that the expected values of a set of graph observables are equal to given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Konstantin Zuev , Or Eisenberg , Dmitri Krioukov

Given an elliptic curve E/Q, we show that 50% of the quadratic twists of E have $2^{\infty}$-Selmer corank 0 and 50% have $2^{\infty}$-Selmer corank 1. As one consequence, we prove that the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture implies…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Alexander Smith

We define abstract Sobolev type spaces on $\mathsf{L}^p$-scales, $p\in [1,\infty)$, on Hermitian vector bundles over possibly noncompact manifolds, which are induced by smooth measures and families $\mathfrak{P}$ of linear partial…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Davide Guidetti , Batu Güneysu , Diego Pallara

We investigate symmetric edge polytopes generated by Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graphs in a high-dimensional regime. These objects provide a natural and largely unexplored model of random lattice polytopes, in which geometric properties are…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Torben Donzelmann , Martina Juhnke , Benedikt Rednoß , Christoph Thäle

For an elliptic curve with complex multiplication over a number field, the $p^{\infty}$--Selmer rank is even for all $p$. \v{C}esnavi\v{c}ius proved this using the fact that $E$ admits a $p$-isogeny whenever $p$ splits in the complex…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Jamie Bell

Let h be a p-isogeny of elliptic curves. We describe how to perform h-descents on the nontrivial elements in the Shafarevich-Tate group which are killed by the dual isogeny h'. This makes computation of p-Selmer groups of elliptic curves…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-18 Brendan Creutz , Robert L. Miller

The Birch and Swinnerton--Dyer conjecture famously predicts that the rank of an elliptic curve can be computed from its $L$-function. In this article we consider a weaker version of this conjecture called the parity conjecture and prove the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Holly Green , Celine Maistret

The paper is devoted to provide Michael-Simon-type $L^p$-logarithmic-Sobolev inequalities on complete, not necessarily compact $n$-dimensional submanifolds $\Sigma$ of the Euclidean space $\mathbb R^{n+m}$. Our first result, stated for…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Zoltán M. Balogh , Alexandru Kristály

Here we prove some special cases of the following conjecture: that the sum of the Betti numbers of a 1-connected elliptic space is greater than the total rank of its homotopy groups. Our main tool is Sullivan's minimal model.

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2008-03-28 Mohamed Rachid Hilali , My Ismail Mamouni