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This is an introduction to a probabilistic model for the arithmetic of elliptic curves, a model developed in a series of articles of the author with Bhargava, Kane, Lenstra, Park, Rains, Voight, and Wood. We discuss the theoretical evidence…
Empirical analysis is often the first step towards the birth of a conjecture. This is the case of the Birch-Swinnerton-Dyer (BSD) Conjecture describing the rational points on an elliptic curve, one of the most celebrated unsolved problems…
Elliptic curves arise in many important areas of modern number theory. One way to study them is take local data, the number of solutions modulo $p$, and create an $L$-function. The behavior of this global object is related to two of the…
We determine the large-genus limiting distribution of the 4-rank of the Picard group of hyperelliptic curves over a fixed finite field $\mathbb F_q$ of odd characteristic. This is a function field analogue of a result of Fouvry and…
Let $E$ be an elliptic curve defined over $\mathbb Q$ and $\widetilde{E}_p$ denote the reduction of $E$ modulo a prime $p$ of good reduction for $E$. The divisibility of $|\widetilde{E}_{p}(\mathbb{F}_p)|$ by an integer $m\ge 2$ for a set…
In recent years various results about locally symmetric manifolds were proven using probabilistic approaches. One of the approaches is to consider random manifolds by associating a probability measure to the space of discrete subgroups of…
Let $A$ be an abelian variety over a number field $F$ and let $p$ be a prime. Cohen-Lenstra-Delaunay-style heuristics predict that the Tate-Shafarevich group of $A_s$ should contain an element of order $p$ for a positive proportion of…
We construct new testing procedures for spherical and elliptical symmetry based on the characterization that a random vector $X$ with finite mean has a spherical distribution if and only if $\Ex[u^\top X | v^\top X] = 0$ holds for any two…
Given $p \in (0,1)$, we let $Q_p= Q_p^d$ be the random subgraph of the $d$-dimensional hypercube $Q^d$ where edges are present independently with probability $p$. It is well known that, as $d \rightarrow \infty$, if $p>\frac12$ then with…
In this paper we propose conjectures that assert that, the sequence of Frobenius angles of a given elliptic curve over $\mathbf{Q}$ without complex multiplication is pseudorandom, in other words that the Frobenius angles are statistically…
Motivated by the problem of compressing point sets into as few bits as possible while maintaining information about approximate distances between points, we construct random nonlinear maps $\varphi_\ell$ that compress point sets in the…
Exponential random graph models have attracted significant research attention over the past decades. These models are maximum-entropy ensembles under the constraints that the expected values of a set of graph observables are equal to given…
Given an elliptic curve E/Q, we show that 50% of the quadratic twists of E have $2^{\infty}$-Selmer corank 0 and 50% have $2^{\infty}$-Selmer corank 1. As one consequence, we prove that the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture implies…
We define abstract Sobolev type spaces on $\mathsf{L}^p$-scales, $p\in [1,\infty)$, on Hermitian vector bundles over possibly noncompact manifolds, which are induced by smooth measures and families $\mathfrak{P}$ of linear partial…
We investigate symmetric edge polytopes generated by Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graphs in a high-dimensional regime. These objects provide a natural and largely unexplored model of random lattice polytopes, in which geometric properties are…
For an elliptic curve with complex multiplication over a number field, the $p^{\infty}$--Selmer rank is even for all $p$. \v{C}esnavi\v{c}ius proved this using the fact that $E$ admits a $p$-isogeny whenever $p$ splits in the complex…
Let h be a p-isogeny of elliptic curves. We describe how to perform h-descents on the nontrivial elements in the Shafarevich-Tate group which are killed by the dual isogeny h'. This makes computation of p-Selmer groups of elliptic curves…
The Birch and Swinnerton--Dyer conjecture famously predicts that the rank of an elliptic curve can be computed from its $L$-function. In this article we consider a weaker version of this conjecture called the parity conjecture and prove the…
The paper is devoted to provide Michael-Simon-type $L^p$-logarithmic-Sobolev inequalities on complete, not necessarily compact $n$-dimensional submanifolds $\Sigma$ of the Euclidean space $\mathbb R^{n+m}$. Our first result, stated for…
Here we prove some special cases of the following conjecture: that the sum of the Betti numbers of a 1-connected elliptic space is greater than the total rank of its homotopy groups. Our main tool is Sullivan's minimal model.