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Statistical significance of both the original and the replication study is a commonly used criterion to assess replication attempts, also known as the two-trials rule in drug development. However, replication studies are sometimes conducted…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-31 Leonhard Held , Samuel Pawel , Charlotte Micheloud

The problem of individualized prediction can be addressed using variants of conformal prediction, obtaining the intervals to which the actual values of the variables of interest belong. Here we present a method based on detecting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Fernando Delbianco , Fernando Tohmé

Happ and Greven (2018) developed a methodology for principal components analysis of multivariate functional data observed on different dimensional domains. Their approach relies on an estimation of univariate functional principal components…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Steven Golovkine , Edward Gunning , Andrew J. Simpkin , Norma Bargary

Mathematics is a limited component of solutions to real-world problems, as it expresses only what is expected to be true if all our assumptions are correct, including implicit assumptions that are omnipresent and often incorrect.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Sander Greenland

$P$-values that are derived from continuously distributed test statistics are typically uniformly distributed on $(0,1)$ under least favorable parameter configurations (LFCs) in the null hypothesis. Conservativeness of a $p$-value $P$…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Daniel Ochieng , Anh-Tuan Hoang , Thorsten Dickhaus

The famous results of Koml\'os, Major and Tusn\'ady (see [15] and [17]) state that it is possible to approximate almost surely the partial sums of size n of i.i.d. centered random variables in L p (p > 2) by a Wiener process with an error…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

The most popular multiple testing procedures are stepwise procedures based on $P$-values for individual test statistics. Included among these are the false discovery rate (FDR) controlling procedures of Benjamini--Hochberg [J. Roy. Statist.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Arthur Cohen , Harold B. Sackrowitz , Minya Xu

Two-sided statistical tests and p-values are well defined only when the test statistic in question has a symmetric distribution. A new two-sided p-value called conditional p-value $P_C$ is introduced here. It is closely related to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-14 Elena Kulinskaya

The p-values are often implicitly used as a measure of evidence for the hypotheses of the tests. This practice has been analyzed with different approaches. It is generally accepted for the one-sided hypothesis problem, but it is often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Guy Morel

In this paper, we study the hypothesis testing problem of, among $n$ random variables, determining $k$ random variables which have different probability distributions from the rest $(n-k)$ random variables. Instead of using separate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-05-28 Weiyu Xu , Lifeng Lai

This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, taking a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Emmanuel Candès , Lihua Lei , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia

Forecasting and forecast evaluation are inherently sequential tasks. Predictions are often issued on a regular basis, such as every hour, day, or month, and their quality is monitored continuously. However, the classical statistical tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Sebastian Arnold , Alexander Henzi , Johanna F. Ziegel

A popular approach for testing if two univariate random variables are statistically independent consists of partitioning the sample space into bins, and evaluating a test statistic on the binned data. The partition size matters, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-28 Ruth Heller , Yair Heller , Shachar Kaufman , Barak Brill , Malka Gorfine

This article develops $p$-values for evaluating means of normal populations that make use of indirect or prior information. A $p$-value of this type is based on a biased test statistic that is optimal on average with respect to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-12 Peter D. Hoff

Permutation tests enable testing statistical hypotheses in situations when the distribution of the test statistic is complicated or not available. In some situations, the test statistic under investigation is multivariate, with the multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Zdeněk Hlávka , Daniel Hlubinka , Šárka Hudecová

We compute the integral of a function or the expectation of a random variable with minimal cost and use, for our new algorithm and for upper bounds of the complexity, i.i.d. samples. Under certain assumptions it is possible to select a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-24 Robert J. Kunsch , Erich Novak , Daniel Rudolf

Hierarchically-organized data arise naturally in many psychology and neuroscience studies. As the standard assumption of independent and identically distributed samples does not hold for such data, two important problems are to accurately…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Irene Dowding , Stefan Haufe

Empirical economic studies often involve multiple propositions or hypotheses, with researchers aiming to assess both the collective and individual evidence against these propositions or hypotheses. To rigorously assess this evidence,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-26 Zeng-Hua Lu

Pearson's correlation is among the mostly widely reported measures of association. The strength of the statistical evidence for linear association is determined by the p-value of a hypothesis test. If the true distribution of a dataset is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Marc Jaffrey , Michael Dushkoff

We show that a class of optimized e-value combinations, arising from a standard construction of e-processes, remains valid even when the tuning parameter is optimized based on the data. This result holds for independent e-values, and, more…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Jiahao Ming , Yi Shen , Ruodu Wang