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The multidimensional distributions with heavy tails attracted recently the attention of several papers on Applied Probability. However, the most of the works of the last decades are focused on multivariate regular variation, while the rest…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

In many situations we are interested in modeling real data where the response distribution, even conditionally on the covariates, presents asymmetry and/or heavy/light tails. In these situations, it is more suitable to consider models based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 João Victor B. de Freitas , Caio L. N. Azevedo

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

Heavy-tailed distributions have been studied in statistics, random matrix theory, physics, and econometrics as models of correlated systems, among other domains. Further, heavy-tail distributed eigenvalues of the covariance matrix of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-25 John Y. Shin

We propose a method for high dimensional multivariate regression that is robust to random error distributions that are heavy-tailed or contain outliers, while preserving estimation accuracy in normal random error distributions. We extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Mayu Hiraishi , Kensuke Tanioka , Hiroshi Yadohisa

In the liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipping industry, the phenomenon of sloshing can lead to the occurrence of very high pressures in the tanks of the vessel. The issue of modelling or estimating the probability of the simultaneous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-03 Antoine Dematteo , Stéphan CLEMENCON , Nicolas Vayatis , Mathilde Mougeot

Graphical models with heavy-tailed factors can be used to model extremal dependence or causality between extreme events. In a Bayesian network, variables are recursively defined in terms of their parents according to a directed acyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Johan Segers , Stefka Asenova

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

We consider the problem of learning predictive models from longitudinal data, consisting of irregularly repeated, sparse observations from a set of individuals over time. Such data often exhibit {\em longitudinal correlation} (LC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-25 Junjie Liang , Dongkuan Xu , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

Bayesian reasoning in linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) is challenging and often requires advanced sampling techniques like Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). A common approach is to write the model in a probabilistic programming language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jinlin Lai , Justin Domke , Daniel Sheldon

Structured high-cardinality data arises in many domains, and poses a major challenge for both modeling and inference. Graphical models are a popular approach to modeling structured data but they are unsuitable for high-cardinality…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-07-19 Branislav Kveton , Hung Bui , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Georgios Theocharous , S. Muthukrishnan , Siqi Sun

Over the last two decades, the Latent Position Model (LPM) has become a prominent tool to obtain model-based visualizations of networks. However, the geometric structure of the LPM is inherently symmetric, in the sense that outgoing and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Chaoyi Lu , Riccardo Rastelli

Traditional categorical data, often collected in psychological tests and educational assessments, are typically single-layer and gathered only once.This paper considers a more general case, multi-layer categorical data with polytomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-13 Huan Qing

We propose two types of Quantile Graphical Models (QGMs) --- Conditional Independence Quantile Graphical Models (CIQGMs) and Prediction Quantile Graphical Models (PQGMs). CIQGMs characterize the conditional independence of distributions by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Alexandre Belloni , Mingli Chen , Victor Chernozhukov

We study high-dimensional signal recovery from non-linear measurements with design vectors having elliptically symmetric distribution. Special attention is devoted to the situation when the unknown signal belongs to a set of low statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-14 Larry Goldstein , Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

In most domains of network analysis researchers consider networks that arise in nature with weighted edges. Such networks are routinely dichotomized in the interest of using available methods for statistical inference with networks. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-10 James D. Wilson , Matthew J. Denny , Shankar Bhamidi , Skyler Cranmer , Bruce Desmarais

We develop an asymptotic theory for extremes in decomposable graphical models by presenting results applicable to a range of extremal dependence types. Specifically, we investigate the weak limit of the distribution of suitably normalised…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-13 Adrian Casey , Ioannis Papastathopoulos